Expert Final Thoughts - NFL Pick & Betting Odds - Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens players in field celebrating

Thursday, November 10, 2016 1:30 PM GMT

The Cleveland Browns may be the worst team in the NFL and on Thursday Night Football, this 0-9 teams head to Baltimore in an interesting AFC North game. Let’s look at some of the relevant trends and make an NFL pick.

NFL Picks Season Record: 60-41-2

Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens

The winless Cleveland Browns (0-9 SU, 2-7 ATS, 168 PS-273 PA) head to M&T Bank Stadium (Grass) in Baltimore on Thursday night to face Joe Flacco and the tied-for-first-place Ravens (4-4 SU/3-4-1 ATS, 154 PS-153 PA) in the week 10 lid-lifter Sportsbooks offshore have the Ravens from 9½- to 10-point favorites after opening at 8 and being pounded by professional gamblers at Open late Sunday and early Monday. The total is 45 to 45½ while the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Baltimore 9½-point favorites in its NFL Week 10 advanced line.

Series Trends, Overall Trends, Ravens vs. Browns Handicap For TNF

As you can see by the L10 games in this AFC North matchup played in Baltimore, the Ravens have held the Browns (L12 SU) to 10, 6, 16, 14, 17, 3, 10 and 17 in the eight Losses, which all ended in regulation (11.6 ppg) while Cleveland's two wins in Crab City both went to OT with the Browns winning each by a 33-30 scoreline, in the meeting last year and also back in 2007. The Thursday Night Football Trends show the Browns (421.7 ypg Allowed, 30.3 ppg, #32 in NFL) to be 3-5 SU and 5-2 ATS on TNF (3-2 ATS on Road) while Baltimore—which won 25-20 in Week 2 at Cleveland, covering ATS as 4-point chalks—is 6-4 SU and but 2-6-1 ATS the L9 on Thursdays.

In this series, Cleveland is 5-1 ATS L6 at M&T Bank Stadium with the Ravens losing outright that aforementioned last meeting and by 10, 8, 7, 6 and 7, so the Browns have kept it close. And while for-now starting QB Cody Kessler and Cleveland are 0-7 ATS its L7 vs. the AFC North, 3-9 ATS the L12 vs. the AFC and 0-6 ATS L6 in November, Baltimore is 3-10-1 ATS its L14 vs. Teams With Losing Record and 3-11-1 ATS L15 at Home. The Over is 5-1 L6 meetings but the Under is 4-1 L5 played in Maryland with the Underdog 13-3-1 ATS L16.

The biggest things here are how bad the Browns (4-15 ATS L19, #32 NFL Scoring Margin, -11.7 ppg) are now along with the Ravens actually having a chance to go atop the division for at least a couple of nights with a Win. And Baltimore looked very good in Week 9 here, manhandling Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers (4-4), 21-14.

Predicted Final Score: Ravens 26 Browns 13

Free NFL Pick: Ravens -9½

Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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