Week 3 NFL Picks Against The Spread - Arizona Cardinals vs Buffalo Bills

Rex Ryan cheers his plyers

Saturday, September 24, 2016 3:36 PM GMT

The troubled Bills host the Cardinals in a game that few cappers are giving to the home team, our expert is going against the grain and finding value where no one else has. Read on for his exclusive NFL Pick.

Arizona Cardinals (-4) vs Buffalo Bills 1:00 EST
Each week in this space, I isolate a contrary game that over the course of time has had a huge winning percentage. This week I favor the Buffalo Bills, a clearly troubled team who must now take on an Arizona team who is rated by many as a potential Conference Champion, and who comes off a 40-7 home victory last week against Tampa Bay. It doesn't get any more contrary than this, which is why you and I, and the LONE RANGER will take down the cash Sunday afternoon.

The public and the handicappers like the Cardinals, yet this line keeps moving down, as low as 3 ½ points in a couple of sharp spots. That is your initial strong indicator that the Cards will underperform the point spread this week. A bounce back performance by Arizona was notable last week. After losing a narrow 23-20 decision to New England in week 1, the Cards responded with a dominant win against the Bucs, with a yardage advantage of 416-306, fueled by a +5 net turnover margin that will get you the money in the NFL nearly 100% of the time. Now they travel for an 11 AM body time start knowing that they were 5-2 ATS as road chalk last season. They are averaging more than 100 yards better on offense than the Bills, and 65 yards better on defense. It's that +7 net TO margin, most in the league after two weeks, that begs for the turnaround.

The Bills have had 10 days following their Thursday night debacle vs the rival Jets. After a pathetic showing in week 1 of a 13-3 loss at Baltimore in which they gained just 160 yards, the Bills fell to the Jets 37-31 on this home field last Thursday night, being outrushed 36/123 to 19/86, while allowing 493 total yards. Needing a scapegoat, second-year HC Rex Ryan fired OC Roman, the highest paid coordinator in the NFL. Ironically, his brother Rob maintained his positioned as DC, as did Rex. Now the pressure is on both of them to perform.

With public perception clearly against the Bills and on the visiting Cardinals, you, I, and the LONE RANGER line up with our contrary play of the week on the Buffalo Bills. I invite you to put the NFL odds in your favor and join me in my NFL pick on the Buffalo Bills this afternoon.

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top sportsbooks is offering the top rated sportsbooks.

Free NFL Pick: Bills +4
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011193, "sportsbooksIds":[169,19,93,1096], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]