Expert Final Thoughts & NFL Pick for Sunday Night Football - Bears vs Cowboys

AT&T Stadium

Sunday, September 25, 2016 7:41 PM GMT

Let’s examine and make a NFL pick in what should be a low-scoring game with the Bears likely trying to lean more on their Rushing game with their backup QB suddenly thrust into a starting role in a must-win spot.

Odds Overview
Chicago Bears at Dallas Cowboys (NBC, 8:30 p.m. EDT/5:30 p.m. PDT): The Dallas Cowboys (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 46 PS-43 PA) welcome the beat-up Chicago Bears (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS, 28 PS-52 PA) to AT&T Stadium in Arlington for this big NFL Regular Season Week 3 SNF game for the visitors who can't afford to start 0-3. Most Offshore sportsbooks have Dallas as 7-point favorites while one has already moved to 7½ (Pinnacle) and another to 8 (5Dimes). The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook had Dallas 3½-point chalks in its Advanced Line before Jay Cutler suffered his Sprained Thumb Injury on MNF.

As you can see from the above SBR NFL Totals page, the Total is 44½ almost everywhere while in the Money Line marketplace, the Cowboys are now priced in the -310 t0 -344 range with the -310 at BetDSI—an Offshore sportsbook which has an A+ grade here at SBR and which features a 50% Free Play Bonus (to $300)—with the Bears high on the takeback +279 (Pinnacle).

Chicago Bears Team Statistics

Dallas Cowboys Statistics

Key Player Injuries and Suspensions

Sunday Night Football Trends, How Could This Game Could Play Out
The Sunday Night Football Trends here heading into NFL Week 3 show Dallas to be 13-12 ATS and 13-14 ATS as a Favorite while the Bears are 10-13 ATS on the Road and 10-16 ATS as an Underdog, so no help there, especially with to backups going for two very schizophrenic NFL teams. On Thursday, Chicago (250/1 to win Super Bowl, Bookmaker, BetDSI) elevated QB Matt Barkley—released by the Cardinals earlier this month—for the Practice Squad to the Active Roster, but playing without Vanderbilt-product Cutler is something the Bears should be used to by now. The Cowboys (+4300 to win Super Bowl, 5Dimes) have some new life on Offense with Rookie Prescott in there along with fellow Rookie Ezekiel Elliott, TE Jason Witten and WR Dez Bryant and with both team having 2nd-string QBs in for a primetime game and the Bears (+125/1 to win NFC, Bookmaker, BetDSI).

Although 5 of the L7 Chicago Regular Season games having gone Under the Total including the L3 straight (avg. 32.7 ppg), the Over is 22-10 in the L32 Chicago Road dates and the Over is 5-0 the L5 in this series (@CHI 28-41 DAL, @CHI 45-28 DAL, @DAL 18-34 CHI, @DAL 20-27 CHI, @CHI 10-34 DAL), making the Totals lean here in Primetime on Sunday night on the Over.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Cowboys 26 Bears 20

NFL PICKS SEASON ATS RECORD: 26-13-0

NFL REGULAR SEASON ATS RECORD: 17-8-0

Free NFL Pick: Over 44 -110
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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