[jorge1]

Update.

Guys. Based on some funky ass line changes I had to edit some plays. Here are final plays for today ! No more changes. Note changes include cancelling the arizona bet and betting on cincy. Also cancelling minny bet and going with baltimore. Adding sdg on both games and wsh on both as well.

So here are the additions to the plays already pósted.

Select #1 : MLB Baseball (San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs (Game #1))
San Diego Padres 4/20/2011 2:20 PM - (EST)
Money Line +127 for Game
D Moseley - R - Action***M Garza - R - Action
Risking 50.00 To Win 63.50 USD
Select #2 : MLB Baseball (Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds)
Cincinnati Reds 4/20/2011 7:10 PM - (EST)
Spread -1 -110 for Game
I Kennedy - R must Start***B Arroyo - R must Start
Risking 110.00 To Win 100.00 USD
Select #3 : MLB Baseball (Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals (Game #2))
Washington Nationals 4/20/2011 8:15 PM - (EST)
Money Line +154 for Game
J Zimmerman - R - Action***J Garcia - L - Action
Risking 50.00 To Win 77.00 USD
Select #4 : MLB Baseball (Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles)
Baltimore Orioles 4/20/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line -132 for Game
N Blackburn - R must Start***Z Britton - L must Start
Risking 132.00 To Win 100.00 USD
Select #5 : MLB Baseball (San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs (Game #2))
San Diego Padres 4/20/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line -111 for Game
A Harang - R - Action***J Russell - L - Action
Risking 55.50 To Win 50.00 USD
Select #6 : MLB Baseball (Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals (Game #1))
Washington Nationals 4/20/2011 2:15 PM - (EST)
Money Line +136 for Game
J Lannan - L - Action***Westbrook - R - Action
Risking 50.00 To Win 68.00 USD

[jorge1]

Note I bet 100 on cin and bal to cancel ari and min respectively and gain 50 on each. So if u hadn't put in those early wagers only play cincy 50 and bal 50 instead of 100

[jorge1]

Plays I particularly do not like are phi rl. Bos ml. Cincy game. Atl ml. Bal game.

But I play them bec this system has yet to fail me.so why fight the system. I just let it ride.

Plays I'm glad system picked bec I like a lot are cle. Wsh game 1. Cws. And sfo!

I'm sad going against delarosa though. That's my dawg! But he been kinda flacky lately. He will shape up.

So 17 games up today I believe. We should be able to hit at least 9 of the 17 to cut a profit.

[jorge1]

Man. I think cws don't get it done tonight. I'm pulling the play.

NO PLAY on cws TONIGHT.

I'm playing it the other way

TB -130 1x.

Sorry guys but honestly no way I can tail cws on a 6 game losing streak. If they win imma kick my own ass and kiss the system for ruling! Lol

[LChruscial85]

Jorge1 can you please pay your 10 points for the MLB 17 run pool contest. Each new week starts Monday so I need the points every monday

[Reno Gambler]

Thanks dude

[Hip2Bsq]

I had Tam winning when I capped it.

[Kuroudu]

Hey jorge1, read your post at the other thread. Thanks!

These are your system plays today right?

Philadelphia Phillies -1,5		1.95	
San Francisco Giants			2.00
Arizona Diamondbacks			2.30
Pittsburgh Pirates			2.40
Houston Astros				2.30
Washington Nationals			2.50
Atlanta Braves				1.70
Boston Red Sox				1.91
Detroit Tigers				1.91
Chicago White Sox		2.10	
New York Yankees			1.83
Los Angeles Angels			1.95
Cleveland Indians			1.91
San Diego Padres			2.30
Baltimore Orioles			1.67
Cincinnati Reds -1,5			2.40


Game #2	
Washington Nationals			2.50
San Diego Padres			1.87

That's a lot, but I will tail along .

[BMaddz]

[quote=Kuroudu;9700246]Hey jorge1, read your post at the other thread. Thanks!

These are your system plays today right?

