EURO 2016 Picks: Best Bets To Prepare For Sunday's Games

Thursday, June 16, 2016 4:00 AM GMT

EURO 2016 continues on Sunday with two matches, Romania vs Albania and a showdown with Switzerland vs. France, that will determine group A’s winner.

Match Previews—Sunday, June 19, 2016
With Romania looking so good in its first two matches, is backing El Tricolori a wise pick? And will France be able to use the Home nation advantage and slice the Swiss and win Group A Sunday? Let's look at these teams' histories against each other, toss it all into the big handicapping blender and see what comes out in the end and if it is indeed edible.

Romania vs. Albania
Group A play in the 2016 UEFA European Championship wraps up on Sunday at Stade de Lyon in Lens, France with Romania playing Albania in a game in which soccer odds point Romania +105 favorite with Albania priced at +240 and a Draw at +250 at Bet365. The Total (Goals) here is set at 2½ with the Under priced -133 at Bet365, while the First Half odds see the Draw as the likeliest possibility with +110 odds, Romania -175 Albania +125 st Bet365.

Some Props wagers: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes' -120, ‘No' -120 at Bet365, Draw No Bet: Romania -175, Albania +125 at Bet365, Correct Score: 0-0 +850 at Bet365, Romania 1-0 +900 at Bet365, Albania 1-0 +1000 at BetVictor and, Clean Sheet: Romania +180, Albania +250 at William Hill.

With Albania Eliminated, Romania Needs Win Here in Lyon on Sunday
Albania (0-0-2, 0 points) made its major tournament debut here and despite already being eliminated heading into this game with Romania (0-1-1, 1 point), the Kuq e Zinjtë actually played very well in losses to Switzerland in their opener (1-0) and to France on Tuesday (2-0) in their second Group A match as France, host and soccer pick, squeezed out a Antoine Griezmann goal a minute from Full Time and then added a Dimitri Payet goal in extra time for the almost underserved victory, thus eliminating Albania in the process.

So this game means absolutely nothing to the Kuq e Zinjtë, and everything to Romania (-1 GD) which needs to win big and then have France beat Switzerland (1-1-0, 4 points, +1 GD), although this is the year the tournament has expanded to allowing some 3rd place sides in Groups by their rankings after three matches, so Romania should also be motivated by that reality.

With Albania having already played two matches of impressive defense despite the end results, it's impossible to put too much value on Romania needing a win compared to Albania's intense pride and desire to get a precious win of their own in France. And with Etrit Berisha in GK, Defensive Midfielders Burim Kukeli, Amir Abrashi and Taulant Xhaka and a 4-3-3 tactical formation on offense when it actually has possession of the ball—France out-possessed Albania 59%-41% on Tuesday—and Ledian Memushaj, Odise Roshi and Armando Sadiku on the attack, this team had scored in all four and gone 2-0-2 in its L4 matches overall before being blanked by Switzerland and France in the first two games of this EURO 2016.

Romania (1-3-2 L6) has scored in five straight games (Friendlies, EURO 2016) with the Both Teams To Score ‘Yes' going a perfect 5-0 in its L5 contests, all played since May 27 of this calendar year. Here at Parc Olympique Lyonnais in Lyon, expect an all-out battle with Romania desperately needing 3 points and a victory and Albania playing for a win, its pride and the memories. Lifetime, Romania is 11-3-2 lifetime against Romania (41 GF- 9 GA) and an unbeaten 4-2-0 in EURO (Qualifiers) against the Albanians, outscoring them 16-4 in the process, but captain Lorik Cana and Albania (#42 FIFA ranking) are as good as they have ever been and Bogdan Stancu and Romania (#22 FIFA ranking) will really have their hands full here.

