[adam3248]

With the opening games of the 2011 season starting tomorrow I have created a thread to track the success of my selections. Although i've been capping MLB games for a couple of years now, this is the first time that i've publicly posted my baseball selections/record on SBR. My target is to hit 60+% for the season (including playoffs) which I believe is achievable as my overall sports picks have hit a 59% success rate since I started posting on SBR.

Lets make it a profitable season and best of luck to everyone!

Let the games begin!

[figue]

[adam3248]

I have 3 selections for today's games: (apologies for not posting analysis with my plays today, I always try to support my picks with a write-up but didn't have time to post them on this occassion)

(1) SD Padres @ STL Cardinals -1.5 (run line) +120 odds (1 unit)
(2) SF Giants @ LA Dodgers ML -110 odds (2 units)
(3) SF Giants @ LA Dodgers (total UNDER 6.5) -105 odds (1 unit)


Best of luck all!

(1) -1 unit (2) +1.82 units (3) +0.95 units

overall record: 2-1 / 66.67% / +1.77 units

[adam3248]

Nice way to kick off the new season as my opening day selections resulted in 2 wins and 1 loss (+1.77 units).

I am looking into today's games now and will post my selections as soon as possible.

Lets make it another profitable day

[VicVega91]

nice start to the season. best of luck today !!

[adam3248]

CHI White Sox @ CLE Indians (Total OVER 8.0) -110 odds (1.5 units)

[adam3248]

HOU Astros @ PHI Phillies -1.5 (run line) -115 odds (1.5 units)

I expect the Phillies to begin their 2011 campaign with a comfortable win when they take on the Astros in their home opener later today.

With four of the best starting pitchers in the National League at Philadelphia's disposal, there's no questionning Roy Halladay's level of consistency and ability to bring his 'A game' every time he takes to the mound. It's not surprising that he's been selected as their home opener today, he seems to be getting better with age and after an impressive 2010 campaign (including throwing a regular season 'perfect game' and post-season 'no hitter') I expect him to pick up where he left off and have an equally impressive campaign in 2011, if not more. Halladay has had some success against current members of the Astros allowing a .268 batting average (19 for 71) and .307 on base percentage.

Brett Myers will be making the opening day start for the Astros today against his former team in Philadelphia. He is coming off his most successful campaign as a professional posting a 14-8 win record and a career low 3.14 ERA during 2010. However, he struggled a little more on the road last year posting a 4.03 ERA overall and is now facing one of the strongest line-ups in the league. The Phillies are much stronger than the Astros in every department and home advantage is also in their favour today.

Take the Phillies -1.5 on the run-line.

Best of luck all!

[figue]

[adam3248]

ARI Diamondbacks @ COL Rockies -1.5 (run line) +100 odds (1 unit)

[adam3248]

Dissapointing day yesterday recording 1 win 2 losses. Looking to bounce back with some winners today.

Day 2 / overall record:

+1.36 units / -1.5 unit / -1 unit = -1.53 units for the day.

Overall record: 3-3 / 50% / + 0.24 units

[adam3248]

Here are my plays for today, Lets get back to winning ways!

SF Giants ML @ LA Dodgers -106 odds (2 units)
CHI White Sox @ CLE Indians (total OVER 8.5) -105 odds (2 units)
MIL Brewers ML @ CIN Reds +106 odds (1 unit)
SEA Mariners @ OAK Athletics -1.5 (run line) +123 odds (1.5 unit)
HOU Astros @ PHI Phillies -1.5 (run line) -115 odds (2.5 units)
ATL Braves ML @ WAS Nationals -130 odds (1.3 units)
*Cricket: India to beat Sri Lanka (ML) +100 odds (2 units)
*Soccer: Arsenal Vs Blackburn +2 (Asian Handicap 2-way) -140 odds (1.4 units)

Best of luck all!

[adam3248]

not related to baseball at all but I like this play so thought I would share it..

Cricket world cup final *in-play*

India to beat Sri Lanka +100 odds (2 units)

(I do often post selections from different sports in the same thread rather than having threads all over the place)

[adam3248]

still early in the India innings, now 96 runs for 2 wickets. Need to chase down 275 total runs so still a long way to go but live odds on India now down to -200 in the space of 20 minutes.. good sign!

