1. #71
    barts185
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    05/31

    One day left to bring this onto the positive side, or will be the worst season on record since 2004.

    Month to date 222-183 -4.48
    -175 or better 199-168 +1.49
    Home dogs 44-51 -0.89

  2. #72
    barts185
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    In case anyone is wondering, I don't have a non-handicapping strategy for June.

    Home dogs in June, while slightly positive since 2004, have had several losing years. Overall home dogs in June are 387-444 +24.07

    More than the overall profit is accounted for in one season, 2005, when home dogs went 69-60 +24.70
    2004 was also a good year. Starting at 2006, home dogs in June have gone 255-326 -19.03

    So, I'll put up the final recap tomorrow, and be back next April for the +100 and better dogs.

    Good Luck,
    Bart

  3. #73
    Inspirited
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    It's a shame that no other months have been as consistent as April and May. September has been decent for dogs although it had a particularly bad year in 09.

    Before the season I was going to follow this strategy and take the "long term" approach and accept that I might have some bad months unless I decided to quit early on something, but you never know if things are going to turn around or not. I'll have to look into the actual days.

    strategy

    April: HD, AD
    May: HD, HF
    June: HD
    July: HF
    August: none
    September: HD, AD
    October: HD, AD

    results

    04: 5160
    05: 2205
    06: 5625
    07: 1925
    08: 8625
    09: 5990
    10: 8958

    average ~ 5500 per year

  4. #74
    barts185
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    Quote Originally Posted by Inspirited View Post
    It's a shame that no other months have been as consistent as April and May. September has been decent for dogs although it had a particularly bad year in 09.

    Before the season I was going to follow this strategy and take the "long term" approach and accept that I might have some bad months unless I decided to quit early on something, but you never know if things are going to turn around or not. I'll have to look into the actual days.

    strategy

    April: HD, AD
    May: HD, HF
    June: HD
    July: HF
    August: none
    September: HD, AD
    October: HD, AD

    results

    04: 5160
    05: 2205
    06: 5625
    07: 1925
    08: 8625
    09: 5990
    10: 8958

    average ~ 5500 per year

    For September, I would focus on the home dogs.

    Away dogs, while they had a good year last year, lost the 3 seasons prior to that.

    Here's what I get for September away dogs

    2010 123-156 +13.95
    2009 99-160 -14.40
    2008 109-159 -7.75
    2007 104-158 -6.85
    2006 117-145 +17.00
    2005 116-144 +15.45
    2004 101-161 +8.45


    and for September home dogs

    2010 49-50 +11.78
    2009 58-80 -5.85
    2008 56-52 +16.25
    2007 68-71 +12.70
    2006 64-70 +11.90
    2005 56-73 -0.65
    2004 52-90 -12.20

  5. #75
    barts185
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    And the final day is a bad one.

    Final tally for 2011

    May home teams 229-191 -7.48
    -175 or better 206-176 -1.51
    Home dogs 46-52 +0.86

    So, doesn't wipe out the profits from the April +100 or better dogs, but it's the worst season on record since 2004.

    April (+100 or better dogs) +31.99
    May (home teams) -7.48

    Total +24.51


    Good Luck,
    Bart

  6. #76
    barts185
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    Let's see if home teams in May can make back some of what April dogs lost.

  7. #77
    barts185
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    Not positive, but a better start than the dogs.

    After all games on 05/01, prior to any games on 05/02

    08-06 -0.03

  8. #78
    barts185
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    After games on 05/03/12, prior to any games on 05/04/12

    21-17 -02.38

  9. #79
    barts185
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    After games on 05/05/12, prior to any games on 05/06/12

    35-33 -05.20

  10. #80
    barts185
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    After games on 05/06/12, prior to any games on 05/07/12

    42-41 -06.90

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