Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots - AFC Conference Championship

New England Patriots Cheerleaders

Thursday, January 19, 2017 5:43 PM GMT

With Ben Roethlisberger under center, Pittsburgh has lost only seven games by 6 points or more in its last 30 contests. One of those occurred in a 28-21 loss at Gillette Stadium in last year’s season opener.

Steelers vs. Patriots

Point Spread Value

With Ben Roethlisberger under center, Pittsburgh has lost only seven games by 6 points or more in its last 30 contests. One of those occurred in a 28-21 loss at Gillette Stadium in last year's season opener. The Steelers, in fact, are just 3-6 SU and ATS against the Pats behind Big Ben, losing by a touchdown or more in three of four at New England. Tom Brady and company don't always look the part this season, but manage to take care of business on the field and in the betting market. The Patriots are 13-3-1 ATS overall this season and 24-9-1 ATS at home since 2013 with the 4-time Super Bowl champ leading the charge.

The Survivor

The Steelers enter the AFC Championship on a 9-game win streak, but face one of their toughest tests all year against the Pats. It's only the fifth game this season Pittsburgh enters a matchup with a lesser points differential on the year than their opponent (-7.2). It lost three of the previous four, including a 27-16 home loss to the Pats in Week 7. Big Ben missed that game due to a knee injury, but it was the only one of the group. It would not shock to see Pittsburgh pull off the upset with the run it is on, but it's tough to bet against New England advancing. Bill Belichick's team has done little wrong all year.

Game Total

New England let just five of 17 opponents score more than their projected team total in the betting market all season; four of these came in the second half of the season. The Steelers offense, behind Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown and Le ‘Veon Bell, is a force to be reckoned with right now. Their 373 total yards per game average entering the matchup is the highest the Pats unit has faced all season. New England, meanwhile, has put up 26 points or more at home in 22 of their last 25 home games behind Brady.

Free NFL Pick: Patriots -5.5

Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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