The first debate is in the books, and the presidential odds appear to be reflecting a slight bump favoring Clinton. Let’s take a look at the 2016 presidential betting board and analyze where the true value lies in this political battle.
The Not So Great Debate
Let's face it. The gloves off, knockdown, drag out fight we all expected never materialized. The most salacious pre-debate rumor floating about was that Bill Clinton's former flame Gennifer Flowers would be sitting front and center, courtesy of one Donald Trump. That spectacle never materialized but speaking of Trump, he's been a little less orange these days while Hillary has been a little less screechy. The former Secretary of State was by most accounts, the clear cut winner in a debate that was devoid of any gotcha moments.
Trump became unglued as the debate wore on and chose to focus on defending himself from Clinton's attacks as opposed to deflecting, changing course and going on the offensive. Nevertheless, for many watching it was an exercise in watching a couple of mass debaters stroking their own egos, swelling their own accomplishments and ultimately failing to reach the chest-heaving climax most were expecting.
Though the Trump camp was hoping this movie would be titled "The Taming of the Shrew" the Clinton supporters were hoping to see "American Psycho" come to life in the form of Trump himself. Neither version occurred but the over 80 million viewers sitting in rapt anticipation were no doubt comparing this performance more to Ishtar than Casablanca.
The Presidential Odds
Despite Trump absurdly pointing to "all the internet polls" that showed him winning, the real polls that were conducted between Tuesday and Thursday showed Clinton winning by as much as a 3-1 margin. If this were a boxing match Clinton would not have scored a knockout or even a knockdown but would have won by decision on all the judges' scorecards.
Yet, there is still time for Trump to recoup and learn from his mistakes. Perhaps the former, rather than the latter, is more likely but Clinton also has her own issues with which to deal. She may have been far more composed than Trump but warm and fuzzy she is not. Hell, forget warm and fuzzy, her campaign staffers would happily take tepid and nappy as a consolation prize.
The post-debate presidential betting odds have skewed towards Clinton, reflecting the polls themselves. Bovada now has Hillary at -275 (+200 for Trump) where many sports books had Mrs. Clinton as low as -200 prior to her verbal sparring match on Monday night.
Unfortunately for Clinton, the undecided's and independents are not nearly as convinced as the left wing moonbats and dyed-in-the-wool liberals who would sooner burn their bras and their Birkenstock's before abandoning Hillary. And let's not forget that Trump has a rabid contingent of his own. Immigration and trade has been the sine qua non of Trump's appeal to those who have felt disenfranchised in a politically correct world gone amuck.
In the minds of many voters, it doesn't matter who wins because either way, everybody loses. Listening to Trump's unflagging self-aggrandizement reminds me of a quote from Ralph Waldo Emerson who wrote, "The louder he talked of his honor, the faster we counted our spoons,". However, the political battle axe Clinton continues to whistle past the graveyards of Vince Foster, Benghazi, Whitewater, Travelgate and of course her email server scandal to name but a few.
This is truly a pick your poison, hold your nose and vote election. We still have two more debates to go but if Trump does not up his game, he will soon find himself out of it.