1. #71
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    Quote Originally Posted by Stevedore View Post
    I'm doing the exact opposite, fading the O's against the Yankees. The O's got shut out so they're a fade against. Yankees are also one of the home teams I'm playing in a Home system. Any team where you play ON that is a HEAVY favorite you can always play them on the RL -1. There's a conversion you can do to take the RL from 1.5 to 1

    i might just lay off this orioles and yankees series as they were both shut out today

  2. #72
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    SYSTEM 2:

    Bet On a team off allowing 0 runs. This is a 5gm Chase. We will OMIT the following teams. (LAD , BALT, KC, CLEV, WASH).. Everyone else is a go. As you can ses, the teams we are omitting are mostly lower tier teams.. There are not many wins generated from these teams and alot of risk for a loss.


    Results previous 3 years:

    2010: 269-2 +204 UNITS

    Gm1- 148 wins
    Gm2- 67 wins
    Gm3- 29 wins
    Gm4- 13 wins
    Gm5- 12 wins

    2 losses- Oakland,Colorado

    2009: 227-1 +183 UNITS

    Gm1- 133 wins
    Gm2- 45 wins
    Gm3- 29 wins
    Gm4- 14 wins
    Gm5- 6 wins

    1 Loss- Cincy

  3. #73
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    SYSTEM 1:

    Bet Against a team off scoring 0 runs. This is a 6gm Chase. We will OMIT the following teams. (LAD , OAK , C.SOX).. Everyone else is a go. I like this system the best due to the fact it has only had 3 losses in 3 yrs and we only omit 3 teams.

    Results previous 3 years:

    2010: 280-1 +264 UNITS

    Gm1- 141 wins
    Gm2- 76 wins
    Gm3- 35 wins
    Gm4- 12 wins
    Gm5- 9 wins
    Gm6- 7 wins

    1 loss- Detroit Tigers

    2009: 228-1 +198 UNITS

    Gm1- 125 wins
    Gm2- 52 wins
    Gm3- 28 wins
    Gm4- 14 wins
    Gm5- 5 wins
    Gm6- 4 wins

    1 Loss- NYY

    2008: 219-1 +150 UNITS

    Gm1- 117 wins
    Gm2- 42 wins
    Gm3- 28 wins
    Gm4- 19 wins
    Gm5- 7 wins
    Gm6- 6 wins

    1 Loss- TB
    Points Awarded:

    soldier1047 gave ebbearsfb1 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  4. #74
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    the thing with ommiting teams is you do not know how they are going to be this year, as cleveland was shitty last year but looks better this year so far


    the way its looking seems like you have to stick to one system or the other as it can get confusing
    Last edited by ebbearsfb1; 04-10-11 at 10:19 PM.

  5. #75
    gtboy
    gtboy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-15-10
    Posts: 810

    will u omit NNY Tue and play BAL instead, at least thats my plan.

  6. #76
    mitchp
    mitchp's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-29-10
    Posts: 227

    Quote Originally Posted by playr101 View Post
    mitch... am I wrong on the TEX chase?

    -playr101
    Playr,

    I totally missed the other shut out, but that is a good questions. Since this is my first season, I don't have an answer based upon experience, but I would have to agree with you.

  7. #77
    mitchp
    mitchp's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-29-10
    Posts: 227

    I think ebbearsfb1 is correct and we should lay off the game, plenty opportunities to come!

  8. #78
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    Yes if I was gonna play any body it would be baltimore to continue them for system 2. Since they shut out texas

  9. #79
    mitchp
    mitchp's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-29-10
    Posts: 227

    Guys,

    Obviously my life is way to out of control for me to keep up with this, correct me if I wrong but the only bet today should be Cincinnati Reds to beat San Diego (not the LA Dodgers like I previously posted).

  10. #80
    gtboy
    gtboy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-15-10
    Posts: 810

    fading sd, atl, bal,

  11. #81
    playr101
    playr101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-10
    Posts: 2,028
    Betpoints: 1511

    I am playing system 1...

    fading TEX, SDG, and ATL... passing on the NYY/BAL, as they both were shutout recently...
    only one game (SDG) today..

    GL all

    -playr101

  12. #82
    playr101
    playr101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-10
    Posts: 2,028
    Betpoints: 1511

    Quote Originally Posted by mitchp View Post
    Guys,

    Obviously my life is way to out of control for me to keep up with this, correct me if I wrong but the only bet today should be Cincinnati Reds to beat San Diego (not the LA Dodgers like I previously posted).
    I am also still fading TEX.. so I am playing DET to beat TEX today

    -playr101

  13. #83
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    Yikes rangers shut another team out.... its too hard to run both systems at once as ull continue to run into numerous conflicts, I think tonight I'm gonna revamp my word finals and look and see what system I think will turn out better and strictly play that

  14. #84
    Stevedore
    Stevedore's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-09-10
    Posts: 1,218
    Betpoints: 4435

    Played ON Tex. I'm also ON LAD, fading the Padres, and Tigers again since they got shut out and will be fading ATL. next time they play.

    Also playing a separate system fading weak teams on the road this year. Bet against game 1 of series and the bet is over until you win 1 unit. Basically a chase that says one of these teams will not sweep a series. Teams are: Hou.,Sea.,Rays,Oak., and SD.

