UFC 144 delivers a combination of parlay and prop value throughout the entire card. Lets look at which lines have maintained value and where we should wait for potential openings after the weigh-ins.
UFC 144: Maincard
Parlays & Prop Options
As we approach this Saturday’s UFC 144, most UFC betting lines
are now sharpening up and slowly revealing their final resting stop. For the
maincard I’d like to highlight a few favorites that are still teetering on
maintaining their sports betting value. See what UFC betting parlay we have come up with for this event.
Anthony Pettis -237 combined with Rampage Jackson at -235
comes out to around +103 when parlayed together.
Since his UFC debut loss against Clay Guida, Pettis has
stated just how much of a focal point his defensive and offensive wrestling has
become in training camp. Duke Roufus also made it a point to bring in former
NCAA wrestling champion Ben Askren, providing Pettis with one of the more
legitimate wrestling partners to sharpen his takedown defense.
For the most part I see Anthony controlling the pace in the
last two rounds , as he actively stuffs Lauzon’s shots and soundly out strikes
him on the feet. Fight won’t go 3 round distance at -175 is a good
semi-hedge just incase Joe’s early aggression earns him a submission, although
I wouldn’t rule out a late knockout for Pettis either.
With Rampage Jackson over Ryan Bader, I think it’s safe to
assume that Jackson holds every advantage here aside from youth. Bader has left
hints about getting back to his wrestling base in this fight but unfortunately
Jackson still possesses one of the sturdiest bases in the Light Heavyweight
division. At the end of the day I see Rampage out boxing and possibly even
knocking Bader out within the first two rounds.
The round prop with the most value at the moment has to be
on Akiyama/Shields won’t go 3 round distance at +210. Simply put, Akiyama will
be a knockout threat anytime the fight stays standing and his propensity to gas
late could very well result in a 3rd round submission for Jake
The second parlay I’d consider is Henderson/Edgar goes 5
round distance at -300 combined with Hunt/Kongo won't go 3 round distance at -265,
which can be bought at 5dimes.
Hunt vs Kongo is another fight where you can make a strong
case where one fighter has a strong chance at an early knockout and the other
will have a massive conditioning edge in a potential third round. Though with
Hunt’s durability, Kongo walking away with a decision here is a slight concern.
For the UFC 144 Fight Card's main event we’re dealing with two of the more durable
lightweights to ever enter the cage. Frankie has some of the best recovery
ability we’ve seen while Henderson has shown to be nearly impossible to submit
or knockout. My only real concern is a wild head kick from Henderson or a
possible guillotine choke, although I’m willing to lay -300 that neither
When the undercard lines were released on Tuesday, the
market immediately corrected a few overpriced favorites.
went from +375 to +250 and the UFC odds boards, Issei Tamura
fell from +280 to +230 and Eiji Mitsuoka dropped from +200 to +165.
I think with all three opening prices we were seeing
inflation based off names and prior accomplishments. All three favorites have
shown to be either massively overrated or on a steep decline at this current
stage in their careers.
I think there’s still just enough value to play all three SU
and would even consider parlaying them together, which would come out to around