How To Bet Premier League Match Day 4 - Battle Heats Up At Top Of Table

Eden Hazard of Chelsea celebrates scoring his sides first goal during the Premier League

Saturday, September 10, 2016 1:01 AM GMT

Premier League is back following the international break and it brings several standout matchups to spot. Join us as we rundown each and every fixture and serve up our choice soccer picks.

Match Day 3 Soccer Betting Recap
Both Manchesters and Chelsea continued their strong winning start on the season by taking maximum points before the international break gave pause to the Premier League season. As it is, the triplet are tied at the top of the table with 9 points, but Pep Guardiola's Sky Blues have the edge on goal differential ahead of Chelsea and Man United (in that order). Indeed, Jose Mourinho endured a nerve-wracking third lap around England's top flight and had it not been for a last-gasp goal at KCOM Stadium, which delivered the precious three points at the expense of the plucky Tigers, who suffered their first defeat of the season, it would have been a different story. Particularly, seeing as the Manchester's are set to collide on match day 4. [Insert dramatic shiver].

Overall, home teams went 4-2 W-L on match day 3 and the remaining four settled on draws, three of which were 1-1. The Under 2.5 goals went 6-4. Where our record goes with our Premier League soccer picks, match day 3 saw us recover valuable ground after a so-so match day 2. Overall, we went 8-2 with our picks and improve to 17-13 W-L record.

With match day 4 fast approaching there's no time to waste. We rundown through the soccer betting slate and serve up choice soccer picks to spot in each and every fixture. Let's get started.

Manchester United vs. Manchester City
David de Gea has been on point for the Red Devils allowing just one goal in three fixtures, but, arguably, he faces his toughest test against Manchester City on Saturday, a side that has scored nine goals in England's top flight and an additional six goals in Champions League playoff last month. Man United are favoured to win but only just at +138 soccer odds with Bet365. Where the Citizens, priced at +240 to win at the Old Trafford, fall slightly off the mark is in the absence of clean sheets so far – they've conceded a goal in each of their Premier League fixtures (Sunderland, Stoke City and West Ham).

Betting the straight up win in this fixture is a tough one to handicap considering the quality of both sides and the history between the two coaches that goes back to El Classico in La Liga (Guardiola leads the head-to-head 5-2-2). As such, we're banking on both teams to score in this highly anticipated showdown, which is available at fair value of -110 soccer odds with William Hill

Soccer Picks: Both Teams To Score -110 at William Hill

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AFC Bournemouth vs. West Bromwich Albion
The Cherries are sat at the bottom of the table with just one point through three fixtures, level with Stoke City, Watford, Crystal Palace and Sunderland. They've scored just two goals and conceded four goals. Most recently, they are coming off a 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace on the road. West Bromwich Albion, meanwhile, boast four points through three rounds and are sat pretty in tenth spot. They beat Crystal Palace on opening day and then went on to a defeat to Everton and a scoreless draw to Middlesbrough. Overall, they've scored two goals and conceded two goals through three fixtures. Despite the disparity in these clubs fortunes early on, there are those that are more impressed with the Cherries rather the Albion. The way the Baggies have started leaves much to be desired particularly on the scoring front –something that was an issue last term – and it underlines their rather massive odds to win this fixture. Bournemouth may be winless but they do strike a more convincing pose at home as the +110 soccer pick (William Hill) or thereabouts depending on your choice top-rated sportsbook. Given the lack of form there is risk involved in backing the outright winners market, but the recent signing of Jack Wilshire from Arsenal (on season-long loan) might be enough of an incentive to take a chance on the Cherries recording their first win of the season.

Soccer Picks: Bournemouth +110

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Arsenal vs. Southampton
Inasmuch as Arsenal's start to the season leaves something to be desired in Gooners nation, so too does Southampton's start under new manager Claude Puel give pause for concern amongst Saints fans. Arsene Wenger's delicate soccer baubles are 1-1-1 through three fixtures with four points and sat eighth in the table while Puel's Saints are 0-2-1 through three fixtures with two points and hovering in middling obscurity. Aside from home advantage for this fixture, The Professor finally splashed some cash in the transfer window which should patch up some holes in Arsenal's frontline. It's not surprising Arsenal are favoured to win this fixture and it's probably the best bet to back on your soccer picks too. Best price available in money line markets is found with Pinnacle at the time of writing: Arsenal to win at -167.

Soccer Picks: Arsenal -167 to win Pinnacle

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Burnley vs. Hull City
The plucky Tigers defied the soccer odds in their first two fixtures and very nearly forced the draw on Man United on match day 3. The surprising start conjured images of Leicester City's run last season, but, what makes Hull City's start even more remarkable is just how thin their ranks really are and the problems off the pitch as well. Caretaker manager Mike Phelan has done an admirable job since Steve Bruce's departure from the club but question marks hang over the permanency of his position, not to mention club ownership. One wonders how long the Tigers can keep this up and continue to defy the soccer odds. Now that the club's acquisition deal fell through will the cracks seep in?