Philadelphia Phillies -1,5        1.95    
San Francisco Giants            2.00
Arizona Diamondbacks            2.30
Pittsburgh Pirates            2.40
Houston Astros                2.30
Washington Nationals            2.50
Atlanta Braves                1.70
Boston Red Sox                1.91
Detroit Tigers                1.91
Chicago White Sox        2.10    
New York Yankees            1.83
Minnesota Twins                2.25
Los Angeles Angels            1.95
Cleveland Indians            1.91
San Diego Padres            2.30
Baltimore Orioles            1.67
Cincinnati Reds -1,5            2.40


Game #2    
Washington Nationals            2.50
San Diego Padres            1.87

That's a lot, but I will tail along .[/quote

you got the twins and orioles both in there the play is orioles i believe

[sonnybaby]

GOOD WORK IN HERE MY SLIME KEEP IT UP

[jorge1]

Sonny thanks bro! U already KNOW!

[jorge1]

Sonny thanks bro! U already KNOW!

Bmadds. No play on arizonaa

[jorge1]

GUYS, TODAY'S FINAL PLAYS ARE:

4/20

78685863-1 4/19/11 11:03pm $100.00 $115.00 Pending 4/20/11 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 902 Philadelphia Phillies -1½ +115* vs Milwaukee Brewers (C Narveson - L must Start C Lee - L must Start)

78685863-2 4/19/11 11:03pm $50.00 $55.50 Pending 4/20/11 3:10pm Reduced Baseball 905 San Francisco Giants +111* vs Colorado Rockies (M Cain - R must Start De La Rosa - L must Start)

78685863-3 4/19/11 11:03pm $50.00 $71.50 Pending 4/20/11 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 907 Arizona Diamondbacks +143* vs Cincinnati Reds (I Kennedy - R must Start B Arroyo - R must Start)

78685863-4 4/19/11 11:03pm $50.00 $75.00 Pending 4/20/11 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 909 Pittsburgh Pirates +150* vs Florida Marlins (C Morton - R must Start R Nolasco - R must Start)

78685863-5 4/19/11 11:03pm $50.00 $69.00 Pending 4/20/11 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 911 Houston Astros +138* vs New York Mets (B Norris - R must Start R Dickey - R must Start)

78685863-6 4/19/11 11:03pm $50.00 $78.50 Pending 4/20/11 8:15pm Reduced Baseball 913 Washington Nationals +157* vs St. Louis Cardinals (J Zimmerman J Garcia - L must Start)

78685863-7 4/19/11 11:03pm $66.00 $50.00 Pending 4/20/11 10:10pm Reduced Baseball 915 Atlanta Braves -132* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (D Lowe - R must Start J Garland - R must Start)

78685863-8 4/19/11 11:03pm $50.50 $50.00 Pending 4/20/11 3:35pm Reduced Baseball 917 Boston Red Sox -101* vs Oakland Athletics (C Buchholz - R must Start G Gonzalez - L must Start)

78685863-9 4/19/11 11:03pm $102.00 $100.00 Pending 4/20/11 3:40pm Reduced Baseball 919 Detroit Tigers -102* vs Seattle Mariners (R Porcello - R must Start E Bedard - L must Start)

78685863-10 4/19/11 11:03pm $50.00 $60.00 Pending 4/20/11 6:40pm Reduced Baseball 921 Chicago White Sox +120* vs Tampa Bay Rays (P Humber - R must Start W Davis - R must Start)

78685863-11 4/19/11 11:03pm $56.00 $50.00 Pending 4/20/11 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 923 New York Yankees -112* vs Toronto Blue Jays (B Colon - R must Start B Cecil - L must Start)

78685863-12 4/19/11 11:03pm $50.00 $63.50 Pending 4/20/11 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 925 Minnesota Twins +127* vs Baltimore Orioles (N Blackburn - R must Start Z Britton - L must Start)

78685863-13 4/19/11 11:03pm $50.00 $50.50 Pending 4/20/11 8:05pm Reduced Baseball 927 Los Angeles Angels +101* vs Texas Rangers (Jer Weaver - R must Start M Harrison must Start)

78685863-14 4/19/11 11:04pm $53.00 $50.00 Pending 4/20/11 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 929 Cleveland Indians -106* vs Kansas City Royals(Masterson-R must Start L Hochevar - R must Start)

