Expert Final Thoughts - How To Bet Cowboys vs. Giants

Dallas Cowboys cheerleaders

Sunday, December 11, 2016 6:35 PM GMT

 

Rookie sensations Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott and the Dallas Cowboys head to chilly MetLife Stadium on Sunday night to face Eli Manning and the New York Giants in hopes of avenging their only loss of the season. Is backing the hosts the wise pick here?

Dallas Cowboys vs N.Y. Giants

The calendar will still say fall but the weather outside will be all winter when the Dallas Cowboys (11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS) take their 11-game winning streak to frigid MetLife Stadium (FieldTurf) in East Rutherford, NJ (Cloudy, 30% Snow, Wind Chill 27°) to face the New York Giants (8-4 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) in an NFC East matchup on Sunday Night Football.

Offshore sportsbooks have Dallas 3½- to 4-point Favorites with the total 47. “We're getting nothing but Cowboys play,” Golden Nugget's Tony Miller said on The Las Vegas Sportsline Friday.

On the money line, the Cowboys are -197 chalks with the Giants +172. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook actually opened up New York as 1-point favorites in its 2016 NFL Games of the Year for this week 14 showdown, while in its NFL Week 14 Advanced Line, the Cowboys opened 2-point favorites.

Sunday Night Football, Sides/Totals & Series Trends

The SNF Trends see the Cowboys 13-18 ATS Road and 13-14 ATS Favorite on Sunday nights with the G-Men 11-10 ATS Home and 15-15 ATS as Underdogs. Dallas is 3-11-2 ATS L16 Week 14, 6-16-1 ATS L23 FieldTurf, 0-3-1 ATS L4 December but 9-2 ATS L11 overall. New York is 5-1 ATS L6 Week 14, 4-0 ATS L4 Home games vs. Teams with Winning Record and 5-2-1 ATS L8 overall.

The Under is 5-0 L5 Dallas December games, 9-2 L11 Cowboys Road games, 11-3 L14 following Dallas ATS Loss and the L4 Giants games went Under. But in this rivalry, the Over is 16-5-1 L22 (7-2-1 L10 MetLife) although the Week 1 Arlington meeting went Under (NYG 20 DAL 19, 48).

Final Thoughts

Eli Manning (45-54-2 ATS Home) and the Giants are 4-0 ATS L4 in this series but many have Dallas (#5 Total Offense, 27.8 ppg) #1 in their power ratings and Rookie Ezekiel Elliott has never lost a Road game in his career. The Cowboys have L2 ATS after W8 straight ATS Wins while Odell Beckham and NY (9 Unders) would qualify as the No. 5 seed if the Playoffs started today.

The Cold could affect Rookie Dak Prescott and the Cowboys' Passing attack, slowing the Pace here to a chess-match with the Giants fearing what a Loss would do. And with Fear often keeping football games close and the Giants Defense (19.8 ppg #9) just as capable as the Cowboys (19.0 ppg, #5), the Under looks like the best option.

Predicted Final Score: Cowboys 23 Giants 20

Free NFL Pick: Under 46.5

Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011391, "sportsbooksIds":[238,19,1096,93,180], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]