The Red Wings season points total set at 89.5 has bettors pounding the 'under'. Find out why the 'over' is the correct NHL pick although their playoff streak will come to an end.
Projected Point Total: 89.5 at Bookmaker
Last Season: 41-30-11 93pts
Standings: Atlantic Division: 3rd / League: 15th (Lost 1st round to Tampa in 5 games)
Team Notes: The Red Wings have made the playoffs 25 straight years
2016-17 Stanley Cup Odds: +3000 at BetOnline
Key Statistic: Wings 23rd in scoring last season (2.55 G/gm)
It's been 25 years since the Detroit Red Wings have not been a participant of the postseason but much of the action at Bookmaker sees the public on the 'under', in fact, they haven't received one 'over' bet until now. I'm taking the Wings to go over the projected total but even that total won't be enough for them to keep their playoff streak. I have them at 90-93 points with the cutoff being 93 on my NHL projections.
The Wings will have to replace Pavel Datsyuk who decided to take his talents back to the KHL and although GM Ken Holland managed to trade his rights away so his salary won't be on the books the lingering effect of losing his presence will be hard to replace. To combat the Datsyuk loss, Holland brought in Steve Ott who will give the Wings a physical force on the ice, he signed Frans Nielsen to give them so depth at center and Thomas Vanek for third line depth.
This has to be a better year defensively for Jeff Blashill's team as they finished 17th in goals allowed per game (2.67). It would have been much worse without Goaltender Petr Mrazek (27-16-6, 2.33GA, .921%) who single-handedly kept the Wings in the playoff race while backup Jimmy Howard (14-14-5, 2.80 GA, .906%) suffered through his worst season. I think most players worry that if they bet the 'over' that Howard wouldn't be able to carry the load if Mrazek misses any significant time.
One knock I had on Jeff Blashill's team last season was they were too soft especially up the middle. With the addition of Ott, who missed 55 games last season with a hamstring injury, the Wings have handled their 'soft' image although they now have to deal with Ott's sometimes questionable choices on the ice.
Remember when John Torchetti took over for Mike Yeo last season and guided the Minnesota Wild to a playoff appearance, well, now Torchetti is on the Wings staff, perhaps waiting to take over eventually as Blashill was on the 'Hot seat' last season.
Detroit is still lacking quality, shutdown, defensemen. Niklas Kronwall's knee may still be an issue as he was forced to leave Team Sweden and I'm not counting on Henrik Zetterberg to pick up the slack. Get out and get the 'over' but it going to be close.