1. #1
    vegasreaper
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    Baseball formula

    Hello to all I am always trying to come up with sytems to beat the books. I have recently filtered and came up with what I believe to be a prosperous system for us to follow and get that paper. I do not want any negative vibes in here as I really believe negativity breeds negative results so let's all stay positive and have a winning season in baseball. I personally bet each and every play that I put in here so if I post losers trust me I don't need you telling me I suck etc...This is a marathon and not a sprint and I believe those of us that have been doing this for awhile are all aware of this. I have been using filters to try and get the amount of plays down, which I don't like using because you inevitabilly end up leaving out winners and leaving in losers. However I believe I finally have a good thing here so I will post each and every day. It is your money and your choice to fade or follow, whichever you chose doesn't matter to me however when I give you winning days I would like some points thrown my way. Well enough of that on with the action. Here they are for Friday April 29

    956-CINCY RL +135
    953-SF RL +105
    969-DET-110
    971-TOR +140
    976-CHISOX RL +140

    GOOD LUCK TO US ALL AND LET'S GET THAT PAPER

  2. #2
    superman613
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    Looks pretty good.....good luck today

  3. #3
    vegasreaper
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    Thanks superman good luck to us all I am steady work in progress

  4. #4
    bigsmitty
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    I like your picks-I have similar although when I take heavy line faves (often) I'll pair them in parlays to somewhat lessen the line. I think it works fine for me but I keep money management religiously in mind. Cheers and good luck.

  5. #5
    yankeerick
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    will follow good luck to all

  6. #6
    vegasreaper
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    Yeah Smitty I will usually take them on run line to reduce the juice this way I only lose 1 unit verse 2 unit. Of course I want to win but I just find this works for me. And yes I wouldn't advise more than two team parlays big ones are nice to hit but very rare

  7. #7
    vegasreaper
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    Sorry all not the way I wanted first post in here to start out, but like a bike I will be back on it again tomorrow.

  8. #8
    High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR's 7 figure Contractor
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    hmmm...analogy is a little iffy...if you're like a bike, then your going to get ridden again...couldn't help myself and BOL on tomorrow's card .

  9. #9
    Grinder12000
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    Just saying you play run lines makes me a little worried - - plus asking for points just from winning days AND demanding everybody smile. Can we take away points of you lose? LOL

    but good luck - seriously - it's a tough game and its a marathon!

  10. #10
    mikeanite
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    Quote Originally Posted by vegasreaper View Post
    Hello to all I am always trying to come up with sytems to beat the books. I have recently filtered and came up with what I believe to be a prosperous system for us to follow and get that paper. I do not want any negative vibes in here as I really believe negativity breeds negative results so let's all stay positive and have a winning season in baseball. I personally bet each and every play that I put in here so if I post losers trust me I don't need you telling me I suck etc...This is a marathon and not a sprint and I believe those of us that have been doing this for awhile are all aware of this. I have been using filters to try and get the amount of plays down, which I don't like using because you inevitabilly end up leaving out winners and leaving in losers. However I believe I finally have a good thing here so I will post each and every day. It is your money and your choice to fade or follow, whichever you chose doesn't matter to me however when I give you winning days I would like some points thrown my way. Well enough of that on with the action. Here they are for Friday April 29 956-CINCY RL +135 953-SF RL +105 969-DET-110 971-TOR +140 976-CHISOX RL +140 GOOD LUCK TO US ALL AND LET'S GET THAT PAPER
    if it is something that works, you would never put in on here

  11. #11
    vegasreaper
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    and why not? it's not my money you're taking

  12. #12
    vegasreaper
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    And why is that? I am not like others it isn't my money you are taking by betting..

  13. #13
    vegasreaper
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    Fast entry computer killing me crashing

    904-philly rl
    905-sf-132
    907-milw-116
    909-flor-122
    925-seat+183
    929-minn-105

  14. #14
    vegasreaper
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    baseball formula

    Well damn this shit is getting old I know things go in streaks but time to turn it. Here goes Sundays

    953-SF-124
    960-ARIZ-164
    962-LAD-130
    967-SEAT-115
    969-TOR+128
    972-CLEVE-134
    973-LAA+130

    Well good luck to us all YTD 4/29 -2.7 UNITS, 4/30 -1.9 UNITS NOT THE WAY I INTENDED TO START IN HERE
    Last edited by vegasreaper; 05-01-11 at 04:37 PM. Reason: adding ytd totals

  15. #15
    vegasreaper
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    Well damn this shit is getting old I know things go in streaks but time to turn it. Here goes Sundays
    953-SF-124
    960-ARIZ-164
    962-LAD-130
    967-SEAT-115
    969-TOR+128
    972-CLEVE-134
    973-LAA+130

