first off i played the following Season Props and reasons why. this is the only explanations you will get all year
Win totals
Phillies under 98 although they have a formidable rotation... injuries might take their toll on this veteran team. they also play in a very competitive division with the Braves, Marlins, and YES i think the Mets will bounce back a little and at least be in the conversation in August
Astros under 72 starting 4... Wandy, Happ, Myers, Norris ... enough said
Red Sox over 95 BIG question surrounding this team is probably their rotation... we know what lester can do but can beckett and lackey stay healthy and bounce back? and can buchholz put up similar #'s from last year @ 17-7 with a 2.33 era. If their rotation can hover around or below a 4.00 era the boston bats have more than enough pop to out slug their opponents more times than not
Twins over 86 like the Red Sox is this starting 5 good enough? IF Nathan comes close to his 2009 form the twins should win the central
Mariners under 70.5 wins After King Felix who do they turn to? not enough talent offensively and their bullpen is also a huge question mark. i see texas squeezing by both the angels and the A's and see the mariners finishing dead last out west in the AL