NCAA Basketball Betting - North Carolina Tar Heels vs Indiana Hoosiers

Indiana Hoosiers players in action

Wednesday, November 30, 2016 3:44 PM GMT

Two of college basketball’s storied programs clash at Assembly Hall Wednesday night (9:15 p.m. ET), as No. 13 Indiana hosts No. 3 North Carolina. Check out our free NCAA basketball pick for the contest with the analysis here.

North Carolina Tar Heels (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS)

This is North Carolina's first real road test of the season after beating Tulane (95-75) and Hawaii (83-68) in its only true away games. For what it's worth, those are the only contests it has failed to cover all year.

The Tar Heels are sixth in the nation in scoring with 91.0 points per game, posting 93 or more in five of seven; this, despite losing two of their top three scorers from last season.

Roy Williams, with 29-years of head coaching experience, is running a bit of a different look offensively. Williams tends to work the ball to the post, like last season, but is showing greater balance with the unit in 2016. In stretches, he has his big men stepping out to the perimeter. This allows driving lanes for guard Joel Berry and the rest of the outside personnel to deliver. Berry leads the team with 17.1 points per game and is shooting a red-hot 47.1 percent from behind the arc.

Defensively, Carolina is owning the boards, allowing opponents 30.7 rebounds per game. Senior forward Kennedy Meeks, at 6-foot-10, is pulling down 10.7 per contest to lead the team. Overall, the Tar Heels are loaded with trees and athleticism down low.

Indiana Hoosiers (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS)

Indiana tipped off its season with a resume-building 103-99 victory over Kansas as 6-point underdogs. Two games ago, the program was stunned 71-68 by Fort Wayne, losing as 13.5-point chalk. Which Hoosiers' team will show up tonight is anyone's guess. It holds a 20-game win streak at Assembly Hall, though.

Indiana owns a stellar 57.8 effective field goal percentage. This is largely due to its success behind the arc. The Hoosiers average 10.2 threes per contest. James Blackmon Jr. leads the way from downtown to a 47 percent stroke. The junior guard sat out last game against Mississippi Valley State with a knee injury but is expected to suit up tonight.

Success from the 3-point area will likely dictate Indiana's chances. Under head Tom Crean, it is 40-16 SU and 32-19-1 ATS when draining 10 or more in a game. The OVER is 39-12-1 as well.

Like the Tar Heels, Indiana crushes the boards, leading the nation in total rebounds per game (48.8)

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Indiana Hoosiers

Crean offers oodles of value as a home underdog in his time at Indiana. As a 5.5-point pup or less, the Hoosiers are 17-5 straight up in Bloomington under his leadership. Moreover, Crean is 6-1 SU versus AP top 5 teams at Assembly Hall since 2011. Indiana will have to limit the Tar Heels in the paint and keep them off the foul line to win, which this team is set up to do.

This game is must-watch TV for college hoops fans with each team projected to hit 80 points. Indiana will push the pace as always and feed off the home crowd. Let's take what the sportsbooks offer: Indiana +4 is the free NCAA basketball pick with a little sprinkled on the money line (+160).

Free NCAAB Pick: Indiana to win & cover

Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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