NFL Week 6 Predictions - Jaguars vs Bears Odds & Free Picks

Jacksonville Jaguars players celebrating

Wednesday, October 12, 2016 4:39 PM GMT

Not exactly the sexiest matchup of week 6 in Chicago as the AFC South's last-place team, Jacksonville, visits Bears team. Join capper as he finds the betting edge for this game for a winning NFL pick.

Jaguars What To Watch For

I thought Jacksonville (1-3) would contend for the AFC South title, and maybe the Jaguars still will as they are just one game back in the loss column of first-place Houston. It could only take a .500 record to win that wretched division.

The past two seasons in the NFL, a team has fired its head coach following a Week 4 loss in London and ahead of the bye week. I believe that the Jaguars would have dumped Coach Gus Bradley if not for the 30-27 win over the Colts in Week 4 at Wembley Stadium. The Jags tried to blow it, leading 23-6 entering the fourth quarter and then holding on for dear life. Blake Bortles threw for 207 yards and two touchdowns while running for 36 yards and a score. But he has been a disappointment this year with six picks and rating of just 79.4 that's 26th in the league.

The Jaguars got good and bad injury news during the bye week. Tight end Julius Thomas believes he will play vs. Chicago after missing the Colts game with an elbow injury. Defensive end Jared Odrick has missed the past two with a left triceps problem but should return. Starting left guard Luke Joeckel, the No. 2 overall pick in the 2013 draft, is done for the year after tearing up his knee vs. the Colts. He has been a bust and likely has played his final game in a Jags uniform.

Bears What To Watch For

Last week, I previewed Chicago's game at Indianapolis and recommended the Colts at -4 and the 'over' 48 points. Double victory as Indianapolis prevailed 29-23. Chicago couldn't take advantage of the fact that the Colts were the first team ever to play a game in London and then play immediately the next week instead of taking a bye.

The Bears (1-4) had a great offensive day against a weak Colts defense, putting up 522 total yards. Chicago backup QB Brian Hoyer had his third straight 300-yard game -- something injured starter Jay Cutler has never done with the team -- in throwing for 397 yards, two touchdowns and no picks. And the star of rookie running back Jordan Howard continues to rise as he had a second 100-yard game in a row with 118 yards on 16 carries.

But the Bears' defense couldn't stop Indy when it mattered. Andrew Luck hit T.Y. Hilton on the go-ahead 35-yard touchdown pass with 3:43 left. Chicago receiver Cameron Meredith then fumbled on the Bears' first offensive play. The Colts added an Adam Vinatieri field goal with 2:28 left for the final margin. Hoyer could only get the Bears to the Indy 28 in an attempt for a winning TD.

Cutler is going to miss another game, but he clearly has lost his job to Hoyer now. In Cutler's place, Hoyer has completed 100 of 140 pass attempts for 1,094 yards, six touchdowns and zero interceptions (108.5 passer rating that is third in the NFL). I'm not sure why the Bears didn't cut kicker Connor Barth this week. He missed another kick vs. Indy and is 5-for-10 on field goals this year. Chicago released the franchise's all-time leading scorer, kicker Robbie Gould, before the season to sign Barth.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Chicago Bears

Take the rested Jaguars for your NFL week 6 picks, although I'd use an alternate line of +3.5 like at 5Dimes, now offering 50% free play bonus. Go 'over' the total as both defenses are struggling.

NFL Free Picks: Jaguars +3.5 (alternative line) & Over 46.5

Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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