Swinger’s By the Numbers NBA Picks for Monday, March 20th

Oklahoma City Thunder players

Monday, March 20, 2017 1:36 PM GMT

By the Numbers is a daily NBA column featuring Swinger’s top selections according to historical trends and game time matchups. Let’s review the top picks for Monday’s slate and cash in our NBA picks

76'ers (26-43 SU, 44-24-1 ATS ) vs. Magic (25-45 SU, 29-40-1 ATS)

* Orlando is 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.

* Orlando is 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.

* Orlando is 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite.

* Orlando is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win.

* Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in their last seven Monday games.

* Philadelphia is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.

* Philadelphia is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following an ATS win.

* Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games playing on zero day's rest.

The oddsmakers have me stumped. The only possible reason they have installed the Magic as five-point favorites is that they are at home and the Sixers are playing the second leg of back-to-back games. Ah, okay but Orlando is a lousy team playing against a lousy team that just happens to cash in bunches (Philly is 44-24-1 or 64%). In addition, Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS playing on zero day's rest so they have proven to be nothing if not resilient. The 76'ers have also ripped off five consecutive ATS covers. And lastly, Philadelphia is 4-1 against the spread over the last five games played in Orlando. Grab those points!

Free NBA Pick: 76'ers +5

Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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Warriors (55-14 SU, 31-36-2 ATS) vs. Thunder (40-29 SU, 39-29-1 ATS)

* Oklahoma City is 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.

* Oklahoma City is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog.

* Oklahoma City is 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win.

* Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.

* Golden State is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.

* Golden State is 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.

* Golden State is 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games.

* Golden State is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

The Warriors may have the best record in basketball but they just don't seem to have that aura of invincibility and swagger of the last few years. Perhaps it's because they've lost a key player in Kevin Durant and have disappointed those who have backed them in their NBA picks this season as evidenced by their 31-36-2 ATS mark. The Warriors have defeated the Thunder and covered the number in all three matchups this season but OKC is 6-1 ATS avenging a home loss and are in the midst of a five-game winning streak both straight-up and against the number. The Thunder has also covered four of their last six home games against the Warriors. Let's grab the home pup and cash a ticket.

Free NBA Pick: Thunder +2½

Best Line Offered: at Bovada

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