Slumping Angels vs Rising Blue Jays To Bring Run Line Blowout Of The Night

Blue Jays

Tuesday, August 23, 2016 4:01 PM GMT

After a rare win on Sunday, the Angels must fly 3 time zones east for this matchup with the Jays.  That is clearly not a positive for a team who is 52-72 for the year. Here's our capper's free MLB Pick.

LA Angels (Skaggs) vs Toronto Blue Jays (Dickey) (-1 ½ R/+145)
The towel-tossing LA Angels meet the division-leading Toronto Blue Jays in the first of a 3-game, early week set. They face a Toronto Blue Jay team, who has a 3.72 ERA (best in the American League) and who is tied with Boston at 70-54 for the divisional lead.

In the beginning of August, I noted that the Angels were the biggest of my 5 towel-tossers in MLB. That is exactly how they have played this month, going 5-14 with 11 of those 14 defeats by 2 or more runs. They will have little confidence when they take the field today knowing that, dating to July 27th, they have lost 10 consecutive road games with 9 of those 10 being by 2 or more runs. In those 10 games, the Angel pitching staff has allowed 6.9 RPG. That's clearly a bad sign against the hot-hitting Blue Jay bats. That 10-game slide is a microcosm of the Angels' overall 3-14 dip, in which they have allowed the opposition to plate 99 runs. In the last 14 of those games, the Angels have scored only 36 runs, approximately 2.6 RPG.

The Toronto Blue Jays are at the other end of the spectrum. Following an underachieving 19-23 start, the Blue Jays have responded by going 51-31. They are now tied with a red-hot Boston team for 1st place in the AL East with a mark of 70-54. They clearly hold a huge hitting advantage over the Angels, as well as playing with far greater motivation than the visitor who realizes they are going nowhere.

I am well aware that Dickey has been a weak link in the rotation for the Blue Jays with a 4.51 ERA. That has been worse in his last 6 starts, as he has posted a 1-4 record and 6.68 ERA. A positive sign came in his previous outing, a 1-0 loss to the Yankees, when he worked 5 IP, allowing just 1 run and 4 hits while using his knuckleball to strike out 6 Bronx Bombers. As bad as those numbers might seem, consider that in 3 recent starts for his mound opponent, Skaggs, the opposition has plated 15 runs on 25 hits in only 13 2/3 IP. That is good news for the Toronto hitters!

We take the risk of laying the runs to get back a good underdog price, knowing that 29 of 36 Toronto home wins (81%) have been by 2 or more runs. That is not unusual for the Blue Jays, who in the previous 2 seasons saw 80 of 99 home victories (again 81%) come by 2 or more runs. We will take our chances with the run line today. I invite you to put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my MLB pick on the Toronto Blue Jays tonight.

Free MLB Pick: Blue Jays -1.5 +150
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2994029, "sportsbooksIds":[19,238,169,1096], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]