ATP World Tour Finals - Best Plays For Day 1

Milos Raonic

Saturday, November 12, 2016 5:22 PM GMT

Join us on our daily coverage of the ATP World Tour Finals. Find out our top tennis picks for Day 1 and why you should place these two valuable tennis bets.

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Novak Djokovic (2) vs. Dominic Thiem (8)

For the first time in more than two years, Novak Djokovic steps on court without the world no.1 status. With a poor 17 – 5 record since his French Open title, Djokovic was way below his outstanding 93.62% winning record in the first five months of the year. Despite his recent results, Djokovic is always one of the main favorites to win any title. The Serbian holds great memories from this event with four consecutive titles in the O2 Arena. Besides this, Djokovic only lost one of his last 20 matches in the ATP World Tour Finals.

Dominic Thiem was the last player to secure his place on the ATP World Tour Finals. The Austrian is also the youngest player in competition with only 23 years old. Although his outstanding campaign in 2016, it won't be easy for the Austrian to present his best tennis in London. Besides his lack of experience at this level, the last months haven't been easy for Dominic with the world no.9 struggling with some physical issues after a very demanding year.

This will be the 4th career meeting between these two players with Djokovic winning all their previous three encounters in straight sets.

Despite Thiem's ability to be competitive in any surface, the Austrian is far from comfortable on Indoor Hard Court. Adding to this, Dominic will face Djokovic, one of the greatest defenders in the history of the game. With this in mind, it's hard to see Thiem presenting the required consistency to overcome Novak's baseline game. Therefore, our suggestion is for you to add the Serbian's spread to your betting picks as the highest value play for this contest.

Free Tennis Pick: Novak Djokovic -5 (+102)

Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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Milos Raonic (4) vs. Gael Monfils (6)

Milos Raonic's attendance in the ATP World Tour Finals is still questionable after his recent retirement from the BNP Paribas Masters due to a thigh muscle injury. This is Raonic's second career appearance on this event with the Canadian still looking for his first triumph in London. Despite Milos' recent retirement, the world no.4 is always a fearful opponent on these fast game conditions due to his outstanding serve.

Gael Monfils is for the first time in the ATP World Tour Finals after an extraordinary season. As we mentioned in previous articles, Mikael Tillstrom is one of the main reasons for Gael's success with the Swedish coach taking the French's game to a new level. Despite his improvements in 2016, Gael continues an injury prone player. Known as one of the greatest athletes on the ATP Tour, Monfils usually takes his body to the limit. This is Gael's first match in almost one month with the French withdrawing from the BNP Paribas Masters two weeks ago due to a rib injury.

These two players know each other well with each of them winning three of their previous six meetings.

As we mentioned, both players have struggled with physical issues lately, which makes this a tough match to predict. The sportsbooks agree with us with very similar prices on the moneyline. Despite the doubts regarding their physical condition, Raonic is always a fearful opponent on this fast game conditions. Having said that, our recommendation is for you to place a bet on Raonic's betting odds on a sportsbook that ensures a void at any time in case of retirement.

Free Tennis Pick: Milos Raonic ML (-125)

Best Line Offered: at Bet365

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