Expert Final Thoughts: Carolina Panthers vs Washington Redskins

DeSean Jackson

Monday, December 19, 2016 12:16 PM GMT

 

We’ve kicked a big bowl of ass this year but we’re only as good as our last bet or pick so let’s try to find a winner here in a matchup the hosts would love to win. But can the road-poor Carolina boys handle potentially historic Wind Chills on MNF? 

Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins, 12/19/16

Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers (5-8 SU, 4-8-1 ATS, 311 PS-337 PA) head up the Atlantic Coast to FedEx Field (Grass) in Landover, Maryland (Cloudy, 25°) to face Kirk Cousins and the Washington Redskins in this Monday Night Football affair and Week 15 endcap. Offshore sportsbooks have Washington as 6 to 7-point favorites in this NFC matchup after the game opened at 4 with the Total from 50½ to 51 three days out.


The Moneyline sees Washington -275 favorites with defending NFC champions Carolina +230. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened the Redskins 4-point favorites in its NFL Week 15 Advanced Line, so both the Sharps and General Public have both been backing the hosts here, and, to show how much things have changed, the SuperBook 2016 NFL Games of the Year—out in Spring—actually opened the the Panthers 2½-point favorites.

Monday Night Football, Side, Totals and Series Trends

The MNF Trends see former Panthers CB Josh Norman and the Redskins 5-11 ATS as Home Favorites and 13-15 Home O/U on Monday night with Carolina (1-8-1 ATS L10 Road) 1-2 ATS as Road Underdog and 3-2 Away O/U. The Over is 8-0 L8 Redskins Home games.

The Panthers (NFL-leading 39 Sacks) are 4-2 ATS L6 in this series but Washington (59/1 to win Super Bowl, BookMaker) is 5-1 SU with the Under 5-1 in those games. The Redskins (10-25-2 ATS L37 Hom vs Team with Losing Road Record) hold a 4.5 ypr-3.9 ypr edge heading in but were stomped by the ‘Skins, 44-16 last season in Charlotte (CAR -7, 44).

Former Panthers DB Norman Could Steal the Frigid MNF Spotlight

As Bryan Ives so astutely pointed out for ESPN Stats and Info, the Panthers Pass Defense (272.4 ypg, #30) has suffered much this year since Norman's departure, and the Kansas State product may loom large in this one wanting to bury his former teammates who head in 5-8 and still alive in the NFC Playoff race in the No. 11 spot. (You needed a holiday laugh.) So expect Cousins to find his plethora of Receivers in DeSean Jackson, Pierre Garçon, Jamison Crowder Vernon Davis and Jordan Reed and at 7-5-1 and sitting in the No. 7 spot, will be motivated to win from the open kickoff and Washington plays well at Home (4-2 SU/ATS).

Trust matters when betting on teams, and the Redskins (1-5 SU, 1-4-1 ATS on Road) and Cousins (4-7 ATS as Favorite) have earned the respect of many bettors—teammates were pulling for Cousins to start in the latter RG3 seasons in DC—while it seems the jury is still out on Newton and the Panthers and that the way Carolina is playing this year is more the norm and that dominating in their NFC South will be a dream with the Falcons (8-5) and Buccaneers (8-5) seemingly on the rise. So the NFL championship window may have been very tiny for these Cats. Washington by double-digits in the cold here against a team that won't know how to deal with for 60 minutes. But they'll pretend it doesn't bother them. It will.


PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Redskins 30 Panthers 17

Free NFL Pick: Redskins -6 -115

Best Line Offered: at Bovada

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