Three Best Value Bets For Thursday's Euro 2016 Fixtures

Wednesday, June 15, 2016 4:00 AM GMT

Germany can guarantee a spot on the knockout stage, while England has a must win game to avoid any bad surprises. Join Bernardo Baltazar as he share the best value picks.

England vs Wales
England continues their terrible streak of not winning on the opening game, this time after suffering a dramatic goal in the 92nd minute against Russia. The English team presented the better football on that game but the Russians' experience proved to be decisive to achieve the 1-1 final score. There are no doubts about the talent of the English players however, the team struggles to connect the midfield with that amazing front line that has bench players as Vardy or Sturridge.

On the other side will be Wales, which are the English rivals in the UK and they'll try to surprise them with a team that contains many players from the English football plus Gareth Bale, their star and the player who can always solve their problems.

England is a team that usually doesn't fail against Wales but the price offered by the sportsbooks doesn't offer any value and since we believe that they can win, this is the kind of game where waiting for a live opportunity is the best option.

A small note on the goal scorers market, in a game that should be very tight with several free kicks and corners. Harry Kane is the player in charge of the corners and some free kicks, leaving the two centre backs, Cahill and Smalling, as the two most dangerous players in the area and with both priced close to at 12 on Betfred, they clearly deserve some bucks on them.

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Free Soccer Picks: Smalling to score at any time at +1100, Cahill to score at any time at +1100

Ukraine vs Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland is clearly the weakest team on this group, they were completely dominated on the first game against Poland and the same should happen against Ukraine Soccer Pick.

Even though Ukraine is not a top team, they present a good average quality on their squad with their players competing usually on the big competitions such as Europa League and Champions League.

Ukraine's biggest weakness is not having a high quality striker but even without it, is expectable to see them getting in the lead early on this game since they know how crucial this game is if they want to reach the knockout stage.

Looking at the winners market, Ukraine is not priced very high for a straight victory but their spread can be a good choice on this game, as well as the HT/FT with an amazing odd of +150 on Coral.

Due to the lack of a high quality striker on the team and the importance of this game, we can't see this as a big scoring affair and that makes us split our stake between the HT/FT and Ukraine & Under 3.5 goals at -110 Betfair Sportsbook.

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Free Soccer pick: Ukraine HT/FT and Under 3.5 goals

Best Line Offered: Ukraine HT/FT at +150 Coral and Under 3.5 goals at -110 at Bodog


Germany vs Poland
This is the game that can decide who will finish on the first place of this group and curiously, these two teams were on the same group in the qualification stage.

Germany showed a very good football as they always do in the final stages. Even though they played without a real striker, they controlled the ball possession and created many problems to Ukraine and on this game against Poland, their control should be similar. On the Polish side, their first game was an easy one since Northern Ireland is a very weak team. However, their main player and biggest hope, Lewandowski, couldn't play at his best and this time, he'll face a defence that knows him very well.

The price offered by the sportsbooks on Germany is acceptable and it should drop until the kick off. To get the higher Soccer Odds than at -162.5 for Germany straight win, is possible to get Germany to win & Under 4.5 goals at -105 Betfair or even Germany to win & under 3.5 goals at +140 Stan James, both with great value for this game.

Looking to the goals market, sportsbooks have no doubt that this will be an over game but in our opinion, this might be a cautious game and with Germany not taking many risks it will be very hard for Polish to create goal opportunities, which makes the Under 3.00 as a good bet to take at 1.75 Pinnacle.

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Free Soccer pick: Germany

Best Line Offered: Under 4.5 goals at -105 Betfair and Under 3.00 at -135.14 at Pinnacle