Start Your Week By Profiting From Two Low-Scoring NBA Picks

Monday, April 25, 2016 3:22 PM GMT

This expert capper is coming off a perfect 7-0 weekend of betting in all sports. Today, he's sharing his two top NBA totals picks so you can join in on the winning spree as well.

Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets 7:05 PM ET
Current NBA odds at Island Casino has Charlotte as a 2.0 point favorite for Monday's Game 4 against Miami. Miami has gone 16-3 (84.2%) under the total this season as an underdog of 5.5 or less, and that includes 9-1 (90%) if there's a line of 4.0 or less. Conversely, Charlotte is 8-2 (80%) under the total this season as a home favorite of 4.0 or less.

These teams have met three times in Charlotte this season, and each of those contests stayed under the total. Miami in particular struggled offensively during those three Southeast Division battles, scoring only 86.3 points per game, and shooting an awful 39.9%. On the other hand, Charlotte went a miserable 12-51 (23.6%) from three point range.

Miami is coming off a 96-80 loss on Saturday in Game 3. They've gone 5-0 under the total this season following a game in which they scored 82 points or less. Those five outings averaged a combined 178.0 points scored per game.

Since the 1996 NBA Playoffs, any first round Game 4 with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, resulted in those contests going 50-20 (71.4%) under the total. The average total in those 70 games was 193.5, and there was a combined 188.1 points scored per contest. This game is quite the sensation today, so make sure you this aditional article on the game.

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Free NBA Pick: Under 195.5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder 8:05 PM ET
The last three times these Southwest Division rivals met in Oklahoma City this season, each game went under the total, and there was a combined 181.3 points scored per contest. Dallas was anemic offensively during those three outings, scoring just 81.3 points per game, and shooting a dismal 37.1%.

Oklahoma City won and covered during Games 3 and 4 in Dallas. They've gone under the total in all seven home games this season after covering in each of their previous two contests. There was only a combined 184.7 points scored per game during those seven outings. During their last eight home games versus fellow Southwest Division teams, Oklahoma City has allowed just 92.5 points per contest, and held opponents to a meager 39.8% shooting.

Dallas has seen six of their previous seven away games go under the total, and there was a combined 181.0 points scored per outing. I see more of the same in their road game tonight, and one of my NBA picks concurs with that assessment. If you're looking for a more detailed look at this pick, take a look at this breakdown and betting analysis.

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Free NBA Pick: Under 206
Best Line Offered: at Bovada