Home Court Advantage Decisive For Hawks vs. Celtics NBA Picks

Friday, April 22, 2016 1:00 PM GMT

The Atlanta Hawks travel to Boston for Game 3 of their 2016 Round 1 NBA Playoff series.  Join us as we break down the game in search for the most valuable NBA Picks on is event.

The Atlanta Hawks travel to Boston for Game 3 of their 2016 Round 1 NBA Playoff series. The game is scheduled for an 8:05 ET tip as televised by ESPN2. Atlanta won their 2 home games in this series by scores of 102-101 and 89-72. The line moved from Atlanta (-5) to Atlanta (-6) in Game 2 due to the Celtics' loss of best defender and 2nd leading scorer, Bradley.

Bradley remains out of tonight's contest with an injured hamstring, while Celtics' big man, Olynyk, is also expected to miss Friday with his injured shoulder. The linemaker is un-phased by the Bradley injury and has posted the Celtics as a 3 point favorite for the game (a full 9 point swing from the previous contest). Normal home court value for an NBA team is 3 points, indicating a 6 point swing from site to site. We will follow the linemaker's lead and join him in tonight'sselection on the Celtics, as they bounce back from the 2 road losses in Atlanta.

If Boston is to indeed get their bounce back win, they will need to reverse the first quarter of the previous 2 games. In Game 1, the Celtics trailed at the half by 17 points on 23% shooting. They rallied in the 2nd half, but eventually lost 102-101. On Tuesday, the Celtics scored 7 points in the 1st quarter (the lowest output in the first quarter of any playoff game since the shot clock was instituted in 1954)! They continued their abysmal shooting, including 3 from 23 from the field with no 3 pointers in 6 attempts. For the game, the Celtics were just 5 for 28 from the arc and shot 32% in the 89-72 loss.

But, the NBA Playoffs are a time of venue change and adjustments. Look for the Celtics to play far better on a home court, where they finished the year on a 19-3 SU run, while averaging 28 PPG on 46% shooting in the 1st quarter of those contests. The Celtics can only use the excuse of Bradley's absence for so long. Eventually, lead guard Thomas and Bradley's backup, Marcus Smart, must begin to play better ball. Perhaps it will help that Hawks' backup point guard, Schroder, figures to be limited due to an injured left ankle suffered in the closing minutes of Game 2.

After starting 3-0 ATS on Monday, 2016 NBA Playoff flip-flops have gone 2-6 ATS the last 3 nights. Round 1, Game 3 home teams have historically been outstanding bounce back plays, especially if they are coming off a SUATS loss, are favored by 3 or more points and are playing a sub .700 team. Expect the Celtics to break from the gate far better than they have in previous 1st quarters and gain their victory of Game 3 of this series. I invite you to put the NBA Odds in your favor and join me in my NBA Pick on the Boston Celtics tonight.

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Free NBA Pick: Celtics -155
Best Line Offered: at Heritage