NFL Week 11: Opening Lines And Early Betting Value

Dallas Cowboys player celebrating

Monday, November 14, 2016 4:47 PM GMT

Ladies and gentlemen, the Dallas Cowboys, who are starting rookies at quarterback and running back, now have the best record in the NFL. No team has won a Super Bowl with a rookie starting QB. Here are some interesting opening Week 11 NFL lines.

Baltimore Ravens At Dallas Cowboys (-7.5)

It's a matchup of division leaders on Sunday as Baltimore is atop the AFC North by one game after it easily beat visiting Cleveland last Thursday, 28-7, and Pittsburgh was upset at home by Dallas. The Cowboys, who lead the NFC East by two games in the loss column over the Giants (played Monday vs. the Bengals) and Redskins, beat the Steelers in a thriller, 35-30 for their eighth straight victory. How can you possibly pick an NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year between QB Dak Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott? Prescott threw for 319 yards with two TDs and no picks in the win, while Elliott rushed for 114 yards and two scores, including the winning 32-yarder with nine seconds left. Elliott also had an 83-yard TD reception. He has 1,005 rushing yards and is the third player in NFL history to rush for at least 1,000 yards in his first nine career games, joining Eric Dickerson (1,096) and Adrian Peterson (1,081). Elliott is the first rookie running back since Gale Sayers in 1965 to have at least a 60-yard TD run (he did it Week 5 vs. the Bengals) and an 80-yard TD catch in the same season. We might have to consider making either Elliott or Prescott the NFL MVP and the other the ROY winner. By the way, Tony Romo will be activated this week from his preseason back injury and will be Prescott's backup. Some of SBR's other sportsbooks have this at 7 on NFL odds, but I like Baltimore when given that extra half point as it's on extra rest.

NFL Early Pick: Ravens +7.5

Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Arizona Cardinals At Minnesota Vikings (Pick'em)

These two were division winners in 2015 and would have faced off in the divisional round of the playoffs had Vikings kicker Blair Walsh not gagged on a potential winning field goal in the final seconds of Minnesota's home wild-card loss against Seattle. I'm not sure either of these teams gets back to the postseason in 2016 on NFL picks. Arizona (4-4-1) is two games back of Seattle in the NFC West. The Cardinals haven't been able to get over .500 yet this season but obviously can here. They were nearly upset at home by a terrible San Francisco team on Sunday, escaping 23-20. Chandler Catanzaro kicked a 34-yard field goal as time expired. He missed game-winning field-goal attempts earlier this season against New England and Seattle. It seems like forever ago now as the Vikings were the NFL's last unbeaten team this year at 5-0, but they have lost four in a row following a 26-20 defeat at Washington on Sunday. The Vikings were blanked in the second half. There was one bright spot: Minnesota wide receiver Stefon Diggs had 13 catches for 164 yards, becoming the first player in NFL history to have at least 13 catches in consecutive games.

NFL Early Pick: Cardinals at pick'em

Best Line Offered: BookMaker

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Houston Texans At Oakland Raiders (-5)

This game is being played in Mexico City, the NFL's first game there since 2005 and its first-ever Monday night game outside the United States. Obviously Houston has a lot of Latin American fans simply for where the city is located, while the Raiders are one of the league's most popular teams in Mexico. This is also a matchup division leaders. Houston leads Tennessee by two games in the loss column atop the AFC South. The Texans won their first road game of the season on Sunday, 24-21 in Jacksonville even though QB Brock Osweiler continued to struggle away from home. He threw for just 99 yards on 27 attempts but did have two touchdowns. The Texans played without three injured starters in receiver Will Fuller (knee), run-stuffing nose tackle Vince Wilfork (groin) and cornerback A.J. Bouye (ankle) so monitor their status here. Oakland is giving up a home game for this matchup. The Raiders should be about as healthy as they have been all season as they are off their bye week. Kansas City tied the Raiders atop the AFC West with a victory on Sunday. Both clubs are treating this like a regular road game as they will both fly out Sunday and return home after the game. Maybe it's good for the Raiders that this game isn't in Oakland as they are 2-2 there and 5-0 away from home. I'm loving that the Raiders are giving less than a touchdown.

NFL Early Pick: Raiders -5

Best Line Offered: Intertops

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