Sportsbook Review

Floyd Mayweather vs Canelo Alvarez betting odds and preview

By: | Thursday, May 30, 2013
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Update: Canelo Alvarez vs. Alfredo Angulo betting odds

Floyd Mayweather has defeated Saul "Canelo" Alvarez by majority decision in front of a capacity crowd at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, Nevada, which included the likes of P. Diddy, Denzel Washington, Jack Nicholson, Charles Barkley, and more celebrities.

Mayweather easily controlled the action and demonstrated his remarkable ring generalship en route to a majority decision win stained by judge CJ Ross, who scored the bout even. CJ Ross also scored the Bradley vs Pacquaio showdown in favor of Bradley, and is likely to come under scrutiny by the Nevada State Athletic Commission once the dust settles next week.

Floyd "Money" Mayweather vs. Saul "Canelo" Alvarez is just 24 hours away. The two will square off Saturday, September 14th on the weekend of Mexican Independence Day at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, Nevada. Online sportsbooks are sure to update the boxing betting odds of the two prize fighters following today's weigh-in.

 

Update 9/14: Mayweather, 36, is currently a -305 favorite at 5Dimes Sportsbook against the 23-year old unbeaten Alvarez (one draw). The line has moved 35 cents since the opener, with most movement coming today on fight day. The price on Mayweather shifted by 10-15 cents at most online sportsbooks the evening of the weigh in at the MGM Grand, Las Vegas.

Mayweather didn't surprise many by stepping on the scales at 150.5 lbs, under the contracted limit of 152 lbs. Canelo Alvarez came in at the full 152 pounds and is expected to rehydrate to over 170 lbs by the opening bell.

A $305 bet returning $100 in a Floyd Mayweather bout is a testament to Alvarez' skill in and of itself. The young Mexican boxing icon has been heralded as the much needed future of a sport in decline; an exciting, talented slugger fans can get behind as he inches closer to super stardom.

A win against Mayweather would go a long way toward solidifying Alvarez as a household name. Heck, even if he were to fizzle out the remainder of his career he would always be remembered for knocking Mayweather off his throne.

Fresh off his dominant win over game but overmatched opponent Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero, and barely with enough time to have finished stacking his $32 million guaranteed purse in $100 bills, Mayweather did what boxing critics and internet trolls swore he wouldn't: He chose the biggest payday over the safest payday.

His blockbuster, six-fight deal with Showtime could be worth up to $250 million, so naturally many expected Mayweather to cherry-pick the competition to give himself the best chance at remaining unbeaten before riding off into the sunset in his bulletproof Hummer limo, but that's not the case.

He instead chose the most dangerous fighter available to set up a super fight the fans clamored for. It is also the most potentially lucrative bout since the 2007 showdown between "Golden Boy" Oscar De La Hoya and Mayweather, which had 2.4 million PPV buys.

They do call him "Money" after all.

Sept. 14th, 2013, MGM Grand - Las Vegas 5Dimes BetOnline Bookmaker Bodog Pinnacle Bet365 WillHill Ladbrokes
Saul Alvarez +255 +253 +250 +230 +286 +250 +250 +250
Floyd Mayweather Jr -305 (shift from 270) -295 (up from 275) -300 (up from -250) -300 (no change) -326 (up from -285) -333 (no change) -333 (no change) -300 (no change)

Canelo Alvarez is coming off a unanimous decision victory against the biggest name he has squared off with to date - Austin Trout - though many purists, including this boxing writer, believe that he emerged with a gift decision. Alvarez won by a comfortable margin on the cards, though he was out-landed by the busier, slicker, yet unfortunately feather-fisted Trout. The fight was somewhat similar to Richard Abril outboxing Brandon Rios yet ultimately failing to convince the judges his punches had any impact whilst occasionally being tagged by a more powerful foe. Alvarez did manage to floor Trout once, which can only help the build-up to his September showdown.

The upcoming mega-fight is also unique in that the quick turnaround is unusual for Floyd Mayweather, but expected given his age and the amount of fights required for him to milk his whole Showtime contract.

At 36 years of age, Mayweather still heads in as the quicker boxer with a substantial experience advantage and seemingly the edge in every category except size (his heaviest weigh-in 151 lbs against Miguel Cotto). The two sides met in the middle on the issue of weight and will fight at a "catchweight" of 152 lbs. Canelo Alvarez walks around at 175 lbs, and even with making weight he figures to pack on at least a 15 lb advantage by the opening bell.

Mayweather's keys to victory

While the most vocal of Mayweather's 4 million Twitter followers and "The Money Team" entourage believe all the unbeaten king must do is show up, that's not quite the case. Mayweather made it look easy against Guerrero, but he had no respect for his power after feeling him out in the first two rounds. Against Canelo, who once again is the bigger man, he must work hard to keep it in the center of the ring and avoid slugging it out like he did against Cotto or working off the ropes.

Canelo's keys to victory

Head movement - Throughout his career Canelo has been criticized for staying somewhat stationary in the ring with subpar defense while imposing his will on a multitude of lesser opponents. He must be a boxer-puncher in this fight, not necessarily to try to beat Floyd at his own game, but to keep himself upright. A flat-footed target makes the absolute easiest for a striker of Mayweather's class.

Attack the body - Many have tried and failed at swinging for the fences against Mayweather. They end up looking frustrated and desperate while connecting with nothing more than air. If a 36-year old man is going to slow down, sustained liver shots are the ticket.

Don't take rounds off - Canelo must have the best training camp of his career, and he also must modify his approach by training for quickness over sheer power. It is more important that Canelo have the confidence that he will not tire late in the fight than it is he feel physically capable of knocking Mayweather's block off. The truth of the matter is aside from being near unhittable, Mayweather has proven he can take a shot in stride --- The unbeaten American suffered only one official knockdown in his career after his glove touched the canvas when he injured himself battering Carlos Hernandez.

The betting odds are sure to fluctuate from now until September. Make sure to bookmark this article and check back as the weeks progress for an updated grid of the most competitive moneyline, total rounds, prop bets, and other boxing odds on this super fight.

Update: Bet365 Sportsbook is offering odds on Floyd Mayweather and Canelo Alvarez to win from rounds one through 12, as well as by way of draw, decision, or technical decision. The sportsbook is spreading a minimum of 28/1 on each boxing betting market.

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