NFL Week 5 Predictions - Chicago Bears vs Indianapolis Colts Odds & Free Picks

Indianapolis Colts players greeting each other

Tuesday, October 4, 2016 5:38 PM GMT

The Chicago Bears and Indianapolis Colts are both 1-3 entering Sunday's matchup at Lucas Oil Stadium. That Chicago is off to a slow start isn't surprising, but more was expected from Indy. Join handicapper professional for his Bears-Colts NFL picks.

Bears What To Watch For

Chicago played Week 4 without several injured defensive starters as well as No. 1 quarterback Jay Cutler and running back Jeremy Langford, but backup QB Brian Hoyer threw for 302 yards and two touchdowns and fifth-round rookie running back Jordan Howard rushed for 111 yards on 23 carries as the Bears ended a six-game losing streak to the Lions with a 17-14 home win.

Neither Cutler nor Langford will play this week and I'm thinking they have lost their jobs regardless. Over seven quarters, Cutler led the offense to 25 total first downs before hurting his thumb. He also committed three turnovers. Hoyer has played about nine quarters and has gotten 49 first downs and turned it over once. Howard became the Bears' fourth rookie back to top 100 yards in his first NFL start since 1960 and first since Matt Forte eight years ago.

This week, Chicago is surely going to be without No. 2 receiver Kevin White, who hurt his ankle vs. the Lions. He missed all of his 2015 rookie season with a shin injury and had career bests of six catches and 55 yards vs. Detroit. Several defensive starters remain out, but that much-maligned group held the Lions' offense to only 263 yards, didn't allow a touchdown (it was on special teams, Chicago's first game without a defensive TD allowed since 2012), had two key interceptions and a critical goal-line stand.

The Bears are 1-3 ATS on NFL betting odds and 2-2 O/U.

Colts What To Watch For

For the first time since the NFL started playing International Series games in London, one of the clubs involved will not have the bye week immediately after. That's the Colts, who lost 30-27 to Jacksonville at Wembley Stadium last Sunday, probably saving the job of Jags coach Gus Bradley in the process.

The NFL was going to give the Colts the usual post-Europe bye, but the team requested that not happen so the bye wasn't so early in the season. This will be an interesting litmus test to see how perhaps a full-time team in London would handle the weekly travel to America. If the Colts are terrible against Chicago, you know that lack of a bye will get blamed.

The Colts are wasting the prime years of quarterback Andrew Luck. He simply has very little talent around him. The offensive line is one of the league's worst, No. 1 tailback Frank Gore is way past his prime and the receiving group leaves much to be desired other than T.Y. Hilton. I honestly don't know how Coach Chuck Pagano and Ryan Grigson got contract extensions after last season and weren't fired.

Indy is averaging 27 points per game because of Luck despite only getting 88 yards per game on the ground and Luck being sacked an NFL-high 15 times, including six against the Jaguars when the team had to start three rookie offensive linemen due to injury. The defense is terrible again, allowing 31.3 points per game (30th). D-lineman Arthur Jones is eligible to play this week after serving a four-game suspension.

But the Colts are far from out of the AFC South race because only Houston has a winning record (3-1) and all four teams have a negative points differential. Indianapolis is +350 on NFL futures to win the division. Indy is 1-3 ATS on NFL week 5 picks and 3-1 O/U.

Chicago Bears vs Indianapolis Colts

Colts and 'over.' Luck should torch that injury-ravaged Chicago defense. The Bears are 2-9 ATS in their past 11 after allowing 15 points or fewer in their previous games. The Colts are 22-7 ATS in their past 29 vs. teams with a losing record. The 'over' is 23-10 in Chicago's past 23 on the road.

Free NFL Picks: Colts -4.5 -110 & Over 47.5 -110
Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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