Free NFL Pick - Buffalo Bills vs Seattle Seahawks

Buffalo Bills player in action

Wednesday, November 2, 2016 9:17 PM GMT

Buffalo Bills descend on the Seattle Seahawks for a Monday Night showdown to spot on your week 9 NFL picks. Find out which way to line up your SU, ATS and Total NFL picks.

Buffalo Bills vs Seattle Seahawks

Point Spread Value

In the last couple of weeks, the Seahawks suffered a few major setbacks, beginning with a head-scratching 6-6 tie with the Cardinals and then a 25-20 loss to the Saints at the Mercedes Benz Superdome. As a result, the Seahawks slip to a 4-2-1 SU record, underscored by a 3-4-0 ATS record with a 3.1 winning margin and -1.6 differential versus the spread. By those sheer stats, it's a wonder the Seahawks are laying that many points to a Bill's side that is no slouch. Buffalo are 4-4-0 ATS with a 5.0 winning margin and +5.4 differential versus the spread. The Seahawks come up slightly short as favorites with a 2-4-0 ATS mark that includes just a 3.7 winning margin and a -2.2 differential versus the spread. When tipped as underdogs, Bills are 2-2-0 ATS with a 2.2 winning margin and a +6.5 differential versus the spread. The way the Seahawks have been playing in recent weeks, it really does seem to be way too many points to lay. Shade the Bills on your week 9 NFL picks.

Free NFL Pick: Bills +7 (-110)

Best Line Offered: at TheGreek

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The Survivor

The Seahawks are coming off a loss to the Saints on the road, but a returning to CenturyLink could see a turnaround in fortunes; that is, according to NFL betting markets. Granted the Seahawks are a perfect 3-0-0 SU with a 7.7 winning margin on average and a -1.7 differential versus the spread, but they haven't faced a team quite like the Bills at home…so home advantage can't be taken for granted. The Bills are dangerous floaters that have upset the Patriots on the road in one of the most comprehensive beat downs this season. Recent form is a slight concern for Rex Ryan – they are riding a two-game losing streak with losses to Miami (away) and New England (home) – but this is the sort of game he'll be up for. Then there are the offensive issues of Seattle's O-line which can't be swept under the carpet. Wilson hasn't rushed for a touchdown or thrown a touchdown in the last three weeks! If the Seahawks continue to flounder in such a way, how will they win this game? By a barrage of safeties? Hmm…logic and past NFL betting trends say Seahawks win this game. Gut instinct or just a pesky niggling feeling says Bills can actually win this game and send seismic shockwaves through NFL betting markets. Not a lock play by any means but we're boldly shading it for our week 9 NFL picks. The upset of the week, if you will.

Free NFL Pick: Bills +245

Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Game Total

The Bills are second best in the league with a 6-2-0 OVER record after the Atlanta Falcons. That puts it into perspective, doesn't it? Clearly, they don't need a GPS to find the end zone as do the Seahawks. The Seahawks are 3-4-0 in O/U betting, but the last three weeks have seen the Seahawks cash on the UNDER behind their offensive struggles. It's a toss-up which way this game will go on the scoreboard, largely dependent on which team dictates the play and which unit rules on the field. Instinctively, the UNDER seems to be the smart play. However, we're chancing the OVER on our week 9 NFL picks, expecting this game to go completely against the grain.

Free NFL Pick: Over 43.5 (-110)

Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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