There appear to be some very intriguing games on Saturday’s NBA schedule. However, Brooklyn at Golden State isn’t one of them. It’s the NBA’s worst team against its best, and sportsbooks have placed a massive line accordingly.
Saturday's Nets-Warriors game at Oracle Arena figures to be ugly. Brooklyn is by far the worst team in the NBA and entered Friday's matchup at Denver on a 14-game losing streak and having dropped 25 of 26. So, yeah, the Nets have to face the NBA championship favored Warriors on the second of a back-to-back and coming off a draining game at altitude.
Brooklyn also traded one of its better players, guard Bojan Bogdanovic, to Washington this week to get ever weaker. Bogdanovic was the team's second-leading scorer at 14.2 ppg. The Nets got back forward Andrew Nicholson, guard Marcus Thornton and the Wizards' 2017 first-round pick. Nicholson and Thornton are scrubs, and the Nets already have waived Thornton. That deal was all about getting a first-round pick because the Nets don't have the rights to their own – they will be swapping that pick for Boston's because of the disastrous Kevin Garnett/Paul Pierce trade a few years ago with the Celtics.
The Warriors lead the NBA in point differential at plus-12.8, which is on a record pace. They also are No. 1 in scoring by a wide margin. The Nets are last in the league in point differential at minus-8.8 and 30th in scoring defense in allowing nearly 115 points per game. So, yeah, this is a bit of a mismatch. The Warriors opened as 21.5-point favorites on BookMaker NBA odds. Where will bettors side?
“Saturday's game is undoubtedly set up for a large influx of public money on Golden State, but sometimes when you have a number of this magnitude, the squares are hesitant to lay it,” BookMaker spokesman Scott Cooley wrote in an email to Sportsbook Review. “And on the flip side, you have to be careful not to inflate the spread too much as the sharp players are always looking for value with double-digit dogs. “
That's the NBA biggest spread of the 2016-17 season and likely won't be beaten. The previous four largest all were Warriors home games: -18.5 vs. Dallas on Nov. 9 (116-95 final), -18.5 vs. Sacramento on Feb. 15 (109-86 final), -18 vs. L.A. Lakers on Nov. 23 (149-106 final) and -17.5 vs. Dallas on Dec. 30 (108-99 final).
According to Cooley, BookMaker's biggest NBA spread on record was Phoenix at -24 against Dallas on March 12, 1993. The Suns won 116-98. The highest this century was Boston -22.5 vs. Miami on March 30, 2008. The Celtics won 88-62.
Golden State visited Brooklyn on Dec. 22 as a 13.5-point favorite and won 117-101. The Nets actually led 65-49 at the half but scored only 36 second-half points. Draymond Green missed the game for the Warriors. Golden State has won three straight overall vs. Brooklyn and four in a row at home. Talk about this game in our forum.