    Well good luck to us all YTD 4/29 -2.7 UNITS, 4/30 -1.9 UNITS NOT THE WAY I INTENDED TO START IN HERE

    4/29 -2.7UNITS
    4/30-1.9 UNITS
    5/1 -1.39UNITS
    YTD= -5.99 UNITS
    Last edited by vegasreaper; 05-02-11 at 02:43 AM. Reason: programming codes were in post

  16. #16
    vegasreaper
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    Coming Back STRONG

    Here we go time to get back on plus side. Here are Mondays plays 5-2

    902-WASH-115
    904-ATL-140
    [strike]
    906-CINCY-170
    908-STL-165
    910-SD-150
    912-LAD 5INN -1/2 +105
    915-LAA 5INN -115

    AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL
    3-3 5-2 -1.25 UNITS YTD -7.24 UNITS
    Last edited by vegasreaper; 05-03-11 at 12:20 AM.

  17. #17
    vegasreaper
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    Tuesday Formula Plays

    Can't believe my Laker's lost like that, at home no less. Well here we go with Tuesday's plays

    954-CINCY-175
    956-ATL-153
    959-FLOR+125
    961-COLOR-130
    964-SD-155
    966-LAD-155
    968-TBAY-165
    969-NYY-155
    974-CHISOX-130
    977-CLEVE+100
    979-TEX-130

    New experiment with totals to watch, only watching

    WASH/PHIL UNDER
    SF/NYM OVER 7 1/2
    FLOR/STL UNDER 8
    NYY/DET UNDER 9
    LAA/BOST UNDER 7
    MINN/CHISOX OVER 9
    BALT/KCTY OVER 9

    GOOD LUCK TO US ALL AND I SURE WILL BE GLAD WHEN THIS TURNS. ALL WAS GOOD UNTILL I STARTED POSTING?????INTERESTING

  18. #18
    vegasreaper
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    Fade system

    Can't believe my Laker's lost like that, at home no less. Well here we go with Tuesday's plays
    954-CINCY-175
    956-ATL-153
    959-FLOR+125
    961-COLOR-130
    964-SD-155
    966-LAD-155
    968-TBAY-165
    969-NYY-155
    974-CHISOX-130
    977-CLEVE+100
    979-TEX-130

    New experiment with totals to watch, only watching[/color]

    WASH/PHIL UNDER
    SF/NYM OVER 7 1/2
    FLOR/STL UNDER 8
    NYY/DET UNDER 9
    LAA/BOST UNDER 7
    MINN/CHISOX OVER 9
    BALT/KCTY OVER 9

    GOOD LUCK TO US ALL AND I SURE WILL BE GLAD WHEN THIS TURNS. ALL WAS GOOD UNTILL I STARTED POSTING?????INTERESTING

    WOW I GUESS I WOULD SAY FADE UNTIL THIS TURNS AROUND UNREAL LOST ANOTHER 6.75 UNITS
    TOTAL YTD 13.99 OBVIOUSLY GOING TO HAVE TO TWEEK THIS AND FIGURE OUT WHATS UP AS I SAID FIRST MONTH WAS WORKING GOOD AND NOW SHAT.

    NEW EXPERIMENT WITH TOTALS IS UP 1.1 UNIT FOR THE FIRST DAY

  19. #19
    Whippit
    getting to know ms. douglas
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    lets get that paper

  20. #20
    vegasreaper
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    Tweaked formula with totals

    Alright so now we will enter with a little tweaking of the system and see how this does now. I think I have something but we'll see. I have kept the totals formula in as it was plus 1.1 UNIT on day 1. So here we go

    WEDNESDAY

    903-CUBS +108
    905-PITT +130
    907-WASH +145
    911-SF -140
    915-COLOR -130
    919-TOR +110
    927-CLEVE +135

    TOTALS

    901-HOUST/CINCY OVER 9 +110
    907-WASH/PHIL UNDER 9 -120
    909-MILW/ATL UNDER 7 +105
    923-LAA/BOST UNDER 8 1/2 -120
    925-BALT/KCTY OVER 9 -110
    927-CLEV/OAK UNDER 7 -115
    929-TEX/SEAT UNDER 6 1/2-105

    ALRIGHT EVERYONE LET'S START HITTING THEM BOOKS, BEST OF LUCK TO US ALL

    SIDES TODAY PLUS 3.48 UNITS(THATS MORE LIKE IT) SEE FILTERS WORK

    TOTALS TODAY -1.15 UNITS YTD -.05 UNITS
    Last edited by vegasreaper; 05-05-11 at 12:54 AM.

