It was a down Week 11 for prop betting, but Week 12 is here and there are some fine values in the prop betting NFL odds from sportsbooks like Bovada. I am back to release my finest plays for the Thanksgiving games. NFL Season Props Record: 63-47-2.
Jamison Crowder O/U 4.5 Receptions
The Redskins have an extremely important game on the holiday at their divisional rivals, the Cowboys. This game might go a long way in deciding the NFC East champion and both teams know it.
That could lead to a game more defensive in nature. The Cowboys know they have the best young running back in the NFL in Ezekiel Elliott, and they are going to feed him the ball upwards of 25 or even 30 times in this game. They know they can beat up and wear down the Redskins' defense, which in turn will keep Washington's high-powered passing attack off the field.
Crowder might be the guy left out of all this if the game script goes to plan. As long as Crowder doesn't catch a long bomb, the Skins will also want to run the ball with Rob Kelley, while Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson will get a ton of looks in this one if the Skins are behind. Crowder has only seen seven targets in his last two games, so I doubt he gets five catches here.
NFL Free Pick: 'Under' 4.5
Best Lines Offered Both Props: Bovada
Ty Hilton O/U 67.5 Receiving Yards
It was going to be a tough game for Hilton against the Steelers even if he had Andrew Luck under center, but now that the Colts are starting Scott Tolzien, Hilton's prospects don't look great. They might try to run the ball as much as possible and make a ton of dump off passes, but with Luck (concussion) out and the Steelers' secondary playing well, there is little chance Hilton has a big game here.
Hilton's receiving yardage total has dropped some since the news of Luck being out, but Hilton arguably has bigger problems. The Steelers' secondary has allowed the 10th-fewest yards to opposing receivers, and with almost all of the Colts' big-play ability with Hilton out of commission for this game it might be hard for the speedster to catch enough long passes to cash the over here.
The Steelers' secondary has also been getting better against receivers as the season goes on. Pittsburgh has allowed less than 160 yards to opposing receivers over the past two games, and twice this year the Steelers have allowed less than 95 yards to WRs. Take the 'under' as this one could get out of hand in a hurry.
NFL Free Pick: 'Under' 67.5