1. #1
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    49%/50%/51% Public Bet System Plays

    Keeping record, nothing serious

  2. #2
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Toronto Blue Jays ML -122

  3. #3
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Minnesota Twin ML -125

    if they stay in 49/50/51%

    Total mistake by me, Should have taken LAA ML but I really dont know why I picked this.
    Last edited by SamWise; 05-28-11 at 12:37 PM.

  4. #4
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    New York Yankees ML +105

    is a play if they stay in 49/50/51% If its 48% or 52% before 1st pitch, no play.

  5. #5
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    wow, when did oakland athletics come down to 50/50%

    If Oakland Athletics are at 49/50/51% They are the Play

    Oakland Athletics ML -166

    EDIT : NO PLAY
    Last edited by SamWise; 05-27-11 at 10:58 PM.

  6. #6
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    If Florida Marlins happens to go to 49/50/51% then take

    Florida Marlins ML -103

    No more plays, will check back later for the record.

    EDIT : NO PLAY
    Last edited by SamWise; 05-27-11 at 10:58 PM.

  7. #7
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Florida ML and Oakland Not a play since they are not in 49/50/51%

  8. #8
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Wow..... I totally fcked it up. I was suppose to take LAA ML today, but I took MIN Twins ML.

    FCK MY LIFE..........

    Lesson Learned, double check before you bet. FCK.

  9. #9
    windwind
    Update your status
    windwind's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-21-10
    Posts: 597
    Betpoints: 492

    so u bet on team that has 49 50 51% public on it? thats a weird system you have, sir.
    and where did see the % at? cuz from what i have seen u r wayyyyy off on those %.

  10. #10
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

  11. #11
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    I am just tracking right now until this system proves me it can go over 60%

    Today result

    Toronto Blue Jay win, Los Angeles Angels Win, New York Yankees Lose.

    2-1

  12. #12
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Toronto Blue Jays ML -116

    watch if it will stay on 49/50/51% before first pitch then play.

  13. #13
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    Kind of confused cause if say the jays are at 51% the team they r playing would be at 49

  14. #14
    windwind
    Update your status
    windwind's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-21-10
    Posts: 597
    Betpoints: 492

    Quote Originally Posted by ebbearsfb1 View Post
    Kind of confused cause if say the jays are at 51% the team they r playing would be at 49
    kinda have the same question, if ur team is stayin at 51%, the other team would be stayin at 49% which also falls in ur 49/50/51 system, so how do u decide which one?

    and btw, the % from sbrodds are not accurate,not sure but i think they are from one site 5dimes.

  15. #15
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Quote Originally Posted by ebbearsfb1 View Post
    Kind of confused cause if say the jays are at 51% the team they r playing would be at 49
    Basically what I am saying is as long as one side is 49%/50% or 51% it is a play under certain circumstances.

    I will explain about my system later if this proves over 60%. I feel uncomfortable sharing my system to the public especially when it its well in high percentage.

  16. #16
    miyakuza
    miyakuza's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-03-10
    Posts: 1,411
    Betpoints: 246

    This guy is so stupid, his play would have been white sox if he stuck to his "system" in his other thread. If a play is 51% and is an underdog, that would be the play, so CWS would have been the play here. This guy keeps on changing his shit around

  17. #17
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Quote Originally Posted by windwind View Post
    kinda have the same question, if ur team is stayin at 51%, the other team would be stayin at 49% which also falls in ur 49/50/51 system, so how do u decide which one?

    and btw, the % from sbrodds are not accurate,not sure but i think they are from one site 5dimes.
    Oh, I am sorry, I think I should have Clarified.

    I use PINNACLE for the Line Movement. Not 5 Dimes.

    I think pinnacle gives out more line movement.

    I would love to, really i want to say it right now but I dont want to jinx it by saying it to the public as of now.

    Let this system prove it can go above 60% long run and I will explain.

  18. #18
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Quote Originally Posted by miyakuza View Post
    This guy is so stupid, his play would have been white sox if he stuck to his "system" in his other thread. If a play is 51% and is an underdog, that would be the play, so CWS would have been the play here. This guy keeps on changing his shit around
    Dont think this is your system and I think I know better than you.
    I am pretty sure you are referring to this thread right here.

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-h...e-jays-ml.html

    go to post #6 and read again. Over and Over again.
    Is Whitesox Still the play?

    http://odds.sbrforum.com/#/odds/mlb/game/moneyline.html ( I use old sbrodds.com and use pinnacle for the line data)

    think 1 more time before you call someone stupid please.

  19. #19
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    btw, Bautista on a run here this afternoon

  20. #20
    miyakuza
    miyakuza's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-03-10
    Posts: 1,411
    Betpoints: 246

    Quote Originally Posted by SamWise View Post
    Obviously everyone wants explanation.
    I will explain.

    This system only work when there are 49%, 50% or 51% are on one side of the team.

    For example

    Florida has 49% and San Francisco Giants has 51%
    You always the take the DOG at the odds between +100 to +110(Opening odds)

    System has been 4-0. this system is very selective because there aren't much games out there with 49%,50%,51% on one team.
    :
    CWS opened as a DOG at +110 at a lot of places.

  21. #21
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    CWS opened at +115 from my chart. Dont know where you are looking.

    (Okay, I just checked.)

    Click on the line chart and see if your bookie is on 5dimes. Because that opened at +110.

    I said, I look at Pinnacle, not 5dimes. Pinnacle has more detailed line movement than 5dimes itself.