  21. #21
    vegasreaper
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    Tweaked baseball formula

    Now that was more like it like I said this all is a work in progress and I implemented filters and back tested and would have quite different results for the YTD but it is what it is.

    SIDES

    951-SF-110
    953-FLOR-124
    957-MILW +110
    959-COLOR +103
    961-NYY-110
    963-TOR +140
    965-LAA +150
    968-KCTY-108
    972-SEAT +105

    TOTALS

    963-TOR/TB UNDER 7 1/2-115
    967-BALT/KCTY OVER 9-110
    957-MILW/ATL UNDER 7 1/2-115

    WELL GOOD LUCK TO US ALL AND I HOPE THE FILTERS CONTINUE TO PROVIDE PROFITABLE DAYS AHEAD

  22. #22
    vegasreaper
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    Tweaked baseball formula

    Well now that is more like it I hope the filters continue to work. I went back and did some back testing and would have had quite different results than the four days I posted on here. It's okay though we will be on plus side soon and like I said this is a work in progress I continue to work numbers to try to get the paper.

    THURSDAY

    SIDES

    951-SF-110
    953-FLOR-124
    957-MILW +110
    959-COLOR +103
    961-NYY-110
    963-TOR +140
    965-LAA +150
    968-KCTY-108
    972-SEAT +105

    TOTALS

    963-TOR/TBAY UNDER 7 1/2-115
    967-BALT/KCTY OVER 9-110
    957-MILW/ATL UNDER 7 1/2-115

    MAY WE ALL HAVE CONTINUED SUCCESS AT GETTING THAT PAPER
    Last edited by vegasreaper; 05-05-11 at 10:12 PM.

  23. #23
    DemoralizdDreamr
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    WAYYYY too may plays bro. Ur making it nearly impossible for u to hit 60+% unless this is just for testing purpose but in the long run ull be lucky to break even betting this many plays.

  24. #24
    vegasreaper
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    Appreciate advise but don't want to filter down plays as this usually gets you in trouble. So we will have to see and you don't need to hit 60 % in this as with filter most are plus plays. Thanks though always open to advise on things. Good Luck

  25. #25
    DemoralizdDreamr
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    Quote Originally Posted by vegasreaper View Post
    Appreciate advise but don't want to filter down plays as this usually gets you in trouble. So we will have to see and you don't need to hit 60 % in this as with filter most are plus plays. Thanks though always open to advise on things. Good Luck
    I see ur point, the win percentage doesnt matter just the units won/lost because u take more underdogs. Good Luck in the evening

  26. #26
    vegasreaper
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    Thanks for your support brother, yeah I use basically a money management tool I learned from Kevin O'Neill and to do 52.3 percent in football and basketball is goal and of course because of money line with bases it is different but usually the percentage comes oput better. And at the end of 20 years you would have 1.2 million dollars so I call it my 401 k plan

  27. #27
    vegasreaper
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    Fridays plays

    Okay here we go for Fridays bases

    YTD SIDES PRE FILTERS -12.40 UNITS
    YTD SIDES POST FILTERS +1.59 UNITS
    YTD TOTALS +2.95 UNITS

    SIDES

    902-CUBS-120
    905-HOUST +105
    909-LAD +110
    911-MILW +135
    913-ARIZ +120
    917-MINN +130
    920-TOR-115
    921-TBAY +100
    924-TEX-110
    925-OAK-120
    927-CLEV-113

    TOTALS

    901-CINCY UNDER 7 1/2 +100
    905-HOUST UNDER 7 1/2-110
    911-MILW UNDER 7 1/2 +100
    919-DET OVER 9 +110
    921-TBAY UNDER 8-105
    923-NYY OVER 10 1/2 +105

    LET'S KEEP THIS TRAIN ROLLING, I KNOW ALOT OF PLAYS BUT I GET IN TROUBLE WHEN I TRY TO LIMIT SO GOOD LUCK TO US ALL
    Last edited by vegasreaper; 05-06-11 at 10:23 PM.

  28. #28
    vegasreaper
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    Saturdays plays

    Well still looking for that big day to separate this formula. Totals had another positive day while the sides had a mild losing day.

