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Braves vs. Mets Player Prop Predictions, Odds: Expert Picks for Sunday

Mike Spector

Last Updated: May 12, 2024 4:19 PM EDT • 2 min 64 sec read.

Francisco Lindor of the New York Mets connects for a home run during the seventh inning against the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. We're backing Lindor in our Braves vs. Mets Player Prop Predictions.
Francisco Lindor of the New York Mets connects for a home run during the seventh inning against the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. Photo by Gordon Donovan/NurPhoto via AFP.

The Atlanta Braves look to complete a three-game series sweep of the New York Mets on Sunday Night Baseball, and we have you covered with our Braves vs. Mets player props based on the best MLB  odds.

The Atlanta Braves are currently riding a four-game winning streak, which ties them for the longest active streak in the majors and cements their status as a World Series odds favorite.

In Game 2, the Braves came agonizingly close to making history with a combined no-hit bid, getting within one out of securing the 324th no-hitter in MLB history. However, J.D. Martinez of the New York Mets shattered their hopes with a homer in the bottom of the ninth inning.

Despite the missed opportunity for a no-hitter, the Braves are still favored to win Game 3, holding a -120 moneyline across our best sports betting sites. The series finale between the Braves and the Mets is slated to begin at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN) at Citi Field in Queens, New York.

Here are our best Braves vs. Mets player props and MLB picks (odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Braves vs. Mets player props

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Braves vs. Mets expert picks

Francisco Lindor to hit a home run ⭐⭐⭐

We expect the Mets to have some offensive success against Braves righty Bryce Elder on Sunday, as Elder has pitched to a 5.28 ERA and 1.76 WHIP this season, and owns a 5.27 ERA in three career appearances against New York.

Lindor is one of two Mets to have homered off of Elder, and six of his seven home runs - which ranks second on the team - have come against right-handed pitchers.

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Lindor had just one home run through the first 19 games, but has caught fire with six home runs over the last 20, including two in his last five games. His recent power surge is why he is slugging .515 this month, and the +350 odds at Betway are a great value for him to go deep again.

Best odds: +350 via Betway

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Marcell Ozuna Over 0.5 RBI ⭐⭐⭐

Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves in nearly every offensive category, including batting average, home runs, RBIs, on-base percentage, and hits. His 12 home runs, 38 RBIs, and 1.032 OPS all rank in the top-two in the league. Ozuna has not yet driven in a run in this series, and has only gone more than two games without an RBI just once this season.

Ozuna has two hits - including a home run - in his only two career at-bats against Luis Severino, and Severino has allowed a .455 xSLG on two of his top three primary pitches this season (sinker and sweeper).

Getting +160 odds for the best power hitter in the National League this season seems like a steal, and we would not put anyone off backing his +900 odds at Betway to record the first RBI of the game.

Best odds: +160 via Betway

Bryce Elder Under 3.5 strikeouts ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Elder has recorded three or fewer strikeouts in two of his three career appearances against New York, and this year’s Mets team has the fourth-lowest strikeout rate in the majors. 

Elder averages just 81 pitchers per start, the fewest of all Braves pitchers with a minimum of three starts this season. He ranks in the eighth percentile in strikeout rate and the fourth percentile or lower xBA and xERA.

Considering he has recorded 16 or fewer outs in back-to-back starts, another short outing would go a long way in helping us cash this wager at plus-money odds.

Best odds: +115 via Betway

Braves vs. Mets game info & odds

  • When: Sunday, May 12
  • First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field, Queens, N.Y.
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Favorite: Braves -125 (odds via Betway)

Braves-Mets player props made Sunday at 7:24 a.m. ET.

Here are our best MLB betting sites:

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Written By:
Mike Spector
I have been in the sports writing industry for over three years, working for sites like BettingPros/FantasyPros, Oddschecker, and Sportsbook Review. In my first year writing for BettingPros, I finished with the #2 overall record in their annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an over/under and moneyline perspective. I am an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, and all college sports. In my opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and I am especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. I am a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." Follow me on Twitter for my best bets and commentary to go along with the wagers.