    I really dont want to argue with anyone in my thread.

    go read #17 post in this thread over and OVER again.

  22. #22
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Quote Originally Posted by miyakuza View Post
    CWS opened as a DOG at +110 at a lot of places.
    Now you edit your post after looking at it? Please dont bring any negative things in my thread. No room for that in here. having hard time capping already.

  23. #23
    windwind
    Update your status
    windwind's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-21-10
    Posts: 597
    Betpoints: 492

    Quote Originally Posted by SamWise View Post
    Oh, I am sorry, I think I should have Clarified. I use PINNACLE for the Line Movement. Not 5 Dimes. I think pinnacle gives out more line movement. I would love to, really i want to say it right now but I dont want to jinx it by saying it to the public as of now. Let this system prove it can go above 60% long run and I will explain.
    u r makin it worse, i thought this was a public bet system says the title now ur bringing in line movement?

  24. #24
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Quote Originally Posted by windwind View Post
    u r makin it worse, i thought this was a public bet system says the title now ur bringing in line movement?
    no, I dont look at the line movement. I use pinnacle as a LINE data, because it seems to me that pinnacle is the one with most precise line movement bookie. I dont read line movement, i only look at the opening line and the public bet %.

  25. #25
    windwind
    Update your status
    windwind's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-21-10
    Posts: 597
    Betpoints: 492

    Quote Originally Posted by SamWise View Post
    no, I dont look at the line movement. I use pinnacle as a LINE data, because it seems to me that pinnacle is the one with most precise line movement bookie. I dont read line movement, i only look at the opening line and the public bet %.
    and the public % ur lookin at is from 5dimes, sbrodds is using 5dimes %

  26. #26
    DemoralizdDreamr
    DemoralizdDreamr's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-04-11
    Posts: 4,319
    Betpoints: 78

    the jays blow it, 8-8 tie.

  27. #27
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Quote Originally Posted by windwind View Post
    and the public % ur lookin at is from 5dimes, sbrodds is using 5dimes %
    You can change it to any book you like.
    I personally like pinnacle because I won't say it again.

  28. #28
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Quote Originally Posted by DemoralizdDreamr View Post
    the jays blow it, 8-8 tie.



    Passed ball for a run, ball drops in a no man land for a run.

    I personally think 1st baseman could have caught the ball for the tie ball.....

    hopefully they come back in 9th bot!

  29. #29
    windwind
    Update your status
    windwind's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-21-10
    Posts: 597
    Betpoints: 492

    Quote Originally Posted by SamWise View Post
    You can change it to any book you like. I personally like pinnacle because I won't say it again.
    i dont care if u like pinnacle or not, you are using a bet percentage from ONE OFF SHORE BOOK, and that book is 5dimes, and you are calling your system a public bet system?

    you do know that each book has a different public % right?

    which part of what i said you didnt understand?

  30. #30
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Quote Originally Posted by windwind View Post
    i dont care if u like pinnacle or not, you are using a bet percentage from ONE OFF SHORE BOOK, and that book is 5dimes, and you are calling your system a public bet system?

    you do know that each book has a different public % right?

    which part of what i said you didnt understand?
    Yes, I do understand every book has a different percentage.
    I really dont want to argue here. It just useless posts and just brings in negative atmosphere to the thread.
    Maybe I should call my system"5dimes public bet but looking at Pinnacle opening line odds system"
    Does that sound about right now?

    I dont care how the winners are picked as long as they picked in any kind of a way.

    Sit back, relax and lets just look at what this "5dimes public bet but looking at Pinnacle opening line odds system" can do. I can't guarantee or tell you this system is good but it doesn't hurt to keep a record for a new system.

  31. #31
    windwind
    Update your status
    windwind's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-21-10
    Posts: 597
    Betpoints: 492

    Quote Originally Posted by SamWise View Post
    Yes, I do understand every book has a different percentage. I really dont want to argue here. It just useless posts and just brings in negative atmosphere to the thread. Maybe I should call my system"5dimes public bet but looking at Pinnacle opening line odds system" Does that sound about right now? I dont care how the winners are picked as long as they picked in any kind of a way. Sit back, relax and lets just look at what this "5dimes public bet but looking at Pinnacle opening line odds system" can do. I can't guarantee or tell you this system is good but it doesn't hurt to keep a record for a new system.

  32. #32
    HoulihansTX
    Bowl $ea$on
    HoulihansTX's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-11-09
    Posts: 30,566
    Betpoints: 295

    Blow Jays, and CWS both are awful.

    Not Cubs awful, but bad enough

  33. #33
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    Blow Jays, and CWS both are awful.

    Not Cubs awful, but bad enough
    Bautista and his crew coming up. lets get it now.

  34. #34
    DemoralizdDreamr
    DemoralizdDreamr's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-04-11
    Posts: 4,319
    Betpoints: 78

    bautista reached base on 5 of 6 plate appearences. 2 Walks, single, double, and a homerun. I wonder where we would be without this guy. We would be like the nationals or padres. Hes a one man team.

  35. #35
    SamWise
    Bet with your Head, not with your Heart
    SamWise's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-10
    Posts: 833

    Quote Originally Posted by DemoralizdDreamr View Post
    bautista reached base on 5 of 6 plate appearences. 2 Walks, single, double, and a homerun. I wonder where we would be without this guy. We would be like the nationals or padres. Hes a one man team.
    Blue Jays without bautista is like a team with no mascot.

12 Last
Top