    YTD PRE FILTER -13.48 UNITS
    YTD-POST FILTER +.51 UNITS
    YTD TOTALS +4.05 UNITS

    SIDES

    951-LAD +115
    953-CINCY-130
    956-STL-128
    957-ATL +108
    959-HOUST+105
    961-WASH +125
    963-ARIZ +105
    969-MINN +150
    972-TOR+105
    979-CHISOX +105

    TOTALS

    951-LAD/'METS U 7 1/2-120
    963-ARIZ/SD U 6 1/2 +105
    965-COL/SF O 7 1/2+105
    967-TB/BALT U 8 -110
    971-DET/TOR U 7 1/2 -105
    973-OAK/KCTY U 8 1/2 -105
    975-NYY/TEX U 10 +100
    979-CWS/SEAT U 6 1/2 +105

    WELL GOOD LUCK TO US ALL TOMORROW AND HOPE WE ALL GET THE PAPER

  29. #29
    vegasreaper
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    Saturdays plays

    Well still looking for that big day to separate this formula. Totals had another positive day while the sides had a mild losing day.

    YTD PRE FILTER -13.48 UNITS
    YTD-POST FILTER +.51 UNITS
    YTD TOTALS +4.05 UNITS

    SIDES FOR TODAY -4.23 UNITS YTD -3.72 UNITS

    951-LAD +115
    953-CINCY-130
    956-STL-128
    957-ATL +108
    959-HOUST+105
    961-WASH +125
    963-ARIZ +105
    969-MINN +150
    972-TOR+105
    979-CHISOX +105

    TOTALS FOR TODAY -.05 UNITS YTD +4.0 UNITS

    951-LAD/'METS U 7 1/2-120
    963-ARIZ/SD U 6 1/2 +105
    965-COL/SF O 7 1/2+105
    967-TB/BALT U 8 -110
    971-DET/TOR U 7 1/2 -105
    973-OAK/KCTY U 8 1/2 -105
    975-NYY/TEX U 10 +100
    979-CWS/SEAT U 6 1/2 +105

    WELL GOOD LUCK TO US ALL TOMORROW AND HOPE WE ALL GET THE PAPER

  30. #30
    vegasreaper
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    Sundays plays

    Boy gotta love Animal Kingdom well here we go for Sundays winners

    SIDES FOR THE DAY +.80 UNITS YTD -2.92

    901-WASH+135
    903-LAD-120
    912-SD-130
    913-COLOR-120
    919-TBAY-115
    921-MINN+167
    928-LAA-135

    TOTALS FOR THE DAY -1.3 UNITS YTD +2.7 UNITS

    905-HOUST/PITT O 8-105
    915-ATL/PHIL U 7 1/2-120
    917-DET/TOR O 9-110
    923-OAK/KCTY O 8 1/2-105
    927-CLEV/LAA U 7 1/2-115

    GOOD LUCK TO US ALL AND GOOOOOOOOOO LAKERS GOT EM RIGHT WHERE WE WANT THEM
    Last edited by vegasreaper; 05-09-11 at 01:49 AM.

  31. #31
    vegasreaper
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    Mondays plays

    Alright let's start this week off with a BANG I feel good about this card....

    SIDES YTD -2.92 UNITS FOR THE DAY +.95 YTD -1.97 UNITS

    951-LAD -125
    953-PHIL-110
    957-SD +133
    961-DET +105
    965-OAK +115

    TOTALS YTD +2.70 UNITS UNITS FOR THE DAY -3.10 UNITS YTD -.40 UNITS

    961-DET/TOR U7 1/2
    965-OAK/TEX U8 1/2
    967-CWS/LAA U7 1/2

    AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL
    Last edited by vegasreaper; 05-09-11 at 11:18 PM.

  32. #32
    vegasreaper
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    Wednesdays Winners

    Hoping this turns a big profit day seems to be about middling. But hey a winning day is a winning day as my father tells me so here we go

    SIDES YTD -1.97 UNITS FOR THE DAY +4.95 UNITS YTD +2.98 UNITS

    951-SD +125
    954-HOUST +105

    955-NYM +165
    957-LAD-105
    959-PHIL-115
    964-CUBS-120
    968-MINN-115

    969-OAK +105
    974-TOR +115
    975-TBAY-125
    977-SEAT-135

    TOTALS YTD -.40 UNITS FOR THE DAY -2.40 UNITS YTD -2.8 UNITS

    951-SD/MILW U 7 1/2-120
    957-LAD/PITT U 7 1/2-120
    959-PHIL/FLOR U7 +110
    975-TB/CLEV U8-120

    AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL
    Last edited by vegasreaper; 05-11-11 at 11:04 PM.

  33. #33
    btd
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    Good Luck with all those picks.

  34. #34
    Raleigh77
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    you eat a lot of chalk, not healthy.

  35. #35
    vegasreaper
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    Not really I know what you are saying as chalk will kill you but if you look alot of my plays are on the plus side and I don't lay anything over 135-140 tops...

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