  15. #85
    mitchp
    mitchp's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-29-10
    Posts: 227

    I can't keep up with all these variation of this system and that, fade this, so I think I'm bowing out here and just going to play the original reason for this thread - Fade the loser after a shut out!

    GL to all.

  16. #86
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    i realized its much easier if your chasing rather then doing labby

  17. #87
    playr101
    playr101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-10
    Posts: 2,028
    Betpoints: 1511

    1
    Quote Originally Posted by mitchp View Post
    I can't keep up with all these variation of this system and that, fade this, so I think I'm bowing out here and just going to play the original reason for this thread - Fade the loser after a shut out! GL to all.
    i hear ya.. that what im sticking with...

    -playr101

  18. #88
    playr101
    playr101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-10
    Posts: 2,028
    Betpoints: 1511

    Fading SDG is a winner..
    so tomorrow I am fading TEX, LAA, and ATL.. not playing the NYY/BAL game..would fade BAL due to their shutout, but too much juice there..
    Even though DET got shutout, I am still fading TEX (4th game). TEX has given 2 shutouts now after being shutout themselves. :/

    Hope it all works out

    -playr101

  19. #89
    mitchp
    mitchp's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-29-10
    Posts: 227

    Guys,

    I need help, I forgot my file at home and I can't remember the plays today. I'm play the Fade the team that loses in a shut out, can anyone list those games.

    Thanks
    Mitch

  20. #90
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    No runs scored. Atlanta vs marlins plus 155 game 1, tigers vs. Rangers minus 140 game 1, angels vs. Indians plus 155 game 1 , also orioles and yankees,... no runs allowe red sox game. 2, phillies game1, rangers game 1

  21. #91
    playr101
    playr101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-10
    Posts: 2,028
    Betpoints: 1511

    ebbears.. why are the Rangers not a play in the fade system... they were shutout 4 games ago by the orioles...
    since then they shut the orioles out, lost another to the orioles, and yestday shutout the tigers...fading them should should still be a play.. if chasing for 6 games... (this is game 4)

    ?

    -playr101

  22. #92
    cancan
    cancan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-11-10
    Posts: 128

    Bol , I will be following you, lets make some money

  23. #93
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    Well you can't play for and against them? So if ur fading det on one system and playing the rangers on no runs allowed... if they win today id fade them tomorrow

  24. #94
    Stevedore
    Stevedore's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-09-10
    Posts: 1,218
    Betpoints: 4435

    Quote Originally Posted by playr101 View Post
    ebbears.. why are the Rangers not a play in the fade system... they were shutout 4 games ago by the orioles...
    since then they shut the orioles out, lost another to the orioles, and yestday shutout the tigers...fading them should should still be a play.. if chasing for 6 games... (this is game 4)

    ?

    -playr101
    I'm playing it different. If a team gets shut out and then they shutout a team they go from a fade to a ON play.

  25. #95
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    Also I prefer to ride the better team with the better pitcher in this spot... and tomorrow tigers have the better pitcher.... u can play it however you choose

  26. #96
    playr101
    playr101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-10
    Posts: 2,028
    Betpoints: 1511

    just wondering.. how you all are working these systems..
    Im fading texas today.. hope it works out for us all in the end

    -playr101

  27. #97
    playr101
    playr101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-10
    Posts: 2,028
    Betpoints: 1511

    Finally that TEX fade chase is closed..

    -playr101

  28. #98
    cancan
    cancan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-11-10
    Posts: 128

    best of luck today !!

  29. #99
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    2 more teams shut out ughh this is starting to be a pain in the ass this is like the 4th. Time this happen where a team shut someone out day 1 then got shutout day 2...

  30. #100
    playr101
    playr101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-10
    Posts: 2,028
    Betpoints: 1511

    ya.. crazy....
    ive decided to play both... each at a different book...
    hope they work out in the end

    -playr101

  31. #101
    stevex
    stevex's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-02-10
    Posts: 5,118
    Betpoints: 11338

    Might jump on board. Got an idea for whoever wants to do it.

    On days of system plays (System 1 or 2), put in bold letter whatever system is playing that day and what team to bet on, that way there is no confusion.

  32. #102
    playr101
    playr101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-10
    Posts: 2,028
    Betpoints: 1511

    Right now.. for me ..

    System 1:
    fading LAA ------ CLEV +145
    fading ATL ----- FL +121

    System 2:
    Tailing ATL and LAA

    today it works out to be the same 4 teams.. each system is on the opposite side. 1 side will win today.. and the other will go onto the next play.(chase)

    -playr101

  33. #103
    stevex
    stevex's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-02-10
    Posts: 5,118
    Betpoints: 11338

    Appreciate that man!

  34. #104
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    No runs allowed : red sox, rangers phillies braves angels, no runs scored bet against braves tigers angels marlins orioles yankees... that's just everything listed out

  35. #105
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    no runs scored

    April 13th 2011
    11) Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers +120 chase 7 (game 2) Risk 20.25 to Win 24.3
    12) Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins +115 chase 6 (game 2) MISSED
    13) Florida Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves -135 chase 8 (game 1) MISSED
    14) Anaheim Angels vs. Cleveland Indians +135 chase 9 (game 2) MISSED
    15) Cleveland Indians vs. Anaheim Angels -155 chase 10 (game 1) MISSED
    16) Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees -177 Chase 11 (game 1) MISSED
    17) New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles +157 chase 12 (game 1) MISSED

First 123456 ... Last
Top