Week 9 NFL Picks - New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers

New Orleans Saints players celebrating

Thursday, November 3, 2016 9:09 PM GMT

Our betting professional Ross Benjamin, has gone an outstanding 36-24 ATS (60%) over the past 5 plus weeks, provides us with a preview for Sunday’s New Orleans and San Francisco game. The article concludes with Ross’ NFL pick on this contest. 

New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers are set to host the Saints on Sunday at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara. The opening kickoff for this NFC contest is slated for 4:05 PM ET. At the time of this writing, NFL betting lines at BetOnline, now offering 50% free play bonus, has New Orleans as a 3.0-point road favorite, and there's a total of 52.5.

These teams have met 5 times since 2010, and San Francisco went an unscathed 5-0 ATS in those contests, while also going 3-2 straight up. Additionally, 4 of those 5 games went over the total.

Never Lost NFL Betting Situation

New Orleans has covered in their previous 4 games. Conversely, San Francisco has allowed a lofty 33 points or more in each of its last 3 games. The 49ers have lost 6 in a row, and are now 10-22 through their preceding 32 games. The combination of this data sets up a never lost betting angle illustrated below.

Any road favorite of 3.0 or more (Saints), versus an opponent (49ers) coming 3 losses in a row in which they allowed 33 points or more on each occasion, and that opponent (49ers) has won 5 or more of its last 32 games, resulted in those road favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1984. Those road favorites won by an average of 15.3 points per game.

Final Analysis and Pick

These are two teams clearly headed in opposite directions. The Saints have rebounded from a 0-3 start to win 3 of their last 4 games. Two of those wins came against NFC powerhouses in Carolina and Seattle. The other came on the road against a much better than advertised San Diego Chargers team.

San Francisco began the season with an impressive 28-0 shellacking of the Los Angeles Rams. However, since that time, they've gone an abysmal 0-6 SU & ATS, and lost by an average of 17.2 points per game. They also allowed 33 points or more during 5 of those 6 defeats. Furthermore, San Francisco's defense is allowing a dreadful 231.8 rushing yards per game this season. Fading a team enduring that type of ineptitude is a logical choice, and one of my NFL week 9 predictions will concur.

Free NFL Pick: New Orleans Saints -3.0

Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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