Week 9 NFL Picks - Dallas Cowboys vs Cleveland Browns

Dallas Cowboys players discussing plays

Wednesday, November 2, 2016 3:44 PM GMT

Cleveland might not get an SU win all year, but what does our handicapper think of their chances this week ATS at home versus the Cowboys? Find out here with his week 9 predictions.

2016 NFL Record: 7-10-1, -3.95 Units

Dallas Cowboys vs Cleveland Browns

The NFC leading Dallas Cowboys (6-1) travel to the AFC least Cleveland Browns (0-8) in Week 9, as the Cowboys look to protect their current position of home field advantage throughout the playoffs. I guess that assumes the Cowboys make the playoffs, a little early I admit, but it is not too early to suggest that the Browns won't sniff the postseason this year.

The Cowboys come into this game on a 6-game SU and ATS win streak as their wunderkind QB, Dak Prescott, is looking more like Russell Wilson at the moment than Russell Wilson. Combined with Ezekiel Elliot and the number one ranked rushing attack in the NFL, Prescott has managed the offense well even though he has only passed for 245 yards per game, ranked 19th in the league. His QBR of 99.6 is admirable, but it is his avoidance of turnovers that is most impressive by the rookie quarterback. On the year, Prescott has completed passes at a 65.2% clip while putting up a 9/2 TD/INT ratio. The only negative for Prescott I see on the stat sheet are fumbles, as he has lost 2 on the season over seven starts.

A weird thing happened this week with the Cleveland Browns, as they actually added a star player at the trade deadline in Jamie Collins from the New England Patriots. The fact is, other that LT Joe Thomas the Browns didn't have much to trade away, so any movement at all coming in the direction of the Browns was a surprise. Still, I don't think it will have much of an effect on this game. Any help on defense should take a few weeks to gel and have a positive effect. What the Browns need is help on defense, though, and that is what they got.

Cleveland has been atrocious against the pass this year, allowing the most passing touchdowns in the league, so expect the likes of Jason Witten and Dez Bryant to have big games in this one. Scratch that, the Browns have the 31st ranked rushing defense in the league so expect Ezekiel Elliot to have a big game as well. Expect the Dallas offense to have their way with the Browns in this game in all facets.

Final Analysis

There are a few scenarios that Cleveland can compete in this game, but I don't trust either one of them to happen. One would be multiple turnovers in their favor: see above about Prescott protecting the ball well. The other would be Josh McCown having a career day against the Dallas defense that ranks in the middle of the pack in passing yards allowed. Do you trust this to happen? I do not. Take the Cowboys currently at -7 at Intertops, which is offering 200% cash bonus, as one of your week 9 NFL Picks.

Free NFL Pick: Cowboys -7

Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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