Select #1 : MLB Baseball (San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs (Game #1))
San Diego Padres 4/20/2011 2:20 PM - (EST)
Money Line +127 for Game
D Moseley - R - Action***M Garza - R - Action
Risking 50.00 To Win 63.50 USD

Select #2 : MLB Baseball (Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds)
Cincinnati Reds 4/20/2011 7:10 PM - (EST)
Spread -1 -110 for Game
I Kennedy - R must Start***B Arroyo - R must Start
Risking 110.00 To Win 100.00 USD

Select #3 : MLB Baseball (Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals (Game #2))
Washington Nationals 4/20/2011 8:15 PM - (EST)
Money Line +154 for Game
J Zimmerman - R - Action***J Garcia - L - Action
Risking 50.00 To Win 77.00 USD

Select #4 : MLB Baseball (Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles)
Baltimore Orioles 4/20/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line -132 for Game
N Blackburn - R must Start***Z Britton - L must Start
Risking 132.00 To Win 100.00 USD

Select #5 : MLB Baseball (San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs (Game #2))
San Diego Padres 4/20/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line -111 for Game
A Harang - R - Action***J Russell - L - Action
Risking 55.50 To Win 50.00 USD

Select #6 : MLB Baseball (Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals (Game #1))
Washington Nationals 4/20/2011 2:15 PM - (EST)
Money Line +136 for Game
J Lannan - L - Action***Westbrook - R - Action
Risking 50.00 To Win 68.00 USD

TB ML -130 130.00 TO WIN 100.00

[jorge1]

THE ONES THAT ARE UNDERLINED ARE PLAYS THAT IM PLAYING EXTRA TO SCRATCH THE STRIKED OUT PLAYS...

example: TB 130 to win 100 should only be 65 to win 50, but im trying to also win back the earlier bet on CWS, so thats why its extra amount wagered...

any confusion, just ask me...

fack, the system calls only ML's, but when they are too expensive i turn them into RL..and the PHI game the system was right but we lost it for betting the RL! ill make it -1 RL from now on, for the most part.

[jorge1]

testing signature

[jorge1]

The system (mlb):

4/14 9-3 +7.26x
4/15 9-5 +3.00x
4/18 7-2 +2.67x
4/19 10-3 +6.14x

ytd: 35-13 +19.07x

[Hip2Bsq]

I am 8/3 w atl. Pending. Phi started too early for me and I layed off s.d and wash due to the dhs

[jorge1]

If ATL loses to ATL, tonights record will be:

10-7 +1.33x

Im happy system made money once again, but kinda upset at the fact that if it was flat betting it wouldve made at least 3 units. Reasons why we lost some money today:

I didnt notice i double dipped on GAME 2 of WSH/STL, which lost...That game should've been bet .50x as all the others, but was not. This net loss would've allowed us to be at +1.83x today.

Also, playing the RL in PHI instead of the -1 spread killed 1.0x of the BR. This would've been a push, which is what the system actually called for. The system calls SIDES, not spreads...so I play runlines out of arrogance, and simple fact that I wont play no line higher than -140. I will play the -1 line instead. This wouldve resulted in another +1x in our BR today, and a better record of 10-6-1 +2.83x.

These rules are being implemented from now on:

Games are chosen everynight to get cheapest prices possible.
Games are looked at in the morning and based on system predictions due to line change, some changes may apply.
Favorites OVER -140 price are played on the -1 SPREAD...NOT THE -1.5.
The amount per play is FLAT, no matter WHAT. If anything, plays in doubt can be played at a lesser price, however, no wagers will be placed above the unit size of the day.
Play size changes as per changes in BR, daily.

[jorge1]

Hip2Bsq,

so you enjoyed the winners?

[jorge1]

guys, this system WORKS...

I UNDERSTAND ppl's reluctance to play it due to high volume of plays...i tried to filter them, but how do you filter a system that is picking so many winners? IVE TRIED and the filters end up backfiring...The system's parameters are enough for me to feel comfortable to play every game since it serves me with an edge on EVERY GAME...

the fackin system works...tail it, or fade it...i dont care...but so far its killing it, and i have reasons to believe itll continue to do so...The parameters of the system allows it to change and warp as the season and teh teams change as well..Its not a trend system, or a full on stats system...Thats all I can say..

