ATP World Tour Finals - Best Plays For Day 5

Milos Raonic

Wednesday, November 16, 2016 7:03 PM GMT

Join us on our daily coverage of the ATP World Tour Finals. Find out our top tennis picks for Day 5 and why you should place these two valuable tennis picks

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Novak Djokovic (2) vs. Gael Monfils (6)

With only one set won in two matches, it's mathematically impossible for Gael Monfils to secure a place in the following round of the ATP World Tour Finals. Gael's rib problems keep affecting his serve on this event. After placing only 50.79% of first serves in the opening match against Milos Raonic, Gael ended the following contest against Dominic Thiem with even worse numbers – 49.35% first serve in. With nothing left to fight for, it's not expectable to see Monfils risking a serious injury that could compromise his pre-season.

On the other hand, Novak Djokovic already booked a place in the semifinals after his victories over Dominic Thiem and Milos Raonic. Besides this, the Serbian also secured the first place in the Ivan Lendl Group, regardless of this Thursday's results. Playing in the O2 Arena brings great memories to Djokovic with the defending champion holding a remarkable 95.24% winning record since 2012 on this event.

This will be the 14th career meeting between these two players with Djokovic winning all their previous encounters.

Even though Djokovic already secured the first place, winning this match represents 200 extra points for the ranking. Adding to this, Monfils already said that he's not sure he'll play this match due to his recent physical problems. With this in mind, this should be a very easy victory for the Serbian if Gael decides to play this contest. Therefore, our suggestion is for you to add Djokovic's spread to your betting picks as the highest value play for this contest.

Free Tennis Pick: Novak Djokovic -5 (-111)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

Milos Raonic (4) vs. Dominic Thiem (8)

Despite his loss in the previous match against Novak Djokovic, Milos Raonic is still in a very good position to reach the semifinals on this event for the first time in his career. The Canadian is playing at an outstanding level this week, losing only in two close tie breaks against the defending champion. Looking now to Raonic's numbers, the world no.4 ended the match against Djokovic with 42 winners and 27 unforced errors, impressive stats against such a great defender as the Serbian.

Dominic Thiem couldn't ask for a better debut on the ATP World Tour Finals with the Austrian just one win away from securing a place in the next round. Even though Indoor Hard Court is far from Dominic's favorite surface, the slower courts in London clearly benefit Thiem's game style. After an erratic performance against Novak Djokovic with a 0.59 winners / unforced errors ratio, Thiem played at a much higher level against Gael Monfils with 20 winners and only 19 unforced errors.

These two players will face each other for the second time in their careers with Raonic winning their previous encounter a few months ago in Cincinnati by 6 – 3 6 – 4.

Despite Thiem's improvements after the first match, the Austrian keeps struggling to maintain a consistent level, which is usually fatal against such a dangerous player as Raonic. The Canadian is clearly at a higher level and for that reason, we should see Milos in the semifinals next Saturday. Having said that, we advise you to take advantage of Raonic's betting odds by placing a bet on his set handicap.

Free Tennis Pick: Milos Raonic -1.5 Set Handicap (+105)
Best Line Offered: at William Hill