NHL Betting: Senators Total Wins Predictions & Odds To Win Stanley Cup

Ottawa Senators

Thursday, October 6, 2016 2:37 PM GMT

We have been doing season win previews for each team, now it is the turn of the Ottawa Senators. The question is, will a coaching change in Ottawa propel the Senators back into the playoffs? Join us and find where the Senators betting value truly lies. 

Projected Win Total: 36.5 -118 over/ -118 under (SportsInteraction)
Last Season: 38-35-9 85 pts
Standings: Atlantic Division: 5th / League: 19th (Missed playoffs by 11 points)
Team Notes: Guy Boucher was hired as the seventh coach in nine years
2016-17 Stanley Cup Odds: Highest: +7000 at Bookmaker / Lowest: +5000 at SportsInteraction
Key Statistic: Ottawa allowed the 1st goal 51 times last season

Owner Eugene Melnyk isn't going to tolerate another season of missing the playoffs so Dave Cameron is out from behind the bench, insert Guy Boucher who spent three seasons in Tampa. I'm not sure what inspired Melnyk to hand the reigns to Boucher who was 51-54-9 in his last two seasons in Florida, three years ago, but the Sens like to change coaches and Boucher is next up. This is Ottawa's seventh head coach in the last nine seasons. I would have given Cameron another year but sometimes these things have a healthy flavor of how well liked an individual is and how does the team react to his style.

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One thing is certain, the Senators must improve on their physical and mental toughness, if they want to be favorites across the board or a much popular option at least. Their inability to bring a fierceness to their game led to opponents having the upper hand on most nights. In order to find success, they must force teams to play more of a dump and chase game because offensive zone access is at a premium. Last season the Sens allowed just under 33 shots per game (30th) putting a strain on goaltenders Craig Anderson (31-23-5, 2.78GAA, .916 SV%) and Andrew Hammond (7-11-4, 2.65 GAA, .914 SV%) who, at this point, are not good enough to overcome that kind of onslaught nightly.

Ottawa acquired Derek Brassard and a 7th round pick in 2018 in exchange for Mika Zibanejad and a 2nd rounder in 2018. The move will help Ottawa play more of a puck-possession game as Brassard will immediately be their top line center with LW Mark Hoffman (20-39-59 +1) and RW Mark Stone (23-38-61 -4). Brassard will also give much-needed help on the defensive end along with leadership in the room.

They are led by two-time Norris Trophy winner, Erik Karlsson who is a point a game player but isn't an ideal shutdown defenseman. Dion Phaneuf (6-3, 227) brings a big body alongside Karlsson but, he too, has too many defensive lapses to be counted on consistently.

I'm betting 'under' 36.5 (-118) as my NHL pick for the Senators this season because it takes awhile for new coaching staffs to implement their system and despite getting positive marks for the Brassard trade I'm not sold on their goaltending to carry Boucher's team.

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