Tail or fade, fack it!

Once you guys see 100 units up before all star break, we will see who fades, lol...

regression to mean MY A$$...

thanks to all u A$$holes in the THINKTANK who DIDNT wanna help and were skeptical...saying this wouldnt work...

It hasnt had ONE losing day in the WHOLE SEASON ive been tracking...

THINKTANK A-holes, thanks again...to those who did contribute a bit, without knowing what i had underwraps, MY SINCERE THANKS!



Jorge

Two years in the works or algorythms, and tens of excell sheets, I GOT IT!

[mac miller]

im very interested in your system, did a few plays of them tonight and went 5-2.. but im just curious as to what the "system" decides who the winner is? like factors are taken into consideration, calculations, etc.. will be following all picks tomorrow though

[BMaddz]

this system is cash money ma dude...i do get weary of tailng 17 plays however since its only day 4 of the system so i only tailed 3 of the ones tht i personally liked as well and cashed all 3! thanks brah

[Sbot420]

What up J...I tailed u today on a cpl games but i couldnt go big. Was down 30 units from a cpl bad nba plays last week. I made three six tm parlays for .25 units. Missed two by the 1 game lol_Pirates didnt show up.

Im impressed...F*#@ the haters_ Lets get that $hit

[ClausensHands]

Great picks, man. Hope it keeps rollin' for ya

[Hip2Bsq]

Trying to transfer some more pts to you jorge... I aent you some last night.

[jorge1]

THERE IS NO HOPE IS GAMBLING...

That Being said,

Thanks for all the commentary...guys, i cant talk too much right now, but Ill reply to all your questions tomorrow AM.

here are early plays for tomorrow...

[jorge1]

4/21

78760362-14/21/11 12:17am$75.00$87.75 Pending4/21/11 12:35pm Reduced Baseball 951 Arizona Diamondbacks +117* vs Cincinnati Reds (D Hudson - R - Action M Leake - R - Action)

78760362-24/21/11 12:17am$75.00$117.75 Pending4/21/11 1:45pm Reduced Baseball 953 Washington Nationals +157* vs St. Louis Cardinals (T Gorzelanny - L - Action K Lohse - R - Action)

78760362-34/21/11 12:17am$97.50$75.00Pending4/21/11 3:10pm Reduced Baseball 956 Los Angeles Dodgers -130* vs Atlanta Braves (J Jurrjens - R must Start C Kershaw - L must Start)

78760362-44/21/11 12:17am$75.00$90.00Pending4/21/11 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 957 Houston Astros +120* vs New York Mets (J Happ - L - Action C Capuano - L - Action)

78760362-54/21/11 12:17am$75.00$90.00Pending4/21/11 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 959 Pittsburgh Pirates +120* vs Florida Marlins (J McDonald - R - Action C Volstad - R - Action)

78760362-64/21/11 12:17am$50.00$51.50Pending4/21/11 10:05pm Reduced Baseball 962 San Diego Padres +103* vs Philadelphia Phillies (R Oswalt - R - Action M Latos - R - Action)

78760362-74/21/11 12:17am$76.50$75.00Pending4/21/11 6:40pm Reduced Baseball 964 Tampa Bay Rays -102* vs Chicago White Sox (G Floyd - R - Action J Niemann - R - Action)

78760362-84/21/11 12:17am$75.00$93.75Pending4/21/11 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 965 Minnesota Twins +125* vs Baltimore Orioles (S Baker - R - Action J Guthrie - R - Action)

78760362-94/21/11 12:17am$80.25$75.00Pending4/21/11 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 967 Cleveland Indians -107* vs Kansas City Royals (J Tomlin - R - Action S O'Sullivan - R - Action)

78760362-104/21/11 12:17am$50.00$76.00Pending4/21/11 10:05pm Reduced Baseball 970 Los Angeles Angels +152* vs Boston Red Sox (J Beckett - R - Action T Chatwood - R - Action)

78760362-114/21/11 12:17am$69.00$50.00Pending4/21/11 10:10pm Reduced Baseball 972 Seattle Mariners -138* vs Oakland Athletics (B McCarthy - R - Action F Hernandez - R - Action)

[lilb999]

Just found this tread. Looks nice as heck. Looks like ill be tailin it for awhile

Question: If my unit size is too large to tail ALL of your plays, would the system work with me tailing 3/4 of them? If not I can always just reduce my unit size also :P

[BookieRobber]

system looking good

[kanak_attack]

damn im pretty excited to start tailing. this looks ******* good. props to the two years it took to get your shit together. AMEN

[Titan_12]

Great system! Good Job

[pacocn]

great work Jorge!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[jorge1]

before I answer any questions or talk about the record, etc. let me address today's system plays.