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Predicted Final Score: Romania 1 Albania 1
Euro Free Pick: Albania Draw No Bet +162
Best Line Offered: at PaddyPower

Switzerland vs. France
Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Lille is the site of this Group A showdown between Xherdan Shaqiri and Switzerland (1-1-0, 4 points) and host nation France (2-0-0, 6 points) which is on top of the group still after its 2-0 win over Albania on Tuesday. Oddsmakers here have made Olivier Giroud (Anytime Goalscorer +160 at William Hill) and France +100 favorites, Switzerland healthy +400 underdogs and the Draw priced at +210 at Bet365 with the Total (Goals) set at 2½ with the Under juiced -120 at Coral.

Some Props wagers: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes' -120, ‘No' -120 at Bet365, Draw No Bet: France -300, Switzerland +225 at Bet365, Correct Score: 0-0 +1000 at Coral, France 1-0 +600 (Stan James), Switzerland 1-0 +1350 at Marathon and, To Win To Nil: France +162, Switzerland +850 (Coral). The updated Futures Book odds here see Switzerland as high as 80/1 to win EURO 2016 at Bet365 with France priced at a high of at +350 at 888Sport after winning its first two Group A matches with GK Hugo Lloris registering two easy Clean Sheets.

Switzerland Can Overtake France Atop Group A with Win in Lille on Sunday
Xherdan Shaqiri (Stoke City), captain Stephan Lichtsteiner (Juventus), Granit Xhaka (Arsenal) and the Swiss came into this tournament as +450 underdogs to win Group A at Coral. And now, with a win here over France (6 points), Switzerland (4 points) can win the group and put themselves in a more favorable position for the EURO 2016 Quarterfinals. Despite dominating the Time of Possession (59%-41%) against Albania in its 2-0 win in the second game, France didn't look fluid and had 0 shots on target in this 1st Half, prompting French Manager Didier Deschamps to bring in Paul Pogba to Les Bleus Midfield for some creativity for Left Winger Anthony Martial (Manchester United) who looked horrible against Albania in his 45+1 minutes of angst. Antoine Griezmann, who scored the game-winner, also subbed-in and both he and Pogba were reportedly unhappy with Deschamps for not being in France's Starting XI.

Switzerland has played as well as France has in this tourney despite the points and Group A standings. Against Albania, the predominantly French crowd booed the tournament's hosts for their anemic attack. Lifetime, France (#7 FIFA ranking) is 16-9-12 (67 GF-60 GA) in all competitions against Switzerland (#15 FIFA ranking), but the two have met just once in EURO play with France winning 3-1 in a Group B match at EURO 2004 in Portugal in a game which was deadlocked 1-1 at Halftime.

French GK Lloris (Tottenham Hotspur) hasn't been scored on yet, but then again he really hasn't been tested that much yet in this Group Stage and that should change here with gunner Shaqiri and the stronger Offensive competition and a spot where the Swiss can essentially steal the Group A title with a win and the 3 points in Lille. But Dimitri Payet and France have had some type of guardian angel with them against both stubborn Romania and Albania.

Switzerland can definitely win this match and the (perceived) value seems to be in backing the Swiss—they are as high as +430 at Marathon in the Three-Way line marketplace—with a safer approach using them in the Draw No Bet marketplace where there still is a ton of value to be found if looked +261 at Marathon with the protection of not losing your money should this one end up with a 0-0, 1-1 or 2-2 scoreline. Both teams will move on to the Quarterfinals (Round of 16, knockout stage) but who wins Group A and who finishes in 2nd will more than likely be determined here unless Romania busts out against an Albanian side which contests every ball and appear to be on every single inch of the pitch when opponents are on the attack.

There should be much ballyhoo here and attempts to create some quality shots, but probably just not enough quality shots in the end in a game the French hosts can actually lose and act like they don't care with a Knockout Stage berth already safely secured. A third late winner for the hosts seems unlikely and honestly, Les Bleus have really been less than impressive although the impeccable Form and fact they haven't been scored on yet are impossible to ignore.

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Predicted Final Score: Switzerland 1 France 1
Euro Free Pick: Switzerland Draw No Bet +261
Best Line Offered: at Marathon