NFL Futures: Favorites and Dark Horses for Most Tackles For 2016 Season

Luke Kuechly

Sunday, July 31, 2016 7:07 PM GMT

One of our NFL stats experts takes a look at the futures market for most tackles in 2016 and comes up with a trio of players on the board with excellent betting value.

With the NFL season quite close, some books have thrown out some season prop bets with long NFL odds that are worth taking a look at. Over at Bet365, for example, we have futures on the Regular Season Tackle & Assists Leader.

To analyze this set of futures for wagering value, I've done some legwork for you guys. First, I have the highest per game average of tackles and assists in the last three seasons. This throws out the effect of missing a few games due to injury – if a player only starts in 6 games we still have a good comparative number. Then I've also added the highest single-game tackles and assists total from last year to give us a perspective of the ceiling of each player on the list.

Player

Odds

Highest Per Game Avg. Last 3 Seasons

Highest Single Game Total 2015

Luke Kuechly

+300

9.75

15

Navorro Bowman

+350

9.62

16

Lavonte David

+650

9.18

13

Alec Ogletree

+1200

7.31

16

DeAndre Levy

+1400

9.43

13 (2014)

Sean Lee

+1600

9.66

15

C.J Mosley

+1600

8.31

12

DQwell Jackson

+2000

9.37

17

Paul Posluszny

+2200

10.8

18

Lawrence Timmons

+2500

8.25

10

Vontaze Burfict

+2500

Suspended Until Wk 4

Danny Trevathan

+2800

8.06

19

Telvin Smith

+2800

9.14

14

Bobby Wagner

+3300

9.45

12

Keenan Robinson

+3300

8.38

13

Malcolm Smith

+3300

7.62

14

Reshad Jones

+4000

8.43

12

Jerrell Freeman

+4000

8.61

12

Stephone Anthony

+4000

7

11

Eric Kendricks

+4000

8.36

10

Jordan Hicks

+5000

6.25

10

Kiko Alonso

+5000

9.93

8

Jamie Collins

+5000

7.73

12

Stephen Tulloch

+6000

8.43

13

Ryan Shazier

+6600

5.58

15

Brandon Marshall

+6600

8.07

11

Derrick Johnson

+6600

7.25

14

Brian Cushing

+6600

6.87

13

Corey Graham

+6600

7.93

13

The Favorite
Luke Kuechly finds himself at the top of this list for good reason after taking the crown in 2012 and 2014. He missed 3 games in 2015, but at just the age of 25 we should expect that Kuechly will be back in top form to start the 2016 season. The head of one of the top defenses in the league, Kuechly will continue to see plenty of opportunities for assists as well. A defensive player capable of putting up outlandish performances, Kuechly recorded 24 tackles and assists in one game back in 2013. At +300, Kuechly is right where he should be and has a decent shot of repeating as long as he stays healthy, he is a strong NFL Pick on this line

Mid-Grade Value:
After an injury-shortened 2014 campaign, Paul Posluszny bounced back to record 133 tackles over 14 games in 2015. In 2013, Posluszny recorded 162 tackles over 15 games, and would have won the tackling title if he could have competed in that 16th game at an average pace. His high mark last year was 18 tackles in a game, so the veteran going on his 10th season still has what it takes to put up some huge numbers. If he can stay healthy, Posluszny should put up huge numbers again for a Jaguar team that is finally looking to arrive on the scene after years of rebuilding. +2200 is an excellent value here for this futures wager.

The Not-So-Long Shot:
After exploding on the scene in 2013 with the Bills and recording 159 tackles and earning Defensive Rookie of the Year, Alonso missed all of 2014 and part of 2015 with the Eagles and a torn ACL. Now he finds himself in Miami after getting traded, and all reports are that he is ready to contribute in a big way. Alonso also has the ability to put up big single game numbers, recording 22 tackles in a game in 2013 with the Bills. At +5000 he's a much better value than a lot of players much higher on the board, and a must bet for homer Dolphins fans.

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