Week 3 NFL Jets vs. Chiefs Betting Odds & Pick

Darrelle Revis makes a play

Saturday, September 24, 2016 6:24 PM GMT

The Jets are soaring after a divisional win last week while the Chiefs hope to rebound after a tough loss to Houston. Let’s review the NFL odds and determine which side to back in this AFC clash.

New York Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction
Ryan Fitzpatrick strafed the Buffalo secondary last week for a total of 374 yards through the air and while Jets' new toy, Matt Forte, looked nothing like a 30-year-old retread but more like the premier multi-dimensional back that he is with three rushing touchdowns, 100 yards on the ground and a pair of receptions to boot. The Bills hardly possess a formidable secondary but the Fitzpatrick performance had to be a welcome boost to a Bills team that was looking for a better option in the offseason.

Unfortunately, the Jets defense was stung by a pair of long balls courtesy of Tyrod Taylor who launched an 84-yard strike to Marquise Goodwin followed by a 71-yard pass to Greg Salas for two long-range touchdowns. Nickell Robey-Coleman also ran back a 36-yard fumble recovery for a third Bills touchdown. On the plus side, the New York run-stop unit was effective in limiting the bills ground game to just 86 yards on the day.

There was a time when playing at Arrowhead Stadium meant that the opposing team was in for a long day. That is no longer the case as evidenced by the Chiefs' 2-5 ATS home mark from last season. Kansas City returns to Arrowhead after a 19-12 defeat at the hands of the Houston Texans. But I don't think this home date with the Jets will be a picnic by any means. The NFL odds makers have installed the Chiefs as three-point home chalk and I am prepared to say that they have wrong favorite. The big news is the return of Kansas City's stellar, though oft-injured, running back Jamaal Charles. But who knows what he will look like after so much time away due to injury and against a ferocious New York defensive front where I don't suspect he will gain much traction.

Alex Smith will not torch the Jets long like Tyrod Taylor did last week. Smith is a game manager, and a good one at that, but he doesn't threaten secondaries very often. He is a dink-and-dunk passer who limits mistakes and puts his team in a position to win. That won't be enough on Sunday as the Jets have had a 10-day break thanks to their Week 2 Thursday night game. Watch Fitzpatrick get off against a suspect Chiefs secondary and include New York in your NFL picks.

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Swinger's 2016 NFL Record: 8-4 (after Week 2)

Free NFL Pick: Jets +3 (-115)
Best Line Offered: at Heritage.

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