The Clarets must fancy their chances in this clash. They have three points from three games – all three taken off Liverpool in a shocking 2-0 win at Turf Moor. In their third home fixture of the season they'll be looking to make it back-to-back winning accounts, which is a bet available with 5Dimes at a tempting +162 price. Still, aside from the two goals scored against Liverpool Burnley were held scoreless by Swansea and Chelsea, which is a bit of a worry.

In the event, writing off Hull City does seem premature given the way they've started the season. Last week they gave as good as they got from the Red Devils. Perhaps a small tickle for Hull City to win at +230 with Heritage won't go amiss. They've scored four goals through three fixtures and conceded two.

Soccer Picks: Hull City +230 to win at Heritage

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Middlesbrough vs. Crystal Palace
Middlesbrough hobnob in the top echelons of the table after taking five points in their first three fixtures. They opened with a 1-1 draw with Stoke City – an admirable result for a promoted side – and then went on to defeat Sunderland and draw to West Bromwich Albion. Crystal Palace have barely struck and audible chord and there do appear to be issues with Alan Pardew that has us considering Palace are there for the taking.

Soccer Picks: Middlesbrough +130 to win at Pinnacle

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Stoke City vs. Tottenham Hotspur
Somewhat surprisingly Mark Hughes side props up the league's table with just one point and a -4 goal differential through three fixtures. Perhaps, few soccer bettors would have had the Potters getting off to quite such a bad start after a promising 2015-2016 campaign, but it's the way things go at times. Schedule plays a huge part in where they currently stand – after a relatively straightforward opener against Middlesbrough (which the Potters botched with a 1-1 draw) Pep Guardiola's formidable Manchester City descended on the Potteries to mete out a 4-1 beat down followed by a trip to the Merseyside where a much-improved Everton side took the 1-0 win at Goodsison Park.

Consider Tottenham loom next on the horizon admittedly things aren't looking up just yet for Mark Hughes. Mauricio Pochettino's side is undefeated on the season with a 1-2-0 mark through three fixtures. Given Stoke's current position –and that might suggest low confidence as a result – there are those soccer bettors who expect Stoke will suffer yet another unfortunate setback at the hands of this very tough schedule. Still, are the Spurs really worth the tickle on your soccer picks at the overcooked price of -120 with Heritage to win at Bet365 Stadium? Not really in our books. As such, we're looking towards the total betting markets and considering a bet on OVER 2.5 goals at -105 with Heritage, one of several low juice leaders in the sports betting industry.

Soccer Picks: Over 2.5 -105

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West Ham United vs. Watford
West Ham United have a 1-0-2 record through three fixtures while Watford have a 0-1-2 record through three fixtures. Where the pair share some similarity through the early goings is their ability to both score and concede. Both have scored three goals but West Ham concedes five and Watford six. That alone has us looking towards the both teams to score markets, which is available at -125 with bet365. Decent value for your bet.

Soccer Picks: Yes, Both Teams to Score at -125

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Liverpool vs. Leicester City
Liverpool and Leicester City highlight Saturday's soccer betting card as the popcorn match to spot. It's been a mixed bag for both clubs with Liverpool getting off to a flying start at the Emirates behind a 4-3 win over Arsenal. What followed was a head-scratching loss to Burnley (0-2) and a somewhat face-saving 1-1 draw to Tottenham at White Hart Lane. The defending champions were dealt a blow by Hull City on match day 1, a 2-1 defeat that had many calling the Champs Chumps instead. They've since bounced back with a respectable draw to Arsenal and a 2-1 win over Swansea City. This will be a tough fixture though for both clubs to win, particularly for Leicester City as they'll be headed to the Merseyside. It's enough to warrant the draw on your soccer picks as a reasonable outcome, which can be backed at +305 with 5Dimes. Still, there's nothing unreasonable about backing either side to the win but the value is on Leicester City admittedly as the whopping +400 road underdogs or thereabouts. For our money, we fancy the Over 2.5 as we expect there to be goals from both camps.

Soccer Picks: Over 2.5 at -133 with Bet365

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Swansea City vs. Chelsea
There's not a whole lot to think about here really. Antonio Conte's side look to continue their strong start on the season with a fourth straight win. Granted the wins haven't been spectacular so far. Some would say the Blues have been lucky. Be that as it may Swansea inspire little confidence behind a 1-0-2 start on the season – the lone win coming at the expense of Burnley. AT -145 soccer odds available with BetOnline you can't get a fairer price on the Blues for an away win.

Soccer Picks: Chelsea to win -145 at BetOnline

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Sunderland vs. Everton
Everton look very good after three fixtures and an undefeated 2-1-0 mark through three fixtures. Sunderland – surprise, surprise – don't look too hot. They are without a win in three fixtures (0-1-2) but they are coming off a 1-1 draw to Southampton. If there's one positive thing about the Black Cats it's the fact that they've scored in all three fixtures, including shipping one into Man City's net. Everton have only one clean sheet which came in the last lap against a struggling Stoke City. Yes, for both teams to score looks to be the value soccer pick here.

Soccer Picks: Yes, both teams to score at -125 William Hill

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