Eat The Chalk As Dodgers Are Looking Sharp Behind Kazmir

Scott Kazmir

Monday, August 22, 2016 2:56 PM GMT

The Dodgers snapped the Reds’ five-game winning streak yesterday and shoot for a series split in the finale of a four-game set. Let’s review the MLB odds and cash a ticket here.

L.A. Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds
They say the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over while expecting different results. Therefore, I submit to you I am clinically insane. On Saturday I backed the home underdog Colorado Rockies over the relentless Chicago Cubs and went over the posted total in my MLB picks for good measure. That left me high and dry as I went 0-2 for the day.

Yesterday, I went back to the same poisonous well and backed the home dog Orioles against the hot-hitting Houston Astros and, for good measure, went over the posted total in that one as well. Same bet, same result. Another 0-2 day as I sit here wondering if an underdog and total ever cover will ever cash for me again. We are still in good stead for the season as we sit over 21 units but the MLB odds makers are tempting me with these generous lines on these home dogs. Yet, I will not be confined to strictly laying the lumber and blindly betting favorites. I take it game-by-game and case-by-case. Here we go.

Dodgers Send Kazmir to the Hill
The Los Angeles Dodgers sit atop the NL West this morning despite enduring a plethora of injuries, most notably to their All-Star stud pitcher Clayton Kershaw. After securing a 4-0 shutout over their hosts on Sunday, the Cincinnati Reds, LA is just a half-game ahead of their California rivals the San Francisco Giants. The top teams in the other two divisions, the Washington Nationals, and Chicago Cubs, have commanding leads in their divisions, therefore, LA would be battling four other teams for one of two wild-card spots.

This afternoon they send southpaw Scott Kazmir (10-6, 4.41, 1.31) to the mound after a solid effort against the Phillies on Wednesday as he held Philadelphia to just two runs on eight hits in five innings of work in LA's 7-2 victory. When last Kazmir faced the Reds back in May he limited Cincinnati to one run on four hits through six innings en route to the 3-1 Dodgers' win. The 11-year veteran is 2-0 when starting against the Reds with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 1.154 and his team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. Kazmir is undefeated on the road this with a 6-0 mark and will look for No. 7 today.

Betting Analysis
The Reds will send out he surgically repaired Homer Bailey (2-1, 3.66, 1.37) to challenge the Dodgers this afternoon at the Great American Ballpark. Three starts ago Bailey was shelled by the Pirates for five runs and pulled after just three innings. But since then has cobbled together two fine starts against Milwaukee and most recently Miami where he allowed two runs on six hits in 3-2 victory.

The Reds have upped their game since the All-Star break going 21-13 and are looking for a series win over the Dodgers having won two of three. However, they are taking great pains with their starter Homer Bailey in terms of limiting his innings after two arm surgeries. The Dodgers should be able to take advantage of a Reds bullpen that ranks among the worst in the majors after Bailey ultimately bows out after five or six innings. LA's Kazmir has been money on the road and the Dodgers realize every game is of utmost importance if they are to be competing in October. Cincinnati is 5-17 over their last 22 in the fourth game of a series. Here we side with the undefeated road warrior Scott Kazmir and the LA Dodgers.

Free MLB Pick: Dodgers -137
Best Line Offered: at Heritage
Swinger's MLB Record: 64-41, +21.29 units

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