Expert Final Thoughts - How To Bet Colts vs. Jets

Colts QB Andrew Luck in action

Monday, December 5, 2016 1:49 PM GMT

Starting QB Andrew Luck will return for the Colts but the Jets are 5-1 ATS L6 and 4-1 ATS the L5 here at MetLife and will be ready to spoil the party on Monday Night Football. Let’s handicap the situation and offer up a logical NFL pick.

Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets

MetLife Stadium (FieldTurf) in East Rutherford, NJ (Mostly Fair, 43°) is where Monday Night Football will be to close out Week 13 and it's an interesting AFC matchup between the New York Jets (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS, 196 PS-266 PA) and the Indianapolis Colts (5-6 SU, 5-5-1 ATS, 270 PS-301 PA). Sportsbooks have Indianapolis as a pick to 2-point favorites after the game opened as a pick with the total from 48½ to 49 (BetOnline) at most offshores.

The money line NFL odds see Indianapolis slight -119 chalks with New York +108. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened the Colts 2½-point favorites here in its NFL Week 13 Advanced Line, so you can see how much the Steelers saddling of the Colts on SNF affected perceptions of this number while the 2016 NFL Games of the Year actually opened the Jets 2½-point favorites. So now you know.

Monday Night Football, Side, Totals & Series Trends

The MNF Trends in this game see the Colts (-5 TO, Tied #23) to be 4-0 ATS as a Road Favorite and 10-4 ATS L14 with the Jets (-13 TO, #31 NFL) 8-3 ATS as a Road Underdog on Monday nights. Both Indianapolis and the Jets have played 2 straight Unders and the Under is 4-0 L4 Jets Monday games, 21-5 L26 Colts games after a double-digit home loss and 16-5 their L21 in December—even though they play in a Dome—but the Over is 21-8 L29 Colts Road dates.

Indianapolis is 23-7 ATS L30 vs. Team with Losing Record, 25-9 ATS L34 after SU Loss while the Jets are 10-1-2 ATS L13 in December.

Final Thoughts & Pick

In last place in the AFC East, Ryan Fitzpatrick (72.2 Passer Rating, 13 Interceptions) the Jets are out of it while speedster TY Hilton (Probable) and the Colts are in the shadow of AFC South leaders Houston (6-5) but the Jets are 5-1 ATS L6 in this series, have Fitzpatrick, Matt Forte, Brandon Marshall, are at Home and are the 7th least penalized team in the league. The Over is 5-2 the L7 meetings and 3-1-1 L5 in Jersey but Luck may be rusty and the Wind Chill (40°) will affect hands—even gloved ones. In the end, this week 13 finale looked much better on the schedule in the summer and with New York out of it and Luck back after clearing concussion protocol, Indianapolis on the money line is the hesitant NFL pick.

Predicted Final Score: Colts 24 Jets 23

Free NFL Pick: Colts -123

Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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