Today is a funky day. Please tail lightly because i have several plays that TO ME, as a capper, make no sense. I have reversed several plays because I believe they are off in THE SYSTEM. Here are the SYSTEM plays today, and as you can see i edited a few, which i will write further why:

sea ml
lad ml
wsh ml
hou ml
ari ml
min ml
pit ml
sdg ml
cws ml
cle ml
bos ml

The three plays highlighted and bolded above I either played the other side(CWS, BOS), or played a lesser amount (SEA). WHY?

CWS are on a 7 game losing streak, TB feeling good, batting good, got the mojo, and honestly, Im not tailing a losing team...This is an OBVIOUS filter.

BOS - the play is there but I am weary of BOS in this system because of how the system works...The way it works, which ill explain a lil later how, it takes teams like BOS and NYY and make em plays when in reality, might not be such a good play...WHY NOT PLAY BOSTON? JER WEAVER pitched a NINE INNING game yesterday, LAA on a roll going TO TEXAS and winning the series. And come on! The day after your STUD kills it, it gets the WHOLE team going...I SEE AAAALOT more value in LAA at +149 than BOS...i dont care for beckett anyways. so sue me!

SEA - i bet a lesser amount because The system is calling seattle partly based on FELIX hernandez pitching...however, This doesnt mean they win! He can pitch, but his last outing i faded him and cashed, plus jsut because he can pitch dont mean THEY CAN BAT...you feel me? So im not going against the system on this one, but ill just bet .5x instead of the .75x that im on each of these plays.

Also, i wagered .5x on SDG instead of the full .75x because they jsut had a double header yesterday, and OSWALT is a GREAT PITCHER..im really not wanting to go against PHI here, but I cant go against the system in 5 plays in one day! Id be shooting myself in the foot!

SO THERE is todays card. Games i feel real good about are: HOUSTON ML, CLE ML, MIN ML, ARI ML.

[jorge1]

The system (mlb):

4/14 9-3 +7.26x
4/15 9-5 +3.00x
4/18 7-2 +2.67x
4/19 10-3 +6.14x

4/20 10-7 +1.33x

ytd 45-20 +20.40x

[jorge1]

im very interested in your system, did a few plays of them tonight and went 5-2.. but im just curious as to what the "system" decides who the winner is? like factors are taken into consideration, calculations, etc.. will be following all picks tomorrow though

Calculations? Various algorithms were written to decode opening line prices, line changes, etc. That being said, the part of the system to be careful with is that alot of lines are public perception, but most lines are pretty accurate as to outcome of the game. NO that doesnt mean that a -180 fave is accurate to win..NOT AT ALL...ALOT MORE is hidden between the lines...between ML, RL, TT, TOTAL, opening line, line changes overnight, all the info I NEED IS THERE...

The filters im trying to put in place are more STATS specific...but think of this...BOOKS have ALLLLLLL THE STATS FIGURED OUT...

Tease your brain a bit - have you ever wondered why this line would look like this:

apr 15th: COL -148 ML 185 RL 8.5 TOT @ HOME
apr 13th: LAA -148 ML 135 RL 8.5 TOT @ HOME


MONEYLINE's the same...why is the line different? why the difference in the lines? what does THIS LINE TELL US!!!!!!

Well, just for your info, i bet both games, and won them...based on what ive decoded from the lines...alot mroe info is needed than jsut this, but that is jsut the tip of the iceberg.

this system is cash money ma dude...i do get weary of tailng 17 plays however since its only day 4 of the system so i only tailed 3 of the ones tht i personally liked as well and cashed all 3! thanks brah

cool man...tail the ones u like...its your MONEY!

Jorge