Catch Value On Pacers vs. Raptors Total Odds When Game 2 Tips Off

Monday, April 18, 2016 12:00 PM GMT

In game one between the Pacers and Raptors, Indiana pulled off the road upset. Today we are going to look at the total for their second game.  Do the NBA odds offer any value?

The NBA odds have set the total for this game at 193.5 -103. This line has actually gone up a bit from opening at 193 up to 194 and then back down at some places. For one of my NBA picks I will back over the total in this matchup because the pace was quite off from the normal tempo of these two teams.


Indiana Pacers
In game one the Pacers shot 43% from the floor and over 52% from distance but averaged 48% and 35% respectively during the season. Paul George really stepped up in the fourth quarter and the Pacers were able to pull off the upset, but not too surprising of an upset considering Toronto's past playoff performances.

The Raptors shot very poorly overall but what I thought was the most interesting aspect was the pace of the game. Indiana got up just 79 attempts with 21 of those being from distance. On the season they averaged 85.1 shots per game with 23 of those coming from beyond the arc. As well, although the Pacers scored 100 points that was still below their 102.1 average.

I anticipate in this matchup for this game to go a bit more up tempo with both teams pushing pace that is more to their average. Indiana did a nice job forcing Toronto into 19 turnovers which is really surprising considering the Raptors ranked fifth in the NBA in that category at just around 13 per game.

Toronto Raptors
In game one Toronto shot 38% from the field and 21% from distance but averaged 45% and 37% respectively during the season. The Raptors were not a team to push tempo during the regular season averaging just 81.3 shots per game with 23.3 of those coming from distance. Even with those low numbers they only got up 79 and 19 in game one which was not helpful considering their overall shooting percentages.

As mentioned, the turnovers were a major issue but for most of the night Toronto just looked a bit out of sorts. Tonight I expect them to get back to their normal efficiency and bounce back from one of their worst performances of the year. Speaking of efficiency, their overall efficiency and shooting from beyond the arc was way off in game one where they ranked sixth and fifth in the league respectively. Indiana is decent defensively but I expect Toronto to put up triple digits tonight.

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Free NBA Pick: Pacers Over 193½ -103
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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