2024 Conn Smythe Trophy Odds: Oettinger Holds as Slim Favorite Ahead of Western Conference Final
The 2024 Conn Smythe Trophy odds at our best NHL betting sites are showing Dallas Stars goalie Jake Oettinger as the narrow consensus favorite.
After becoming only the fourth player in NHL history to notch 100 assists in a season, Edmonton Oilers' standout Connor McDavid opened as the favorite by the 2024 Conn Smythe Trophy odds. He had slid to the middle of the contender pack, but with the Oilers booked to head to the Western Conference Finals, he's surged back near the top. Dallas Stars netminder Jake Oettinger is a narrow consensus favorite and is tasked with stopping McDavid.
New York Rangers goaltender Igor Shesterkin had long been a strong contender for the Conn Smythe Trophy, but he allowed two goals in a series-opening loss to the Florida Panthers and has slipped considerably since then.
The Conn Smythe Trophy winner traditionally hails from the eventual NHL champion. The favorites on the Conn Smythe Trophy oddsboard closely mirror those of the Stanley Cup odds.
Read on for our Conn Smythe Trophy odds breakdown from our best sports betting sites.
Conn Smythe Trophy odds 2024
(Odds last updated May 23)
| Player | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | +500 | +500 | +500 | +450 ❄️ | +500 |
| Aleksander Barkov | +600 🔥 | +550 | +500 | +500 | +550 |
| Connor McDavid | +700 🔥 | +600 | +550 ❄️ | +600 | +600 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | +700 | +700 | +700 | +675 | +650 ❄️ |
| Leon Draisaitl | +850 | +850 | +800 | +800 | +850 |
| Igor Shesterkin | +900 | +1000 | +900 | +850 ❄️ | +1000 |
| Sergei Bobrovsky | +1100 | +1200 | +1000 | +900 ❄️ | +1200 |
| Miro Heiskanen | +1100 | +1200 | +1100 | +1200 | +1200 |
| Wyatt Johnston | +1400 | +1400 | +1200 | +1200 | +1400 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | +2200 | +2000 | +2200 | +1800 ❄️ | +2000 |
Conn Smythe Trophy favorites
Jake Oettinger (+500 via BetMGM)
The rise of Oettinger up the Conn Smythe oddsboard continued with a fantastic showing in the Stars' 2-1 overtime win over the Colorado Avalanche to advance to the Western Conference Final. The 25-year-old allowed just one goal on 30 shots in a strong bounce-back effort after giving up five in Game 5.
Oettinger put on a masterclass during the Stars' final three wins against Colorado, posting an over .960 SV% while allowing just three goals on 84 shots in those wins. His GAA is just 2.09 with a .918 SV% across 13 playoff games thus far.
Connor McDavid (+700 via DraftKings)
Seeing McDavid slip out of the favorite spot to win the Conn Smythe Trophy was kind of surprising, but it was more an admonishment of his team when it fell down 3-2 in the second round. Seeing him return to near the top is a testament to his importance in their overcoming that deficit to make the West finals.
The Oilers will almost surely need to win the Cup for McDavid to be honored with this award, but struggling against the Canucks in the second round has added a little more doubt to that quest than we've seen previously.
After leading the NHL in points over the last three seasons, he joined an elite group of Hall of Famers after recording his first 100-assist season in 2023-24. He hasn't slowed down in the postseason. McDavid is second in the postseason scoring race with 21 points (two goals, 19 assists). But he's three points behind teammate Leon Draisaitl.
Igor Shesterkin (+1000 via bet365)
Rangers netminder Igor Shesterkin was been narrowly behind Oettinger after New York became the first team to book its spot in a conference final. The Rangers dispatched the Carolina Hurricanes in six games.
Shesterkin did his best to keep the Rangers in their series opener vs. the Panthers, allowing two goals. He now has a 2.37 GAA and .926 SV% through 11 starts this postseason.
Conn Smythe Trophy winners by position
| Position | Wins |
|---|---|
| Center | 19 |
| Goaltender | 17 |
| Defenseman | 12 |
| Winger | 10 |
How to bet on Conn Smythe Trophy odds
Betting on the Conn Smythe Trophy, awarded to the most valuable player during the NHL playoffs, can be an exciting and rewarding experience. Here's what to know when betting on this market:
- Understand the criteria: The Conn Smythe Trophy is typically awarded to the player who has made the biggest impact on their team's playoff performance. This could include exceptional scoring, stellar goaltending, leadership qualities, and clutch performances in crucial moments.
- Research player performance: To make informed bets, research the performances of key players throughout the playoffs. Look for players who have consistently contributed to their team's success and have stood out with exceptional play.
- Consider team success: While individual performance is crucial, the success of the player's team in the playoffs also plays a significant role in Conn Smythe Trophy voting. Players on teams that advance deeper into the playoffs are more likely to receive consideration for the award.
- Look for value: Keep an eye out for players who may not be the obvious favorites but have the potential to make a significant impact during the playoffs. These players often provide value in the betting markets and can offer higher payouts if they win the Conn Smythe Trophy.
At the start of the playoffs, a player like Connor McDavid of the Edmonton Oilers might have odds of +1000 to win the Conn Smythe Trophy. If he puts up impressive performances and leads his team to the Stanley Cup Final, his odds might shorten to +200 as he becomes a more likely candidate for the award.
The shorter (or lower) the odds for any one player, the higher their implied probability is of winning the award.
Recent Conn Smythe Trophy winners
Odds prior to the beginning of Stanley Cup Final.
| Year | Player | Team | Closing odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Jonathan Marchessault | Golden Knights | +650 |
| 2022 | Cale Makar | Avalanche | +175 |
| 2021 | Andrei Vasilevskiy | Lightning | +125 |
| 2020 | Victor Hedman | Lightning | +450 |
| 2019 | Ryan O’Reilly | Blues | +5000 |
| 2018 | Alex Ovechkin | Capitals | +220 |
| 2017 | Sidney Crosby | Penguins | +410 |
| 2016 | Sidney Crosby | Penguins | +500 |
| 2015 | Duncan Keith | Blackhawks | +325 |
| 2014 | Justin Williams | Kings | +3000 |
Conn Smythe Trophy FAQs
Who is the Conn Smythe Trophy favorite?
Dallas Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger has become the betting favorite to win the 2024 Conn Smythe Trophy, with odds as low as +450, representing a 18.18% implied win probability.
When is the Conn Smythe Trophy decided?
The Conn Smythe Trophy is awarded immediately following the final game of the Stanley Cup Final with the trophy handed out on the ice.
Who won the Conn Smythe Trophy last year?
Vegas Golden Knights winger Jonathan Marchessault won the 2023 Conn Smythe Trophy.
Has anyone won the Conn Smythe Trophy without winning the Stanley Cup?
Five players have won the Conn Smythe Trophy despite their team being defeated in the Stanley Cup Final. The last was goaltender Jean-Sebastien Giguere of the Mighty Ducks of Anaheim in 2003.
NHL betting odds pages
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| Vezina Trophy Odds | Rocket Richard Odds |
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