Expert Final Thoughts - Houston Texans vs Oakland Raiders

Oakland Raiders players

Sunday, November 20, 2016 9:25 PM GMT

Mexico’s largest venue, Estadio Azteca will be the site of MNF in Week 11 as Raiders bang helmets with Texans in the fourth and final game of the NFL’s 2016 International Series. Let’s handicap this AFC clash—which sold out in 15 minutes—and offer up three NFL picks.

Houston Texans vs. Oakland Raiders

The fourth and final game of the NFL's 2016 International Series sees the Houston Texans (6-3 SU, 5-3-1 ATS 161 PS-188 PA) and the upstart Oakland Raiders (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS, 245 PS-223 PA) meeting at Estadio Azteca (Grass) in suburban (Santa Úrsula) Mexico City (Partly Cloudy, 54°) on Monday Night Football. Sportsbooks have the Raiders 5½- to 7-point favorites with the total from 45½ to 46. The money line odds see Oakland -240 with Houston at +214.

The 1st half odds have the Raiders -3½ (-115, at BetOnline) with the 1st half total 23 (-105, at Sportsbetting.ag). The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Oakland up 3-point chalks in its Week 11 Advanced Line, so Raiders steam is real. “Monday night's just gonna be an avalanche of Raiders' money,” said Pauly Howard, SBR contributor and ESPN 1100 radio host on Thursday of this Point Spread which opened at -4½ and was at -7 already (5Dimes) by Friday morning and the consensus Sunday revealed 62.2% of Wagers Placed were on Oakland.

Monday Night Football Trends, Series, Side and Totals

The MNF Trends see Oakland 5-1 ATS L6 against Non-Division Opponents but 2-8-1 ATS the L11 Mondays with Houston an equally anemic 1-7 ATS the L8 Mondays, 1-4 ATS the L5 off a Division Opponent and 1-5 ATS L6 against an Opponent with a .500> Record on Monday. The Raiders are 12-5 ATS L17 Week 11, 4-0 ATS L4 following Bye and 10-4 ATS L14 vs. AFC. The Texans are 6-0 ATS L6 November, 5-1 ATS L6 following Bye and 5-1-1 ATS L7 on Grass. The Under is 15-5 L20 Texans games vs.Team With Winning Record, the Over is 35-14-2 L51 Raiders games following an ATS Win and 5-1 the L6 Oakland games overall.

Final Thoughts, Texans vs. Raiders Picks—NFL Picks 2016 ATS Record: 62-44-2

Like the NFC's Cowboys, the Raiders (+9 TO, #3 NFL) have made this improvement on the backs of a strong and motivated Offensive Line and the team's Yards Per Play numbers (OAK 6.1, HOU 4.8) show how much Osweiler 49.5 Total QBR, #29) has struggled with his new team and with the Texans bad at keeping the pigskin (-5 TO, T#26) and with star DL JJ Watt on the I-R, backing Carr (66.7 Total QBR, #11) and Oakland in a high-scoring showoff type game south of the border is the prescription.

Predicted Final Score: Raiders 33 Texans 17

Free NFL Picks: Raiders 1st Half -3½ at BetOnline, Raiders -5½ at BetOnline & Over 45½ at 5Dimes