[adam3248]

*soccer play added:

Arsenal Vs Blackburn +2 (Alternative Asian Handicap 2-way) -140 0dds (1.4 units)

[adam3248]

India win the cricket world cup, the soccer pick is looking good so far and already 6 runs in the first 2 innings between the White Sox and Indians contributing to the 'over'. Promising start to the day and hopefully the winners continue to come in!

[adam3248]

Tommy Hanson not pitching well for the Braves so far. Still early days yet though.

*this is pretty painful to watch.. 27 strikes, 29 balls. Just gave up a 2-run homer, 4-1 down

the sooner they get him off the mound the better.

[jedikarl]

only couple of minutes left in arsenal game and its 0-0 great call well played and thanks

[adam3248]

only couple of minutes left in arsenal game and its 0-0 great call well played and thanks

Thanks Getting Blackburn +2 goals at that price was good value with the opportunity to 'push' if Arsenal won the game by two. I certainly couldn't see Arsenal winning by 3+ even if they are pushing for the title and in-front of their home fans. Blackburn have an ability to keep games tight against strong opposition at home or away so was definately worth a play on the handicap

[adam3248]

nice 3-0 start to the day will hopefully use the green highliter a few more times tonight
best of luck to everyone with their plays (unless they clash with mine)

[adam3248]

Day 3 breakdown:

+1.88 units / +1.90 units / -1 unit / -1.5 units / +2.15 units / -1.3 units / +2 units / +1 unit

Daily profit/loss: 5-3 record / +5.13 units



Overall record: 8-6 / 57.14% / +5.37 units

[adam3248]

Here are my selections for today:

NY Mets [R Dickey] @ FLA Marlins ML [J Vazquez] -130 odds (3 units)
LA Angels [S Kazmir] @ KC Royals ML [B Chen] -107 odds (1.5 units)
LA Angels @ KC Royals (game total OVER 9.5) -130 odds (1.5 unit)
BAL Orioles ML [Z Britton] @ TB Rays [W Davis] +135 odds (2 units)
SEA Mariners [D Fister] @ OAK Athletics -1.5 [G Gonzalez] (run line) +135 odds (1 unit)
HOU Astros [B Norris] @ PHI Phillies -1.5 [R Oswalt] -110 odds (1.5 units)
BOS Red Sox [C Buchholz] @ TEX Rangers [M Harrison] (game total OVER 10.0) -110 odds (1 unit)
BOS Red Sox (team total OVER 5) @ TEX Rangers -115 odds (1 unit)
PIT Pirates [R Ohlendorf] @ CHI Cubs [Matt Garza] (game total UNDER 12.5) -110 odds (1.5 units)
SEA Mariners [D Fister] @ OAK Athletics [G Gonzalez] 1st 4.5 Innings (UNDER 3.5)-125 odds (2 units)
*Tennis: Rafael Nadal to win Vs Novak Djokovic -120 odds (1.5 units)
*NBA: ATL Hawks @ HOU Rockets -5 (point spread) -120 odds (2 units)


Lets make it another profitable day! Best of luck all!

[adam3248]

Day 4 breakdown:

-3 units /+1.41 units /+1.05 units /+2.70 units /+1.35 units /+1.35 units /-1 unit /-1 unit /+1.35 units /-1.5 units / -2 units

Daily profit / loss = +2.71 units


Overall record: 15-10-1 / 60% / +8.08 units

[adam3248]

4 plays for today:

PIT Pirates @ STL Cardinals ML -137 odds (3 units)
PIT Pirates @ STL Cardinals (game total OVER 9.0) +100 odds (1 unit)
DET Tigers @ BAL Orioles (game total OVER 9.5) -125 odds (1.5 units)

NCAAB: Butler Vs Connecticut (game total UNDER 129) -110 odds (1.5 units)

best of luck all!

[adam3248]

dissapointing day yesterday. Looking to get back to winning ways with these 5 picks:

SF Giants ML [M Bumgarner] @ SD Padres [A Harang] -128 odds (1.5 units)
MIN Twins [B Duensing] @ NY Yankees RL -1.5 [C Sabathia] (1.5 units)
ATL Braves [D Lowe] @ MIL Brewers ML [Y Gallardo] -105 odds (2 units)
LA Angels ML [J Weaver] @ TB Rays [J Niemann] -106 odds (3 units)
BOS Red Sox RL -1.5 [J Beckett] @ CLE Indians [J Tomlin] (2 units)

Best of luck all!