UNLV Rebels vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds - College Basketball Pick

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Wednesday, November 30, 2016 7:25 PM GMT

First time away from Las Vegas combined with solid defense is a good under bet in Ceder City, Utah. Expert capper Drew Martin takes a look into this matchup and provides his NCAA Basketball pick.

The UNLV Rebels hit the road for the first time this year to face the Southern Utah Thunderbirds. The Rebels will make the two-and-a-half-hour road trip up I-15 to Cedar City, Utah and face off against the Big Sky member picked to finish last in the conference preseason.

Both UNLV and Southern Utah are in rebuilding mode this year under first-year head coaches. The Thunderbirds will try and push the pace under the direction of head coach Todd Simon, in fact having over 75 possessions multiple times this year. However, Southern Utah has shown the tendency to slow the pace a bit when matched up against an opponent who is a step up in class for the Thunderbirds, having only 69 possessions vs Valparaiso and 71 possessions vs Costal Carolina and putting up less than 69 points in each contest.

UNLV sits at 4-2 on the season and has really impressed on the defensive side of the ball. The Rebels are a top 70 team in the nation in terms of defensive field goal percentage. The Rebels have had the benefit of playing at home in the Thomas and Mack Center for all eight games this year, hitting the road for the first time under a first-year head coach is a concern when looking to back UNLV. A different arena away from the comforts of Las Vegas may affect the Rebels on the offensive side more than the betting markets are factoring in. Instead of laying the 8+ points with the away favorite, for my NCAA Basketball pick, I recommend a wager on the under of 157.5. First time on the road under a first-year head coach combined with the tendency of Southern Utah to pump the brakes on offensive tempo against quality competition is a recipe for a final to fall short of the inflated total flirting with 160.

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Free College Basketball Pick: Under 157.5

Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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