NCAA National Championship: Betting market report

Tonight's National Championship contest between the Ohio State Buckeyes and Oregon Ducks has seen considerable market movement.

The free NCAA Odds page at SBR shows that the line opened -7 in favor of Oregon (meaning the Ducks have to win by 8 or more for the wager to cash, and at least by 7 to be 'no actioned').

The below market report covers the best options for betting either team in tonight's game.

Betting the pointspread
Currently, the lowest margin and most beneficial to bettors looking to wager on #2 seeded Oregon is available at 5Dimes Sportsbook at -6 -103. A bettor only has to give up three cents for a return of $100, in other words, a player risks $103 to win $100. If the wager is a loser, the loss is $103. This is also referred to as reduced juice pricing, where over the long-run players have considerable savings vs. placing all wagers at standard full vigorish odds of -110.

While the best price on underdog Ohio State is also found at 5Dimes, for comparison sake let's assume you're creating a brand new account and wouldn't say no to a cash deposit bonus. Bet365 and Bovada have low rollover deposit bonuses, so although the pricing is higher at -115 and -110 respectively, at the completion of your wagering you stand to gain up to $100 in extra cash. In the short term, sportsbook bonuses can have far more immediate positive impact on your bankroll than the long-term savings associated with reduced juice wagers.

Betting the total
The total points market opened at 74.5 points. This number has since lowered at least 1.5 points. Despite the drop in the total, SBR has learned from Pinnacle Sports that 55.5% of their betting action is in favor of the under. This suggests that the greater financial volume is in favor of the under - not uncommon with large public events.

The average price on the over is 73 per SBR Odds, but Pinnacle offers a reduced juice total on the over at 72.5 -108. The best place to back the under comes at 5Dimes Sportsbook, who offer 73 at -105. Comparing the two online sportsbooks, Pinnacle Sports does not offer a sign up bonus though the betting site is famous for their discount pricing on wagers. 5Dimes, as previously mentioned, also offers reduced juice pricing but players can also choose to forgo the lower margins and accept a freeplay bonus program.

Betting the moneyline
The average price of the Ohio State moneyline is +175. The highest return is +188 at 5Dimes, so every $100 risked returns $188 in profit, but for sake of argument the best price may be found at Bookmaker, when you factor in their +180 payoff coupled with their 100% freeplay bonus on deposits up to $300. Higher bonuses may be approved by managers.

The cheapest price on Oregon comes at betting exchange Matchbook, a peer-to-peer exchange where right now a player can lock in Oregon -190. This means a wager of $190 returns $100 in profit. Bodog offers -190 for players who prefer a more traditional relationship with a bookmaker where bets are placed irrespective of current market liquidity.

Prop markets
Exotic bets have been populated in the college football prop bets directory at SBR.

 
 

 


 

Posters' Poll Pts Rating
#1 5Dimes 675
#2 Heritage 665
#3 Bookmaker 380
#4 Pinnacle 310
#5 BetOnline 165
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