Originally Posted by
delpiero7
Got 3 early plays for today, trying to bounce back after a shocker last night. Cincinnati Reds RL over Pittsburgh Pirates Johnny Cueto has been dominant since his return from injury this season. He is 2-0 and yet at allow an earned run. For the Pirates, James McDonald has only had one quality start on the road this season, against the Padres. Overall, he is 3-1 on the road this season, with an ERA of 9.41. He has already faced the Reds at the Great American Ballpark this season, giving up 6 ER in 4.1 innings. Washington Nationals @ New York Mets - over 7.5 runs This is more of a gut instinct rather than one that can be backed purely by stats, I’ll get the worrying stat out of the way first though – Livan Hernandez owns a 1.96 ERA in his last 6 starts vs the Mets. However, this season he has struggled on the road, going 0-3 in 4 starts, and allowing a minimum of 4 earned runs in each start. Gee has been solid without being stellar for the Mets. Backing the over may not be a great idea taking the 2 batting lineups into mind, but I feel it’s gonna happen tonight. Houston Astros @ St Louis Cardinals – over 8 runs Despite having 5 wins under his belt, Kyle McClellan has been slightly more vunerable of late, allowing at least 4 earned runs in 3 of his past 4 starts, not going more than 6 innings in any of those games. He has also faced the Astros this season (on the road), where he allowed 5 runs in 5.2 innings. Lance Berkman and Matt Holliday may well be missing for the Cards, but closer viewing shows that Berkman is 4 for his last 30, and Holliday is hitless in his last 13 ABs. Despite these recent slumps, St Louis are among the league leader in runs, RBIs and batting average over the past seven days. For the Astros, Jamie Happ has given up at least 2 earned runs in all but 1 game this season (against the anemic Mets), and has a road ERA of over 8. Contemplating the under in the Angels/Mariners game, but still looking into it.