There’s a gulf between Manchester City and Arsenal in the league, but in the Carling Cup both sides should fancy their chances for a bit of silverware, that is if they get past this match. Which soccer picks hold the best value?
excitement of the weekend's Premier League, that saw both City and Arsenal
record 1-1 draws in their respective matches; and the disappointment/elation of
Champions League football last week (where Arsenal won their group and City
gave themselves a mountain to climb) Arsenal host Manchester City in one of the
other (lesser) competitions, the Carling Cup.
Arsenal may have
fared better then Manchester City in the Champions League, securing progression
to the next round as group winners, while City know that not even victory in
their last group game would guarantee progression to the next round.
league, City are still in pole position and Arsenal are in sixth position, 12
points off the pace. It should be a cracking match with the wealth of
footballing talent available to both sides, although the Caring Cup is hardly
top priority for either side.
Easy on the stats
to note that in the last five head to head meetings between these sides, Arsenal
have lost twice and there have been two draws. Adding up the goals for and
against in those five matches City have seven while Arsenal have just five.
is a perfect example of how too many stats can spoil the broth and muddy the
waters, as while it looks like City have the best form against Arsenal it's
more significant that City haven't scored against the Gunners for almost 2
years and that's three games without a goal for City. The last two times this
clash was played at Arsenal the game ended 0-0 both times you can pick up that
score at 12/1. While any draw is listed at 12/5 soccer odds.
New City new
Most of City's
victories against Arsenal have come in Manchester but, (not that it really
requires repeating) the Manchester City of 2011 are a very different beast, and won’t
fear a trip to the capital. The bookies seem to think that this game will end
in City's favour (City are 11/8 to win the match) and the shortest odds on the
correct score are 8/1 on a 2-1 Blue victory.
I would strongly recommend that
you don't bet on a goalless draw as Manchester City have only kept one clean
sheet from their last six games and that was a 3-0 victory over Villarreal in
the Champions League. City have let in one goal in five Of their last six games
in the league. So bet on Arsenal having
at least one goal while City do tend to score by twos and threes (and sixes).
If you think I'm wrong and you think City will shut out Arsenal completely back
3-0 that’s the score that they recorded the last time these two sides met in
this competition back in December 2009 and is available at the soccer betting odds of 20/1.
Cups not running
The home League
Cup tie on Tuesday is a chance for Arsenal to end their seven year trophy drought, but Wenger has hinted that he will play a half-half team, mixing
youth and experience. Possibly a dangerous ploy against a City side who
sometimes look all-conquering. City are 3/1 to win the Carling Cup while
Arsenal are 7/1, that doesn’t necessarily translate into a City win, but if you
fancy a soccer pick on either side winning this trophy back them now, as the odds will shift quickly after this game.
There's another reason to back a City win, as
Arsenal seem to be stretched a little thin this season and while they aren't
serious contenders for the league (presently at 50/1 to win the EPL) they are
facing a struggle to retain their top four status (at 7/4) and don't seem to
have the legs to fight on more than two fronts.
So while the qualification to
the last 16 of the Champions League is a done deal, the
Premier League will probably take priority for the Gunners and the Wenger boys
would probably be less than heartbroken to step down from the Carling Cup.
Have a cheeky bet
on this match providing an own goal (at 10/1) as both teams scored against
themselves at the weekend.
City win 4-1 that's at 33/1.