NBA Picks: Huge Celtics Comeback Incoming Against Hawks

Thursday, April 28, 2016 2:46 PM GMT

The home team has captured all 5 in the series with margins of 7 or more points in the last 4 contests. Find out if the correct NBA pick is on the Celtics pulling off a major turnaround.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics
Atlanta Hawks and Boston Celtics return to TD Garden for Game 6 of their Round 1 NBA Playoff series. The home games in Boston were Celtic victories by 8 and 9 points. But, the 9 point victory in Game 4 was a bit misleading. Atlanta had a 17 point 2nd half lead, then settled for OT. In that extra session, Atlanta missed 8 of their first 9 shots and were outscored 12-3 in an eventual 104-95 loss.

The first game in Boston (Game 3 of the series) saw the Celtics favored by 3 points with a TOTAL of 204. That was after the line had been adjusted for the Celtics' loss of Avery Bradley (their No. 2 scorer and best perimeter defender) in Game 1. Now, Boston PG Thomas has aggravated an injured left ankle in Game 5. His status is officially listed as questionable and Thomas is adamant that he will suit up for this Game 6, Boston elimination game! But, the linemaker wants no part of it, as the line currently stands at Atlanta (-2), a clear indication that Thomas will not make post. Should he play, that means there is 4 points of value in the betting line with Boston.

Betting Analysis
The Celtics will have to make a major turnaround, if they are to capture Game 6 and extend the series to Atlanta for Game 7. In Game 5 on Tuesday night (won by Atlanta 110-83), the Celtics stormed to a dominant lead, holding the Hawks to just 19 points in the first 18 minutes. Then, Atlanta turned it around by scoring 91 points in the last 30 minutes for a dominant 110-83 home court victory.

But, long-term history is clearly on the side of Boston in this one. The storied franchise has beaten Atlanta in the last 9 playoff series they have faced them. They have also won 10 consecutive post-season games on this court vs. the Hawks.

If PG Thomas plays for Boston and is anywhere near 100%, we are stealing this wager at (+2), a swing of 5 points from where the line opened in Game 3. We will take our chances that Boston HC Stevens will make adjustments for the double-teaming of PG Thomas and the Celtics will continue their strong home court performance tonight. I invite you to put the NBA odds in your favor and join me in my NBA picks on the Boston Celtics tonight.

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Free NBA Pick: Boston Celtics +110
Best Line Offered: at Heritage