Sportsbooks set market range for UFC 181

Online sportsbooks have established the market for UFC 181.

Lined events presently include main event attraction Robbie Lawler vs. Johny Hendricks, Gilbert Melendez vs. Anthony Pettis, and Brendan Schaub vs. Travis Browne.

UFC 181 takes place Saturday, December 6 from the Mandalay Bay in Las Vegas, Nevada. The event will be broadcast via PPV and UFC TV (subscription required), the main card is scheduled to begin at 10:30PM ET.

The following odds data for UFC 181 is powered by SBR's UFC Betting Odds.

Lawler vs. Hendricks
Opening line:  Lawler +210 / Hendricks -270
Best current line to bet Hendricks: -210 at 5Dimes
Best current line to bet Lawlers: +180 at Bovada

There is a 5¢ difference between the main event line at sportsbooks 5Dimes and Bovada on underdog Robbie Lawler. Bovada has the overall best price at +180, so a $100 wager returns $180 in profit. 5Dimes offers +175, which returns $175 on $100 risked.

Bovada offers a 50% freeplay welcome bonus which comes with a 3X play-through. As the value of a freeplay is half that of a cash bonus, the real bonus value per play is approximately 8.3%. The maximum bonus is $250.

5Dimes, on the other hand, offers players seven account signup options, but for the purposes of this comparison the two most popular will be weighed against the Bovada offer: Reduced juice, or a freeplay bonus model. The 5Dimes freeplay is up to 50% though it is released incrementally through wagering and has a higher rollover of 10X, which equates to a bonus value of 2.5% per play. To unlock the full 50%, a $2,000 deposit is required.

In the short-term, Bovada's current 5¢ advantage on the Lawler line coupled with their higher bonus value per play and low rollover make for the better choice.

In the long-term, players who choose 5Dimes' reduced juice option will have substantially more savings than if they choose the Bovada model. 5Dimes also offers more UFC Props than Bovada.

The following table shows the moneyline market movement for Lawler vs. Hendricks. Lawler opened at +210 and has dropped 35¢, indicating that more action has come in on him than Hendricks. Hendricks price is shorter by 60¢ than the opening odds.
 
TIME Robbie Lawler Johny Hendricks
11/16 01:52 PM   +175   -210
10/08 09:18 PM   +180   -220
10/08 06:58 PM   +190   -230
10/08 06:54 PM   +180   -220
10/08 06:40 PM   +175   -225
10/07 09:12 AM   +180   -240
10/07 01:37 AM   +175   -225
10/06 11:06 PM   +200   -260
09/25 08:39 PM   +225   -285
09/24 02:04 PM   +210   -270

As the event date approaches SBR will publish all UFC 181 wagering props.

Bettors interested in comparing the true bonus value per betting site should bookmark the sportsbook bonuses directory. For handicapping the UFC 181 main event, Swinging Johnson provides a breakdown at SBR picks.

 
 

 


 

Posters' Poll Pts Rating
#1 5Dimes 675
#2 Heritage 665
#3 Bookmaker 380
#4 Pinnacle 310
#5 BetOnline 165
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